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Elections involving a very large voter population often lead to outcomes that surprise many. This is particularly important for the elections in which results affect the economy of a sizable population. A better prediction of the true…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-01-31 Palash Dey , Pravesh K. Kothari , Swaprava Nath

Social media influence online activity by recommending to users content strongly correlated with what they have preferred in the past. In this way they constrain users within filter bubbles that strongly limit their exposure to new or…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-04-08 Giulio Iannelli , Giordano De Marzo , Claudio Castellano

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

Social media have quickly become a prevalent channel to access information, spread ideas, and influence opinions. However, it has been suggested that social and algorithmic filtering may cause exposure to less diverse points of view, and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-10-30 Dimitar Nikolov , Diego F. M. Oliveira , Alessandro Flammini , Filippo Menczer

The flourishing of fake news is favored by recommendation algorithms of online social networks which, based on previous users activity, provide content adapted to their preferences and so create filter bubbles. We introduce an analytically…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-28 Giordano De Marzo , Andrea Zaccaria , Claudio Castellano

Mass Media outlets have occupied the central role of the political scenario, and are persuasive in the process of opinion formation of the citizens. In particular, the study of the relationship between Mass Media and behaviour of citizens…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-10-02 Federico Albanese , Claudio J. Tessone , Viktoriya Semeshenko , Pablo Balenzuela

Online social platforms allow users to filter out content they do not like. According to selective exposure theory, people tend to view content they agree with more to get more self-assurance. This causes people to live in ideological…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-03-13 Nouran Soliman , Motahhare Eslami , Karrie Karahalios

We present a novel model for the effect of echo chambers, filter bubbles, and reinforcement on election results. Our model extends the well known voter model with zealots to include reinforcement. We analyze the behaviour of the model,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-09 Johannes Müller , Volker Hösel , Aurélien Tellier

In recent years online social networks have become increasingly prominent in political campaigns and, concurrently, several countries have experienced shock election outcomes. This paper proposes a model that links these two phenomena. In…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-03 Edoardo Gallo , Alastair Langtry

The election control problem through social influence asks to find a set of nodes in a social network of voters to be the starters of a political campaign aiming at supporting a given target candidate. Voters reached by the campaign change…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-07-14 Mohammad Abouei Mehrizi , Federico Corò , Emilio Cruciani , Gianlorenzo D'Angelo

Social media platforms allow users to create polls to gather public opinion on diverse topics. However, we know little about what such polls are used for and how reliable they are, especially in significant contexts like elections. Focusing…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Stephen Scarano , Vijayalakshmi Vasudevan , Mattia Samory , Kai-Cheng Yang , JungHwan Yang , Przemyslaw A. Grabowicz

A filter bubble refers to the phenomenon where Internet customization effectively isolates individuals from diverse opinions or materials, resulting in their exposure to only a select set of content. This can lead to the reinforcement of…

We introduce a socially motivated extension of the voter model in which individual voters are also influenced by two opposing, fixed-opinion news sources. These sources forestall consensus and instead drive the population to a politically…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-01-27 Deepak Bhat , S. Redner

A rising topic in computational journalism is how to enhance the diversity in news served to subscribers to foster exploration behavior in news reading. Despite the success of preference learning in personalized news recommendation, their…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-03 Rikiya Takahashi , Shunan Zhang

This paper models voters who invest effort to determine whether a particular claim relevant to their voting choices is correct. If a voter succeeds in determining whether the claim is correct, this information is shared via a social…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-22 Boris Ginzburg

This aim of this article is to explore the potential use of Wikipedia page view data for predicting electoral results. Responding to previous critiques of work using socially generated data to predict elections, which have argued that these…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-01-05 Taha Yasseri , Jonathan Bright

The integrity of elections is central to democratic systems. However, a myriad of malicious actors aspire to influence election outcomes for financial or political benefit. A common means to such ends is by manipulating perceptions of the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Junlin Wu , Andrew Estornell , Lecheng Kong , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Understanding how to engage users is a critical question in many applications. Previous research has shown that unexpected or astonishing events can attract user attention, leading to positive outcomes such as engagement and learning. In…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2018-07-18 Nalin Chhibber , Rohail Syed , Mengqiu Teng , Joslin Goh , Kevyn Collins-Thompson , Edith Law

In computational social choice, the distortion of a voting rule quantifies the degree to which the rule overcomes limited preference information to select a socially desirable outcome. This concept has been investigated extensively, but…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Yannai A. Gonczarowski , Gregory Kehne , Ariel D. Procaccia , Ben Schiffer , Shirley Zhang

Search systems in online social media sites are frequently used to find information about ongoing events and people. For topics with multiple competing perspectives, such as political events or political candidates, bias in the top ranked…

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