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Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) seeks experiments that maximize the expected information gain (EIG) in model parameters. Directly estimating the EIG using nested Monte Carlo is computationally expensive and requires an explicit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Jiayuan Dong , Christian Jacobsen , Mehdi Khalloufi , Maryam Akram , Wanjiao Liu , Karthik Duraisamy , Xun Huan

We challenge the longstanding assumption that the mean-field approximation for variational inference in Bayesian neural networks is severely restrictive, and show this is not the case in deep networks. We prove several results indicating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-11 Sebastian Farquhar , Lewis Smith , Yarin Gal

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) enable expressive hierarchical Bayesian modeling but pose substantial challenges for posterior inference, especially over inducing variables. Denoising diffusion variational inference (DDVI) addresses this by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Jian Xu , Qibin Zhao , John Paisley , Delu Zeng

We propose a variational Bayesian (VB) approach to learning distributions of latent variables in deep neural network (DNN) models for cross-domain knowledge transfer, to address acoustic mismatches between training and testing conditions.…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-22 Hu Hu , Sabato Marco Siniscalchi , Chao-Han Huck Yang , Chin-Hui Lee

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

To adopt neural networks in safety critical domains, knowing whether we can trust their predictions is crucial. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide uncertainty estimates by averaging predictions with respect to the posterior weight…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Jannik Schmitt , Stefan Roth

MC Dropout is a mainstream "free lunch" method in medical imaging for approximate Bayesian computations (ABC). Its appeal is to solve out-of-the-box the daunting task of ABC and uncertainty quantification in Neural Networks (NNs); to fall…

Dropout has been proven to be an effective algorithm for training robust deep networks because of its ability to prevent overfitting by avoiding the co-adaptation of feature detectors. Current explanations of dropout include bagging, naive…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Xu Shen , Xinmei Tian , Tongliang Liu , Fang Xu , Dacheng Tao

Traditional neural networks are simple to train but they typically produce overconfident predictions. In contrast, Bayesian neural networks provide good uncertainty quantification but optimizing them is time consuming due to the large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Yadi Wei , Roni Khardon

While Bayesian methods are extremely popular in statistics and machine learning, their application to massive datasets is often challenging, when possible at all. Indeed, the classical MCMC algorithms are prohibitively slow when both the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-23 Pierre Alquier , James Ridgway

Bayesian network structure learning is often performed in a Bayesian setting, evaluating candidate structures using their posterior probabilities for a given data set. Score-based algorithms then use those posterior probabilities as an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-04-14 Marco Scutari

I propose a novel approach for nonlinear Logistic regression using a two-layer neural network (NN) model structure with hierarchical priors on the network weights. I present a hybrid of expectation propagation called Variational Expectation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-06 Kehinde Olobatuyi

Bayesian approach, as a useful tool for quantifying uncertainties, has been widely used for solving inverse problems of partial differential equations (PDEs). One of the key difficulties for employing Bayesian approach for the issue is how…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-09 Junxiong Jia , Qian Zhao , Zongben Xu , Deyu Meng , Yee Leung

Bayesian neural network models (BNN) have re-surged in recent years due to the advancement of scalable computations and its utility in solving complex prediction problems in a wide variety of applications. Despite the popularity and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-20 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Zihuan Liu , Tapabrata Maiti

Bayesian inference is known to provide a general framework for incorporating prior knowledge or specific properties into machine learning models via carefully choosing a prior distribution. In this work, we propose a new type of prior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-20 Andrei Atanov , Arsenii Ashukha , Kirill Struminsky , Dmitry Vetrov , Max Welling

In Bayesian analysis, the posterior follows from the data and a choice of a prior and a likelihood. One hopes that the posterior is robust to reasonable variation in the choice of prior, since this choice is made by the modeler and is often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-07 Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick , Michael Jordan

Some machine learning applications require continual learning - where data comes in a sequence of datasets, each is used for training and then permanently discarded. From a Bayesian perspective, continual learning seems straightforward:…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-19 Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal

Variational Bayes (VB) is a popular scalable alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo for Bayesian inference. We study a mean-field spike and slab VB approximation of widely used Bayesian model selection priors in sparse high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-07 Kolyan Ray , Botond Szabo , Gabriel Clara

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is widely believed to perform implicit regularization when used to train deep neural networks, but the precise manner in which this occurs has thus far been elusive. We prove that SGD minimizes an average…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-17 Pratik Chaudhari , Stefano Soatto

Bayesian neural networks attempt to combine the strong predictive performance of neural networks with formal quantification of uncertainty associated with the predictive output in the Bayesian framework. However, it remains unclear how to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-12 Takuo Matsubara , Chris J. Oates , François-Xavier Briol