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We determine the full distribution and moments of the first passage time for a wide class of stochastic search processes in the limit of frequent stochastic resetting. Our results apply to any system whose short-time behavior of the search…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-02-22 Samantha Linn , Sean D Lawley

Oversubscribed treatments are often allocated using randomized waiting lists. Applicants are ranked randomly, and treatment offers are made following that ranking until all seats are filled. To estimate causal effects, researchers often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-24 Clement de Chaisemartin , Luc Behaghel

In this paper, we consider a mobility system of travelers and providers, and propose a "mobility game" to study when a traveler is matched to a provider. Each traveler seeks to travel using the services of only one provider, who manages one…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-14 Ioannis Vasileios Chremos , Andreas Malikopoulos

We have collected and analysed prices for more than 1.4 million flight tickets involving 63 destinations and 125 airlines and have found that common sense violation i.e., discrepancies between what consumers would expect and what truly…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2015-11-05 Symeon Meichanetzoglou , Sotiris Ioannidis , Nikolaos Laoutaris

Two players alternate tossing a biased coin where the probability of getting heads is p. The current player is awarded alpha points for tails and alpha+beta for heads. The first player reaching n points wins. For a completely unfair coin…

概率论 · 数学 2011-12-15 Robert W. Chen , Burton Rosenberg

We consider one-dimensional asymmetric exclusion processes with a simple attractive interaction, where the distance between consecutive particles is not allowed to exceed a certain limit and investigate the consequences of this coupling on…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Róbert Juhász

Predicting if passengers in a connecting flight will lose their connection is paramount for airline profitability. We present novel machine learning-based decision support models for the different stages of connection flight management,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-04 Marta Guimaraes , Claudia Soares , Rodrigo Ventura

In public transport networks disruptions may occur and lead to travel delays. It is thus interesting to determine whether a traveler can be resilient to delays that occur unexpectedly, ensuring that they can reach their destination in time…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2023-08-24 Thomas Depian , Christoph Kern , Sebastian Röder , Soeren Terziadis , Markus Wallinger

Understanding passengers' path choice behavior in urban rail systems is a prerequisite for effective operations and planning. This paper attempts bridging the gap by proposing a probabilistic approach to infer passengers' path choice…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-11 Baichuan Mo , ZhenLiang Ma , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

The following problem is considered. Two players are each required to allocate a quota of~$n$ counters among~$k$ boxes labelled~$1,2,\ldots,k$. At times $t=1,2,3,\ldots$ a random box is identified; the probability of choosing box~$i$…

组合数学 · 数学 2022-10-06 Robin K. S. Hankin

Current navigation systems conflate time-to-drive with the true time-to-arrive by ignoring parking search duration and the final walking leg. Such underestimation can significantly affect user experience, mode choice, congestion, and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-03 Cameron Hickert , Sirui Li , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu

It has been recently suggested that a totally asymmetric exclusion process with two species on an open chain could exhibit spontaneous symmetry breaking in some range of the parameters defining its dynamics. The symmetry breaking is…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-28 C. Godreche , J. M. Luck , M. R. Evans , D. Mukamel , S. Sandow , E. R. Speer

This paper considers a variant of the online paging problem, where the online algorithm has access to multiple predictors, each producing a sequence of predictions for the page arrival times. The predictors may have occasional prediction…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2020-11-20 Yuval Emek , Shay Kutten , Yangguang Shi

Automatic passenger counting (APC) in public transport has been introduced in the 1970s and has been rapidly emerging in recent years. Still, real-world applications continue to face events that are difficult to classify. The induced…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-20 Michael Siebert , David Ellenberger

We consider a card guessing game with complete feedback. An ordered deck of $n$ cards labeled $1$ up to $n$ is shelf-shuffled exactly one time. One after the other a single card is drawn from the shuffled deck. The guesser makes has guess…

组合数学 · 数学 2026-02-24 Markus Kuba

Travel decisions tend to exhibit sensitivity to uncertainty and information processing constraints. These behavioural conditions can be characterized by a generative learning process. We propose a data-driven generative model version of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-07-29 Melvin Wong , Bilal Farooq

The absent-minded driver's problem illustrates that probabilistic strategies can give higher pay-offs than deterministic ones. We show that there are strategies using quantum entangled states that give even higher pay-offs, both for the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-07-28 Adan Cabello , John Calsamiglia

We offer a natural and extensible measure-theoretic treatment of missingness at random. Within the standard missing data framework, we give a novel characterisation of the observed data as a stopping-set sigma algebra. We demonstrate that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Daniel Farewell , Rhian Daniel , Shaun Seaman

We consider a pursuit-evasion problem with a heterogeneous team of multiple pursuers and multiple evaders. Although both the pursuers (robots) and the evaders are aware of each others' control and assignment strategies, they do not have…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Leiming Zhang , Amanda Prorok , Subhrajit Bhattacharya

We study a routing game in an environment with multiple heterogeneous information systems and an uncertain state that affects edge costs of a congested network. Each information system sends a noisy signal about the state to its subscribed…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-03-10 Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin , Asuman E. Ozdaglar