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We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

The $k$-means clustering algorithm and its variant, the spherical $k$-means clustering, are among the most important and popular methods in unsupervised learning and pattern detection. In this paper, we explore how the spherical $k$-means…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-28 Anja Janßen , Phyllis Wan

This paper proposes a statistically optimal approach for learning a function value using a confidence interval in a wide range of models, including general non-parametric estimation of an expected loss described as a stochastic programming…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-07 Arnab Ganguly , Tobias Sutter

Phenomenological characteristics of the sample of the Algol-type stars are revised using a recently developed NAV ("New Algol Variable") algorithm (2012Ap.....55..536A, 2012arXiv 1212.6707A) and compared to that obtained using common…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-01-13 Mariia G. Tkachenko , Ivan L. Andronov , Lidia L. Chinarova

Application of the exact statistical inference frequently leads to a non-standard probability distributions of the considered estimators or test statistics. The exact distributions of many estimators and test statistics can be specified by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-01-09 Viktor Witkovský

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

We developed software for detection of variable stars using CCD photometry. It works with "varfind data" that could be exported after processing CCD frames using C-Munipack. Our goals were maximum automation and support of large fields of…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-12-18 Vitalii Breus

We consider discrete linear Chebyshev approximation problems in which the unknown parameters of linear function are fitted by minimizing the maximum absolute deviation of errors. Such problems find application in the solution of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-22 Nikolai Krivulin

Max-stable processes have been expanded to quantify extremal dependence in spatio-temporal data. Due to the interaction between space and time, spatio-temporal data are often complex to analyze. So, characterizing these dependencies is one…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Abdul-Fattah Abu-Awwad , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau

We present ABRA, a suite of algorithms that compute and maintain probabilistically-guaranteed, high-quality, approximations of the betweenness centrality of all nodes (or edges) on both static and fully dynamic graphs. Our algorithms rely…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2016-02-19 Matteo Riondato , Eli Upfal

The original formulation of BEAMS - Bayesian Estimation Applied to Multiple Species - showed how to use a dataset contaminated by points of multiple underlying types to perform unbiased parameter estimation. An example is cosmological…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-03-02 James Newling , Bruce. A. Bassett , Renée Hlozek , Martin Kunz , Mathew Smith , Melvin Varughese

We derive exact expressions for the finite-time statistics of extrema (maximum and minimum) of the spatial displacement and the fluctuating entropy flow of biased random walks. Our approach captures key features of extreme events in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-02-10 Alexandre Guillet , Édgar Roldán , Frank Jülicher

We propose a new optimization framework for aleatoric uncertainty estimation in regression problems. Existing methods can quantify the error in the target estimation, but they tend to underestimate it. To obtain the predictive uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-12 Takumi Kawashima , Qing Yu , Akari Asai , Daiki Ikami , Kiyoharu Aizawa

Existing extremum-seeking control (ESC) approaches typically rely on applying repeated perturbations to input parameters and performing measurements of the corresponding performance output. The required separation between the different…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-06 Wouter Weekers , Alessandro Saccon , Nathan van de Wouw

This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is in the volatility of an It\^{o} semi-martingale, the latter being discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-13 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Mathias Vetter

Astroinformatics is a new impact area in the world of astronomy, occasionally called the final frontier, where several astrophysicists, statisticians and computer scientists work together to tackle various data intensive astronomical…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2015-04-30 Snehanshu Saha , Surbhi Agrawal , Manikandan. R , Kakoli Bora , Swati Routh , Anand Narasimhamurthy

The present article is devoted to the semi-parametric estimation of multivariate expectiles for extreme levels. The considered multivariate risk measures also include the possible conditioning with respect to a functional covariate,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-30 Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Cambyse Pakzad

Dynamic models describe phenomena across scientific disciplines, yet to make these models useful in application the unknown parameter values of the models must be determined. Discrete-time dynamic models are widely used to model biological…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-10-08 Yosef Berman , Joshua Forrest , Matthew Grote , Alexey Ovchinnikov , Sonia Rueda

We propose an object detection algorithm which is efficient and fast enough to be used in (almost) real time with the limited computer capacities onboard satellites. For stars below the saturation limit of the CCD detectors it is based on a…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2016-08-30 Martin Bange , Stefan Jordan , Michael Biermann , Thomas Kaempke , R alf-Dieter Scholz

Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs