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Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is a powerful algorithm for solving complex decision-making problems. This paper presents an optimized MCTS implementation applied to the FrozenLake environment, a classic reinforcement learning task…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Esteban Aldana Guerra

Navigation in dynamic environments requires autonomous systems to reason about uncertainties in the behavior of other agents. In this paper, we introduce a unified framework that combines trajectory planning with multimodal predictions and…

Popular Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) algorithms for online planning, such as epsilon-greedy tree search and UCT, aim at rapidly identifying a reasonably good action, but provide rather poor worst-case guarantees on performance improvement…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Zohar Feldman , Carmel Domshlak

We present a novel approach for risk-aware planning with human agents in multi-agent traffic scenarios. Our approach takes into account the wide range of human driver behaviors on the road, from aggressive maneuvers like speeding and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-05-03 Rohan Chandra , Mingyu Wang , Mac Schwager , Dinesh Manocha

The combination of Monte Carlo tree search and neural networks has revolutionized online planning. As neural network approximations are often imperfect, we ask whether uncertainty estimates about the network outputs could be used to improve…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Nir Greshler , David Ben Eli , Carmel Rabinovitz , Gabi Guetta , Liran Gispan , Guy Zohar , Aviv Tamar

Autonomous driving systems face the formidable challenge of navigating intricate and dynamic environments with uncertainty. This study presents a unified prediction and planning framework that concurrently models short-term aleatoric…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Wenbo Shao , Jiahui Xu , Zhong Cao , Hong Wang , Jun Li

Motion planners take uncertain information about the environment as an input. The environment information is often quite noisy and has a tendency to contain false positive object detection. State-of-the-art motion planners consider all…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Omer Sahin Tas , Christoph Stiller

Safety evaluation of self-driving technologies has been extensively studied. One recent approach uses Monte Carlo based evaluation to estimate the occurrence probabilities of safety-critical events as safety measures. These Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-19 Zhiyuan Huang , Mansur Arief , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

Motion planning for autonomous driving must account for multi-modal uncertainty in both the intentions and trajectories of surrounding vehicles. Handling uncertainty in a worst-case manner guarantees robustness but often leads to excessive…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Zekun Xing , Ramkrishna Chaudhari , Marion Leibold , Dirk Wollherr , Martin Buss

It has been for a long time to use big data of autonomous vehicles for perception, prediction, planning, and control of driving. Naturally, it is increasingly questioned why not using this big data for risk management and actuarial…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-09-16 Jiamin Yu

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

We describe a robust planning method for autonomous driving that mixes normal and adversarial agent predictions output by a diffusion model trained for motion prediction. We first train a diffusion model to learn an unbiased distribution of…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Albert Zhao , Stefano Soatto

Hazardous environments such as chemical spills, radiological zones, and bio-contaminated sites pose significant threats to human safety and public infrastructure. Rapid and reliable hazard mitigation in these settings often unsafe for…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-12 Jimin Choi , Max Z. Li

Future urban transportation concepts include a mixture of ground and air vehicles with varying degrees of autonomy in a congested environment. In such dynamic environments, occupancy maps alone are not sufficient for safe path planning.…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-07-26 Ransalu Senanayake , Kyle Beltran Hatch , Jason Zheng , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

In this work, we develop the Batch Belief Trees (BBT) algorithm for motion planning under motion and sensing uncertainties. The algorithm interleaves between batch sampling, building a graph of nominal trajectories in the state space, and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-04-24 Dongliang Zheng , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Sharing information between connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) fundamentally improves the performance of collaborative object detection for self-driving. However, CAVs still have uncertainties on object detection due to practical…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-20 Sanbao Su , Yiming Li , Sihong He , Songyang Han , Chen Feng , Caiwen Ding , Fei Miao

Perception is a safety-critical function of autonomous vehicles and machine learning (ML) plays a key role in its implementation. This position paper identifies (1) perceptual uncertainty as a performance measure used to define safety…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-03-11 Krzysztof Czarnecki , Rick Salay

Reinforcement learning (RL) can be used to create a tactical decision-making agent for autonomous driving. However, previous approaches only output decisions and do not provide information about the agent's confidence in the recommended…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-11-04 Carl-Johan Hoel , Krister Wolff , Leo Laine

Safely deploying robots in uncertain and dynamic environments requires a systematic accounting of various risks, both within and across layers in an autonomy stack from perception to motion planning and control. Many widely used motion…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-02-10 Venkatraman Renganathan , Iman Shames , Tyler H. Summers

We consider a class of partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with uncertain transition and/or observation probabilities. The uncertainty takes the form of probability intervals. Such uncertain POMDPs can be used, for…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-07-12 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Ufuk Topcu
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