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相关论文: Analysis of Daily Streamflow Complexity by Kolmogo…

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Predicting the spatiotemporal variation in streamflow along with uncertainty quantification enables decision-making for sustainable management of scarce water resources. Process-based hydrological models (aka physics-based models) are based…

Accurate, localised rainfall information is essential for applications such as agricultural planning, climate risk assessment, and water resources management. Gridded climate products provide rainfall information over large areas but can…

A large fraction of major waterways have dams influencing streamflow, which must be accounted for in large-scale hydrologic modeling. However, daily streamflow prediction for basins with dams is challenging for various modeling approaches,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-09 Wenyu Ouyang , Kathryn Lawson , Dapeng Feng , Lei Ye , Chi Zhang , Chaopeng Shen

This study employs Krylov-based information measures to understand task performance in quantum reservoir computing, a sub-field of quantum machine learning. In our study we show that fidelity and spread complexity can only explain the task…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-03-10 Saud Čindrak , Lina Jaurigue , Kathy Lüdge

Analyzing field data from pumping tests, we show that as with many other natural phenomena, groundwater flow exhibits a complex dynamics described by 1/f power spectrum. This result is theoretically studied within an agent perspective.…

Reservoir computing is a powerful framework for modeling dynamical systems due to its universality and computational efficiency. However, a major challenge is achieving a forecast with accurate long-time statistics, or climate, which is…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-05-05 Akira Kawano , Ilia Soroka , Greg J. Stephens

Predictability of behavior has emerged an an important characteristic in many fields including biology, medicine, and marketing. Behavior can be recorded as a sequence of actions performed by an individual over a given time period. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-13 Brian Vegetabile , Jenny Molet , Tallie Z. Baram , Hal Stern

A theoretical estimate of the explicit time dependence of a drainage water of shallow lakes is presented as an important contribution for understanding the lake dynamics. This information can be obtained from a sum of functions, largely…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Lea J. El-Jaick , A. A. Gomes

Generating long-term trajectories of dissipative chaotic systems autoregressively is a highly challenging task. The inherent positive Lyapunov exponents amplify prediction errors over time. Many chaotic systems possess a crucial property -…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-05-27 Yi He , Yiming Yang , Xiaoyuan Cheng , Hai Wang , Xiao Xue , Boli Chen , Yukun Hu

Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a long-standing challenge for water resources science. The majority of the world's freshwater resources have inadequate monitoring of critical environmental…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-29 Jared D. Willard , Charuleka Varadharajan , Xiaowei Jia , Vipin Kumar

Recent observations with varied schedules and types (moving average, snapshot, or regularly spaced) can help to improve streamflow forecasts, but it is challenging to integrate them effectively. Based on a long short-term memory (LSTM)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-09 Dapeng Feng , Kuai Fang , Chaopeng Shen

Monthly streamflow records from a set of gauging stations, selected to form a reference hydrologic network, are analyzed together with precipitation and temperature data to establish whether the streamflows in the Guadalquivir River Basin…

There has been active investigation into deep learning approaches for time series analysis, including foundation models. However, most studies do not address significant scientific applications. This paper aims to identify key features in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Junyang He , Ying-Jung Chen , Alireza Jafari , Anushka Idamekorala , Geoffrey Fox

Extreme streamflow is a key indicator of flood risk, and quantifying the changes in its distribution under non-stationary climate conditions is key to mitigating the impact of flooding events. We propose a non-stationary process mixture…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-08 Reetam Majumder , Brian Reich

An adaptive sampling approach for efficient detection of bifurcation boundaries in parametrized fluid flow problems is presented herein. The study extends the machine-learning approach of Silvester~(J. Comput. Phys., 553 (2026), 114743),…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-02-19 Anshima Singh , David J. Silvester

Data assimilation (DA) enables hydrologic models to update their internal states using near-real-time observations for more accurate forecasts. With deep neural networks like long short-term memory (LSTM), using either lagged observations…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-02-25 Amirmoez Jamaat , Yalan Song , Farshid Rahmani , Jiangtao Liu , Kathryn Lawson , Chaopeng Shen

Streamflow prediction is one of the key challenges in the field of hydrology due to the complex interplay between multiple non-linear physical mechanisms behind streamflow generation. While physics based models are rooted in rich…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-12 Ankush Khandelwal , Shaoming Xu , Xiang Li , Xiaowei Jia , Michael Stienbach , Christopher Duffy , John Nieber , Vipin Kumar

Chaotic systems are notoriously challenging to predict because of their sensitivity to perturbations and errors due to time stepping. Despite this unpredictable behavior, for many dissipative systems the statistics of the long term…

Streamflow, as a natural phenomenon, is continuous in time and so are the meteorological variables which influence its variability. In practice, it can be of interest to forecast the whole flow curve instead of points (daily or hourly). To…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-20 Pierre Masselot , Sophie Dabo-Niang , Fateh Chebana , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda

Robust hydrological simulation is key for sustainable development, water management strategies, and climate change adaptation. In recent years, deep learning methods have been demonstrated to outperform mechanistic models at the task of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 James Tlhomole , Edoardo Borgomeo , Karthikeyan Matheswaran , Mariangel Garcia Andarcia