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In this article, by using composite asymmetric least squares (CALS) and empirical likelihood, we propose a two-step procedure to estimate the conditional value at risk (VaR) and conditional expected shortfall (ES) for the GARCH series.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-05 Sheng Wu , Yi Zhang , Jun Zhao , Liming Shen

Tail asymptotics of the solution $R$ to a fixpoint problem of type $R =_{st} Q + \sum_1^N R_m$ is derived under heavy-tailed conditions allowing both dependence between $Q$ and $N$ and the tails to be of the same order of magnitude. Similar…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-15 Søren Asmussen , Sergey Foss

Recursive blocked algorithms have proven to be highly efficient at the numerical solution of the Sylvester matrix equation and its generalizations. In this work, we show that these algorithms extend in a seamless fashion to…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-05-24 Minhong Chen , Daniel Kressner

Stochastic-approximation gradient methods are attractive for large-scale convex optimization because they offer inexpensive iterations. They are especially popular in data-fitting and machine-learning applications where the data arrives in…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-01-09 Michael P. Friedlander , Gabriel Goh

This study examines the varying coefficient model in tail index regression. The varying coefficient model is an efficient semiparametric model that avoids the curse of dimensionality when including large covariates in the model. In fact,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-12 Koki Momoki , Takuma Yoshida

The sums and maxima of weighted non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraints are that there exists a unique…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Natalia Markovich

We prove recursive formulas for sums of squares and sums of triangular numbers in terms of sums of divisors functions and we give a variety of consequences of these formulas. Intermediate applications include statements about positivity of…

数论 · 数学 2011-06-23 Mohamed El Bachraoui

For all positive non-square integer multiplier k, there is an infinity of multiples of triangular numbers which are also triangular numbers. With a simple change of variables, these triangular numbers can be found using solutions of Pell…

数论 · 数学 2021-04-22 Vladimir Pletser

We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-12 Yuan Ke , Stanislav Minsker , Zhao Ren , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

We look at joint regular variation properties of MA($\infty$) processes of the form $\mathbf{X} = (X_k, k \in \mathbb{Z})$ where $X_k = \sum_{j=0}^{\infty} \psi_j Z_{k-j}$ and the sequence of random variables $(Z_i, i \in \mathbb{Z})$ are…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-01 Sideny I. Resnick , Joyjit Roy

For purposes of Value-at-Risk estimation, we consider several multivariate families of heavy-tailed distributions, which can be seen as multidimensional versions of Paretian stable and Student's t distributions allowing different marginals…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-12-20 Carlo Marinelli , Stefano d'Addona , Svetlozar T. Rachev

We consider the problem of supervised dimension reduction with a particular focus on extreme values of the target $Y\in\mathbb{R}$ to be explained by a covariate vector $X \in \mathbb{R}^p$. The general purpose is to define and estimate a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-27 Anass Aghbalou , François Portier , Anne Sabourin , Chen Zhou

To consider a high-dimensional random process, we propose a notion about stochastic tensor-valued random process (TRP). In this work, we first attempt to apply a generic chaining method to derive tail bounds for all p-th moments of the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-02 Shih-Yu Chang

This paper presents a novel semiparametric method to study the effects of extreme events on binary outcomes and subsequently forecast future outcomes. Our approach, based on Bayes' theorem and regularly varying (RV) functions, facilitates a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-25 Laura Liu , Yulong Wang

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

We consider the tail behavior of random variables $R$ which are solutions of the distributional equation $R\stackrel{d}{=}Q+MR$, where $(Q,M)$ is independent of $R$ and $|M|\le 1$. Goldie and Gr\"{u}bel showed that the tails of $R$ are no…

概率论 · 数学 2010-02-08 Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

The paper presents an efficient method for simulating the tails of a target variable Z=h(X) which depends on a set of basic variables X=(X_1, ..., X_n). To this aim, variables X_i, i=1, ..., n are sequentially simulated in such a manner…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-18 Enrique F. Castillo , Cristina Solares , Patricia Gomez

This paper develops and estimates a multivariate affine GARCH(1,1) model with Normal Inverse Gaussian innovations that captures time-varying volatility, heavy tails, and dynamic correlation across asset returns. We generalize the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-20 Ayush Jha , Abootaleb Shirvani , Ali Jaffri , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

We prove tail triviality of determinantal point processes $ \mu $ on continuous spaces. Tail triviality had been proved for such processes only on discrete spaces, and hence we have generalized the result to continuous spaces. To do this,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-06 Hirofumi Osada , Shota Osada

Cyclic and randomized stepsizes are widely used in the deep learning practice and can often outperform standard stepsize choices such as constant stepsize in SGD. Despite their empirical success, not much is currently known about when and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-08-30 Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Yuanhan Hu , Umut Şimşekli , Lingjiong Zhu