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Firm disclosures about future prospects are crucial for corporate valuation and compliance with global regulations, such as the EU's MAR and the US's SEC Rule 10b-5 and RegFD. To comply with disclosure obligations, issuers must identify…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Moritz Scherrmann , Ralf Elsas

This article demontrates that we can apply deep learning to text understanding from character-level inputs all the way up to abstract text concepts, using temporal convolutional networks (ConvNets). We apply ConvNets to various large-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-04-05 Xiang Zhang , Yann LeCun

Machine learning plays an essential role in preventing financial losses in the banking industry. Perhaps the most pertinent prediction task that can result in billions of dollars in losses each year is the assessment of credit risk (i.e.,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-01-01 Jillian M. Clements , Di Xu , Nooshin Yousefi , Dmitry Efimov

Causal inference, a critical tool for informing business decisions, traditionally relies heavily on structured data. However, in many real-world scenarios, such data can be incomplete or unavailable. This paper presents a framework that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Boning Zhou , Ziyu Wang , Han Hong , Haoqi Hu

Detecting opportunities and threats from massive text data is a challenging task for most. Traditionally, companies would rely mainly on structured data to detect and predict risks, losing a huge amount of information that could be…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-11-24 Hasna Najmi , Mounia Mikram , Maryem Rhanoui , Siham Yousfi

Credit risk assessment of a company is commonly conducted by utilizing financial ratios that are derived from its financial statements. However, this approach may not fully encompass other significant aspects of a company. We propose the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-29 Xinlin Wang , Mats Brorsson

Deep learning has shown remarkable results on Euclidean data (e.g. audio, images, text) however this type of data is limited in the amount of relational information it can hold. In mathematics we can model more general relational data in a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-20 Edward Turner

Large amount of public data produced by enterprises are in semi-structured PDF form. Tabular data extraction from reports and other published data in PDF format is of interest for various data consolidation purposes such as analysing and…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-01-16 Rahul Anand , Hye-Young Paik , Cheng Wang

We show how text from news articles can be used to predict intraday price movements of financial assets using support vector machines. Multiple kernel learning is used to combine equity returns with text as predictive features to increase…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2009-06-24 Ronny Luss , Alexandre d'Aspremont

Adjusting for latent covariates is crucial for estimating causal effects from observational textual data. Most existing methods only account for confounding covariates that affect both treatment and outcome, potentially leading to biased…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Yuxiang Zhou , Yulan He

Share valuations are known to adjust to new information entering the market, such as regulatory disclosures. We study whether the language of such news items can improve short-term and especially long-term (24 months) forecasts of stock…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-27 Stefan Feuerriegel , Julius Gordon

In the evolving field of corporate sustainability, analyzing unstructured Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) reports is a complex challenge due to their varied formats and intricate content. This study introduces an innovative…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-01-09 Jiahui Peng , Jing Gao , Xin Tong , Jing Guo , Hang Yang , Jianchuan Qi , Ruiqiao Li , Nan Li , Ming Xu

Standard methods and theories in finance can be ill-equipped to capture highly non-linear interactions in financial prediction problems based on large-scale datasets, with deep learning offering a way to gain insights into correlations in…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-04-22 Ben Moews , Gbenga Ibikunle

Companies today are racing to leverage the latest digital technologies, such as artificial intelligence, blockchain, and cloud computing. However, many companies report that their strategies did not achieve the anticipated business results.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-12-04 Ahmed Ghanim Al-Ali , Robert Phaal , Donald Sull

Using a comprehensive sample of 2,585 bankruptcies from 1990 to 2019, we benchmark the performance of various machine learning models in predicting financial distress of publicly traded U.S. firms. We find that gradient boosted trees…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-26 Emmanuel Alanis , Sudheer Chava , Agam Shah

Extracting information from unstructured text documents is a demanding task, since these documents can have a broad variety of different layouts and a non-trivial reading order, like it is the case for multi-column documents or nested…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-02-08 Matthias Engelbach , Dennis Klau , Jens Drawehn , Maximilien Kintz

Financial distress of municipalities, although comparable to bankruptcy of private companies, has a far more serious impact on the well-being of communities. For this reason, it is essential to detect deficits as soon as possible.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-23 Dario Piermarini , Antonio M. Sudoso , Veronica Piccialli

Financial forecasting has been an important and active area of machine learning research, as even the most modest advantage in predictive accuracy can be parlayed into significant financial gains. Recent advances in natural language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-05 Linyi Yang , Yingpeng Ma , Yue Zhang

Deep neural networks are increasingly being used for the analysis of medical images. However, most works neglect the uncertainty in the model's prediction. We propose an uncertainty-aware deep kernel learning model which permits the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-11 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Jindong Gu , Volker Tresp

Accurate and explainable health event predictions are becoming crucial for healthcare providers to develop care plans for patients. The availability of electronic health records (EHR) has enabled machine learning advances in providing these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-18 Chang Lu , Chandan K. Reddy , Prithwish Chakraborty , Samantha Kleinberg , Yue Ning