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This work proposes an estimator with both Peak-Over-Threshold and Block-Maxima flavors, uses it to estimate the Pickands dependence function of bivariate time series, and illustrates how it brings down the asymptotic bias and the overall…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-15 Nan Zou

We consider disjoint and sliding blocks estimators of cluster indices for multivariate, regularly varying time series in the Peak-over-Threshold framework. We aim to provide a complete description of the limiting behaviour of these…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-07 Zaoli Chen , Rafał Kulik

Parametric inference for spatial max-stable processes is difficult since the related likelihoods are unavailable. A composite likelihood approach based on the bivariate distribution of block maxima has been recently proposed in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-05-08 Jean-Noel Bacro , Carlo Gaetan

The mutual information method has demonstrated to be very useful for deriving the potential order parameter of a system. Although the method suggests some constraints which help to define this quantity, there is still some freedom in the…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2024-10-08 Ivan Arraut , Wing Chi Yu

In solving a system of $n$ linear equations in $d$ variables $Ax=b$, the condition number of the $n,d$ matrix $A$ measures how much errors in the data $b$ affect the solution $x$. Estimates of this type are important in many inverse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-29 Tomaso Poggio , Gil Kur , Andrzej Banburski

The difference between a model forecast and actual observations is called forecast bias. This bias is due to either incomplete model assumptions and/or poorly known parameter values and initial/boundary conditions. In this paper we discuss…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2010-11-09 Sean Crowell , S. Lakshmivarahan

A new notion of stochastic ordering is introduced to compare multivariate stochastic risk models with respect to extreme portfolio losses. In the framework of multivariate regular variation comparison criteria are derived in terms of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-10-26 Georg Mainik , Ludger Rüschendorf

This paper develops a comprehensive extension of the $\Lambda$-set framework for optimal control, introducing second-order $\Lambda$-sets and generalizing the theory to non-smooth, hybrid, and stochastic hybrid systems. We first establish…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-11 Mohammad H. M Rashid

First-order stochastic methods are the state-of-the-art in large-scale machine learning optimization owing to efficient per-iteration complexity. Second-order methods, while able to provide faster convergence, have been much less explored…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-01 Naman Agarwal , Brian Bullins , Elad Hazan

This paper is concerned with the derivation of first- and second-order sufficient optimality conditions for optimistic bilevel optimization problems involving smooth functions. First-order sufficient optimality conditions are obtained by…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-11-06 Patrick Mehlitz , Alain B. Zemkoho

The relationship between a response variable and its covariates can vary significantly, especially in scenarios where covariates take on extremely high or low values. This paper introduces a max-linear tail regression model specifically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-24 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Zhengjun Zhang

This paper focuses on systems of nonlinear second-order stochastic differential equations with multi-scales. The motivation for our study stems from mathematical physics and statistical mechanics, for examples, Langevin dynamics and…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-08 Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

The block maxima method is a standard approach for analyzing the extremal behavior of a potentially multivariate time series. It has recently been found that the classical approach based on disjoint block maxima may be universally improved…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-26 Axel Bücher , Torben Staud

The core of the classical block maxima method consists of fitting an extreme value distribution to a sample of maxima over blocks extracted from an underlying series. In asymptotic theory, it is usually postulated that the block maxima are…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-09 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

It is often unnoticed that the predominant way to use collocation methods is fundamentally flawed when applied to optimal control in robotics. Such methods assume that the system dynamics is given by a first order ODE, whereas robots are…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-02-20 Siro Moreno-Martín , Lluís Ros , Enric Celaya

This paper contains a study of multivariate second order stochastic mappings indexed by an abstract set $\Lambda$ in close connection to their operator covariance functions. The characterizations of the normal Hilbert module or of Hilbert…

泛函分析 · 数学 2015-01-27 Pastorel Gaspar , Lorena Popa

A well-balanced second-order finite volume scheme is proposed and analyzed for a 2 X 2 system of non-linear partial differential equations which describes the dynamics of growing sandpiles created by a vertical source on a flat, bounded…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-01-04 Aekta Aggarwal , Veerappa Gowda G. D. , Sudarshan Kumar K

Many machine learning models involve solving optimization problems. Thus, it is important to deal with a large-scale optimization problem in big data applications. Recently, subsampled Newton methods have emerged to attract much attention…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2020-03-24 Haishan Ye , Luo Luo , Zhihua Zhang

Necessary conditions for high-order optimality in smooth nonlinear constrained optimization are explored and their inherent intricacy discussed. A two-phase minimization algorithm is proposed which can achieve approximate first-, second-…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-31 C. Cartis , N. I. M. Gould , Ph. L. Toint