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Paired comparison models are used for analyzing data that involves pairwise comparisons among a set of objects. When the outcomes of the pairwise comparisons have no ties, the paired comparison models can be generalized as a class of binary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-29 Ran Huo , Mark E. Glickman

We study the training dynamics of neural classifiers through the lens of binary hypothesis testing. We re-formalize classification as a collection of binary tests between class-conditional distributions induced by learned representations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Kadircan Aksoy , Protim Bhattacharjee , Peter Jung

We study the geometry of Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) and Precision-Recall (PR) curves in binary classification problems. The key finding is that many of the most commonly used binary classification metrics are merely functions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Reza Sameni

Predictions are often probabilities; e.g., a prediction could be for precipitation tomorrow, but with only a 30% chance. Given such probabilistic predictions together with the actual outcomes, "reliability diagrams" help detect and diagnose…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-15 Imanol Arrieta-Ibarra , Paman Gujral , Jonathan Tannen , Mark Tygert , Cherie Xu

How do we compare between hypotheses that are entirely consistent with observations? The marginal likelihood (aka Bayesian evidence), which represents the probability of generating our observations from a prior, provides a distinctive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-03 Sanae Lotfi , Pavel Izmailov , Gregory Benton , Micah Goldblum , Andrew Gordon Wilson

The Partial Area Under the ROC Curve (PAUC), typically including One-way Partial AUC (OPAUC) and Two-way Partial AUC (TPAUC), measures the average performance of a binary classifier within a specific false positive rate and/or true positive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-12 Huiyang Shao , Qianqian Xu , Zhiyong Yang , Shilong Bao , Qingming Huang

We formulate a supervised learning problem, referred to as continuous ranking, where a continuous real-valued label Y is assigned to an observable r.v. X taking its values in a feature space $\mathcal{X}$ and the goal is to order all…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-01-18 Stephan Clémençon , Mastane Achab

We study the problem of fair binary classification using the notion of Equal Opportunity. It requires the true positive rate to distribute equally across the sensitive groups. Within this setting we show that the fair optimal classifier is…

The goal of a learning algorithm is to receive a training data set as input and provide a hypothesis that can generalize to all possible data points from a domain set. The hypothesis is chosen from hypothesis classes with potentially…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-03-29 Soosan Beheshti , Mahdi Shamsi

We consider the problem of detecting a `bump' in the intensity of a Poisson process or in a density. We analyze two types of likelihood ratio based statistics which allow for exact finite sample inference and asymptotically optimal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-26 Camilo Rivera , Guenther Walther

When performing regression or classification, we are interested in the conditional probability distribution for an outcome or class variable Y given a set of explanatoryor input variables X. We consider Bayesian models for this task. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

The vast majority of statistical theory on binary classification characterizes performance in terms of accuracy. However, accuracy is known in many cases to poorly reflect the practical consequences of classification error, most famously in…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-27 Shashank Singh , Justin Khim

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

A standard approach in pattern classification is to estimate the distributions of the label classes, and then to apply the Bayes classifier to the estimates of the distributions in order to classify unlabeled examples. As one might expect,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Nick Palmer , Paul W. Goldberg

In this paper, we show the arc length of the optimal ROC curve is an $f$-divergence. By leveraging this result, we express the arc length using a variational objective and estimate it accurately using positive and negative samples. We show…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-19 Song Liu

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are plots of true positive rate versus false positive rate which are used to evaluate binary classification algorithms. Because the Area Under the Curve (AUC) is a constant function of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Kyle R. Rust , Toby D. Hocking

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are useful for evaluation in binary classification and changepoint detection, but difficult to use for learning since the Area Under the Curve (AUC) is piecewise constant (gradient zero almost…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-14 Jadon Fowler , Toby Dylan Hocking

When evaluating medical tests or biomarkers for disease classification, the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a widely used performance metric that does not require us to commit to a specific decision…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-21 Wanhua Su , Yan Yuan , Mu Zhu

An implementation of a nonparametric Bayesian approach to solving binary classification problems on graphs is described. A hierarchical Bayesian approach with a randomly scaled Gaussian prior is considered. The prior uses the graph…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-16 Jarno Hartog , Harry van Zanten

In several interesting applications one is faced with the problem of simultaneous binary hypothesis testing and parameter estimation. Although such joint problems are not infrequent, there exist no systematic analysis in the literature that…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-11-25 George V. Moustakides