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We propose the first Bayesian methods for detecting change points in high-dimensional mean and covariance structures. These methods are constructed using pairwise Bayes factors, leveraging modularization to identify significant changes in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-25 Jaehoon Kim , Kyoungjae Lee , Lizhen Lin

Multi-state models are frequently applied for representing processes evolving through a discrete set of state. Important classes of multi-state models arise when transitions between states may depend on the time since entry into the current…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-28 Rosario Barone , Andrea Tancredi

Dependent nonparametric processes extend distributions over measures, such as the Dirichlet process and the beta process, to give distributions over collections of measures, typically indexed by values in some covariate space. Such models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Sinead Williamson

In this paper we consider a network of spatially distributed sensors which collect measurement samples of a spatial field, and aim at estimating in a distributed way (without any central coordinator) the entire field by suitably fusing all…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-05-23 Francesco Sasso , Angelo Coluccia , Giuseppe Notarstefano

This invited paper proposes and discusses several Bayesian attempts at nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation. The main categories of these ideas are as follows: 1) Build a nonparametric prior around a given parametric model.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-23 Nils Lid Hjort

The advent of Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) has heralded an inflection point that changed how society thinks about knowledge acquisition. While GAI cannot be fully trusted for decision-making, it may still provide valuable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Ročková

We present a non-parametric Bayesian latent variable model capable of learning dependency structures across dimensions in a multivariate setting. Our approach is based on flexible Gaussian process priors for the generative mappings and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-16 Andrew R. Lawrence , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

Point processes are becoming very popular in modeling asynchronous sequential data due to their sound mathematical foundation and strength in modeling a variety of real-world phenomena. Currently, they are often characterized via intensity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-24 Shuai Xiao , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Xiaojing Ye , Junchi Yan , Le Song , Hongyuan Zha

Bayesian inference provides a principled way of estimating the parameters of a stochastic process that is observed discretely in time. The overdamped Brownian motion of a particle confined in an optical trap is generally modelled by the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-02-01 Sudipta Bera , Shuvojit Paul , Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , Avijit Kundu , Ayan Banerjee , R. Adhikari

Sparse Gaussian processes and various extensions thereof are enabled through inducing points, that simultaneously bottleneck the predictive capacity and act as the main contributor towards model complexity. However, the number of inducing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-27 Anders Kirk Uhrenholt , Valentin Charvet , Bjørn Sand Jensen

The interpretation of data in terms of multi-parameter models of new physics, using the Bayesian approach, requires the construction of multi-parameter priors. We propose a construction that uses elements of Bayesian reference analysis. Our…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-08-03 Maurizio Pierini , Harrison B. Prosper , Sezen Sekmen , Maria Spiropulu

This paper presents a Bayesian approach to symbol and phase inference in a phase-unsynchronized digital receiver. It primarily extends [Quinn 2011] to the multi-symbol case, using the variational Bayes (VB) approximation to deal with the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-03-13 Arijit Das , Anthony Quinn

In this paper, we describe a Bayesian nonparametric approach to make inference for a bivariate spherically symmetric distribution. We consider a Dirichlet invariant process prior on the set of all bivariate spherically symmetric…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-02 Reyhaneh Hosseini , Mahmoud Zarepour

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

A mixed Gaussian fractional process $\{Y(t)\}_{t \in {\Bbb R}} = \{PX(t)\}_{t \in {\Bbb R}}$ is a multivariate stochastic process obtained by pre-multiplying a vector of independent, Gaussian fractional process entries $X$ by a nonsingular…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-14 Patrice Abry , Gustavo Didier , Hui Li

In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently, it has been shown…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-26 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

In this paper, we consider the problem of parametric empirical Bayes estimation of an i.i.d. prior in high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression, with random design. We obtain the asymptotic distribution of the variational Empirical Bayes…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-25 Seunghyun Lee , Nabarun Deb

A common task in high-throughput biology is to screen for associations across thousands of units of interest, e.g., genes or proteins. Often, the data for each unit are modeled as Gaussian measurements with unknown mean and variance and are…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-01 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Bodhisattva Sen

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

Multi-type Markov point processes offer a flexible framework for modelling complex multi-type point patterns where it is pertinent to capture both interactions between points as well as large scale trends depending on observed covariates.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-15 Ib Thorsgaard Jensen , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rasmus Waagepetersen