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Complex dynamical systems, from macromolecules to ecosystems, are often modeled by stochastic differential equations. To learn such models from data, a common approach involves sparse selection among a large function library. However, we…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2025-09-04 Andonis Gerardos , Pierre Ronceray

Stochastic multiplicative dynamics characterize many complex natural phenomena such as selection and mutation in evolving populations, and the generation and distribution of wealth within social systems. Population heterogeneity in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-09-21 Jordan T. Kemp , Luís M. A. Bettencourt

We introduce a new method of performing high dimensional discriminant analysis, which we call multiDA. We achieve this by constructing a hybrid model that seamlessly integrates a multiclass diagonal discriminant analysis model and feature…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-05 Sarah Elizabeth Romanes , John Thomas Ormerod , Jean YH Yang

Dynamical models underpin our ability to understand and predict the behavior of natural systems. Whether dynamical models are developed from first-principles derivations or from observational data, they are predicated on our choice of state…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-11 Daniel Floryan , Michael D. Graham

We present an integrated database suitable for the investigations of the Economic development of countries by using the Economic Fitness and Complexity framework. Firstly, we implement machine learning techniques to reconstruct the database…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-15 Aurelio Patelli , Andrea Zaccaria , Luciano Pietronero

We introduce Neural Dynamical Systems (NDS), a method of learning dynamical models in various gray-box settings which incorporates prior knowledge in the form of systems of ordinary differential equations. NDS uses neural networks to…

Growth is a multi-layered phenomenon in human societies, composed of socioeconomic and demographic change at many different scales. Yet, standard macroeconomic indicators average over most of these processes, blurring the spatial and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-11-11 Jordan T Kemp , Laura Fürsich , Luís M A Bettencourt

P.W. Anderson proposed the concept of complexity in order to describe the emergence and growth of macroscopic collective patterns out of the simple interactions of many microscopic agents. In the physical sciences this paradigm was…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Gur Yaari , Andrzej Nowak , Kamil Rakocy , Sorin Solomon

The impact of predictive algorithms on people's lives and livelihoods has been noted in medicine, criminal justice, finance, hiring and admissions. Most of these algorithms are developed using data and human capital from highly developed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Xingyu Li , Difan Song , Miaozhe Han , Yu Zhang , Rene F. Kizilcec

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

Economic complexity - a group of dimensionality-reduction methods that apply network science to trade data - represented a paradigm shift in development economics towards materializing the once-intangible concept of capabilities as…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-08 Ziang Huang , Huashan Chen

Analysis of the urban population fraction data for sixteen populous countries over the last fifty years reveals a universal increase in urbanization, exhibiting four qualitatively distinct temporal patterns: (i) continuously accelerating…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-01-06 Neeraj Pandey , Abhineet Agarwal , Raju Roychowdhury , Karmeshu , Parth Pratim Pandey

The easy access to large data sets has allowed for leveraging methodology in network physics and complexity science to disentangle patterns and processes directly from the data, leading to key insights in the behavior of systems. Here we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-02-08 Chengyi Tu , Joel Carr , Samir Suweis

Discovering the governing equations of a dynamical system from observed trajectories provides deeper insight into its structure than mere prediction of future states. We present a data-driven approach to model discovery based on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Martin Brückmann , Babette Dellen , Uwe Jaekel

Single-particle traces of the diffusive motion of molecules, cells, or animals are by-now routinely measured, similar to stochastic records of stock prices or weather data. Deciphering the stochastic mechanism behind the recorded dynamics…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-09-14 Henrik Seckler , Janusz Szwabinski , Ralf Metzler

Over the years, the growing availability of extensive datasets about registered patents allowed researchers to better understand technological innovation drivers. In this work, we investigate how the technological contents of patents…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-02-06 Matteo Straccamore , Matteo Bruno , Bernardo Monechi , Vittorio Loreto

Structural transformation, the shift from agrarian economies to more diversified industrial and service-based systems, is a key driver of economic development. However, in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), data scarcity and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Ronald Katende

Mathematical theory of selection is developed within the frameworks of general models of inhomogeneous populations with continuous time. Methods that allow us to study the distribution dynamics under natural selection and to construct…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-12-22 Georgy P. Karev

Factor models are a class of powerful statistical models that have been widely used to deal with dependent measurements that arise frequently from various applications from genomics and neuroscience to economics and finance. As data are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-14 Jianqing Fan , Kaizheng Wang , Yiqiao Zhong , Ziwei Zhu

The fitness landscape metaphor plays a central role on the modeling of optimizing principles in many research fields, ranging from evolutionary biology, where it was first introduced, to management research. Here we consider the ensemble of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-01-30 Paulo R. A. Campos , José F. Fontanari