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Over the years data assimilation methods have been developed to obtain estimations of uncertain model parameters by taking into account a few observations of a model state. The most reliable methods of MCMC are computationally expensive.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-14 Sangeetika Ruchi , Svetlana Dubinkina

We propose a method to account for model error due to unresolved scales in the context of the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF). The approach extends to this class of algorithms the deterministic model error formulation recently…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Lewis Mitchell , Alberto Carrassi

Particle filters (also called sequential Monte Carlo methods) are widely used for state and parameter estimation problems in the context of nonlinear evolution equations. The recently proposed ensemble transform particle filter (ETPF)…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-04-11 Walter Acevedo , Jana de Wiljes , Sebastian Reich

We study the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) algorithm for sequential data assimilation in a general situation, that is, for nonlinear forecast and measurement models with non-additive and non-Gaussian noises. Such applications traditionally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-17 Weixuan Li , W. Steven Rosenthal , Guang Lin

Data assimilation is a method of uncertainty quantification to estimate the hidden true state by updating the prediction owing to model dynamics with observation data. As a prediction model, we consider a class of nonlinear dynamical…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-05 Kota Takeda , Takashi Sakajo

The intersection between classical data assimilation methods and novel machine learning techniques has attracted significant interest in recent years. Here we explore another promising solution in which diffusion models are used to…

数学物理 · 物理学 2024-04-02 Feng Bao , Hristo G. Chipilski , Siming Liang , Guannan Zhang , Jeffrey S. Whitaker

A modification scheme to the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is introduced based on the concept of the unscented transform (Julier et al., 2000; Julier and Uhlmann, 2004), which therefore will be called the ensemble unscented Kalman filter…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-11-30 X. Luo , I. M. Moroz

We propose a new algorithm for an adaptive optics system control law which allows to reduce the computational burden in the case of an Extremely Large Telescope (ELT) and to deal with non-stationary behaviors of the turbulence. This…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Morgan Gray , Cyril Petit , Sergey Rodionov , Laurent Bertino , Marc Bocquet , Thierry Fusco

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a data assimilation technique that uses an ensemble of models, updated with data, to track the time evolution of a usually non-linear system. It does so by using an empirical approximation to the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-12 Elizabeth Hou , Earl Lawrence , Alfred O. Hero

The iterative ensemble Kalman filter (IEnKF) in a deterministic framework was introduced in Sakov et al. (2012) to extend the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and improve its performance in mildly up to strongly nonlinear cases. However, the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-10-17 Pavel Sakov , Jean-Matthieu Haussaire , Marc Bocquet

Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is an important data assimilation method for high dimensional geophysical systems. Efficient implementation of EnKF in practice often involves the localization technique, which updates each component using only…

概率论 · 数学 2018-04-04 Xin T. Tong

State-of-the-art ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) algorithms require incorporating localization techniques to cope with the rank deficiency and the inherited spurious correlations in their error covariance matrices. Localization techniques…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-05 Boujemaa Ait-El-Fquih , Ibrahim Hoteit

This paper explores the potential of Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) by comparing the performance of LETKF with an operational 3D-Var assimilation system, Physical-Space Statistical Analysis System (PSAS), under a perfect…

Ensemble methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are widely used for data assimilation in large-scale geophysical applications, as for example in numerical weather prediction (NWP). There is a growing interest for physical models…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Sylvain Robert , Hans R. Künsch

An Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF, the predictor) is used make a large change in the state, followed by a Particle Filer (PF, the corrector) which assigns importance weights to describe non-Gaussian distribution. The weights are obtained by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-07-20 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley

The particle filter (PF) and the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) are widely used for approximate inference in state-space models. From a Bayesian perspective, these algorithms represent the prior by an ensemble of particles and update it to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-11 Chengxin Gong , Wei Lin , Cheng Zhang

We study parameter estimation for non-global parameters in a low-dimensional chaotic model using the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF). By modifying existing techniques for using observational data to estimate global…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-09-03 Thomas Bellsky , Jesse Berwald , Lewis Mitchell

The task of dynamic flow estimation is to construct an approximation of an evolving flow---and particularly, its response to disturbances---using measurements from available sensors. Building from previous work by Darakananda et al.~(Phys…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2021-05-19 Mathieu Le Provost , Jeff D. Eldredge

We propose a new type of the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), which uses the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) for covariance estimation from a very small ensemble with automatic tapering, and for a fast computation of the analysis ensemble by…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2011-08-01 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Volodymyr Y. Kondratenko

Heavy tails is a common feature of filtering distributions that results from the nonlinear dynamical and observation processes as well as the uncertainty from physical sensors. In these settings, the Kalman filter and its ensemble version -…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-16 Mathieu Le Provost , Ricardo Baptista , Jeff D. Eldredge , Youssef Marzouk
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