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The worldwide spread of COVID-19 has called for fast advancement of new modelling strategies to estimate its unprecedented spread. Here, we introduce a model based on the fundamental SIR equations with a stochastic disorder by a random…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-04-28 Suman Dutta

Medical tourists face a scheduling problem that differs from that of local patients. Treatment delays extend not just care delivery time, but also accommodation and travel costs. This study develops a hybrid agent-based and discrete-event…

性能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Melika Baghi , Hadi Mosadegh

Diseases and other contagion phenomena in nature and society can interact asymmetrically, such that one can benefit from the other, which in turn impairs the first, in analogy with predator-prey systems. Here, we consider two models for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-17 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Yamir Moreno , Francisco A. Rodrigues

Incorporating decision-making dynamics during an outbreak poses a challenge for epidemiology, faced by several modeling approaches siloed by different disciplines. We propose an epi-economic model where high-frequency choices of individuals…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-01-31 Lorenzo Amir Nemati Fard , Alberto Bisin , Michele Starnini , Michele Tizzoni

Demand for health care is constantly increasing due to the ongoing demographic change, while at the same time health service providers face difficulties in finding skilled personnel. This creates pressure on health care systems around the…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2021-05-27 Martin Comis , Catherine Cleophas , Christina Büsing

Spreading dynamics and complex contagion processes on networks are important mechanisms underlying the emergence of critical transitions, tipping points and other nonlinear phenomena in complex human and natural systems. Increasing amounts…

The goal of developing a firmer theoretical understanding of inhomogenous temporal processes -- in particular, the waiting times in some collective dynamical system -- is attracting significant interest among physicists. Quantifying the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-06-12 Guannan Zhao , Mark McDonald , Dan Fenn , Stacy Williams , Neil F. Johnson

Understanding the detailed queueing behavior of a networking session is critical in enabling low-latency services over the Internet. Especially when the packet arrival and service rates at the queue of a link vary over time and moreover…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2017-04-25 Wonjun Hwang , Yoora Kim , Kyunghan Lee

In practice, wireless networks are deployed over finite domains, the level of mobility is different at different locations, and user mobility is correlated over time. All these features have an impact on the temporal properties of…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Konstantinos Koufos , Carl P. Dettmann

In this paper we analyze continuous-time SIS epidemics subject to arrivals and departures of agents, by using an approximated process based on replacements. In defining the SIS dynamics in an open network, we consider a stochastic setting…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-26 Renato Vizuete , Paolo Frasca , Elena Panteley

We introduce and study a queue with the Erlang service system and whose arrivals are governed by a counting process in which there is a possibility of finitely many arrivals in an infinitesimal time interval. We call it the Erlang queue…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-16 R. B. Pote , K. K. Kataria

How can we model influence between individuals in a social system, even when the network of interactions is unknown? In this article, we review the literature on the "influence model," which utilizes independent time series to estimate how…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2012-02-28 Wei Pan , Manuel Cebrian , Wen Dong , Taemie Kim , James Fowler , Alex Pentland

We study the long-time behavior of solutions of the SIRS model, a reaction-diffusion system that appears in epidemiology to describe the spread of epidemics. We allow the system to be heterogeneous periodic. Under some hypotheses on the…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-02-02 Romain Ducasse , Maxime Laborde

Strategic test allocation plays a major role in the control of both emerging and existing pandemics (e.g., COVID-19, HIV). Widespread testing supports effective epidemic control by (1) reducing transmission via identifying cases, and (2)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-06 Ivana Malenica , Jeremy R. Coyle , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

A great deal of effort has gone into trying to model social influence --- including the spread of behavior, norms, and ideas --- on networks. Most models of social influence tend to assume that individuals react to changes in the states of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-04-04 Se-Wook Oh , Mason A. Porter

Multiple lines of evidence strongly suggest that infection hotspots, where a single individual infects many others, play a key role in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. However, most of the existing epidemiological models fail to…

We investigate the effects of cooperativity between contagion processes that spread and persist in a host population. We propose and analyze a dynamical model in which individuals that are affected by one transmissible agent $A$ exhibit a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-11-22 Li Chen , Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Dirk Brockmann

Impact of mobility will be increasingly important in future generation wireless services and the related challenges will need to be addressed. Sojourn time, the time duration that a mobile user stays within a cell, is a mobility-aware…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-01-08 Mohammad Salehi , Ekram Hossain

We study collective helping behavior and bystander effects in a coevolving helping network model. A node and a link of the network represents an agent who renders or receives help and a friendly relation between agents, respectively. A…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-04-11 Hang-Hyun Jo , Hyun Keun Lee , Hyunggyu Park

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu