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Electricity load forecasting is a necessary capability for power system operators and electricity market participants. The proliferation of local generation, demand response, and electrification of heat and transport are changing the…

Airborne wind energy systems aim to generate renewable energy by means of the aerodynamic lift produced by a wing tethered to the ground and controlled to fly crosswind paths. The problem of maximizing the average power developed by the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-09-23 Aldo U. Zgraggen , Lorenzo Fagiano , Manfred Morari

Probabilistic wind power forecasting approaches have significantly advanced in recent decades. However, forecasters often assume data completeness and overlook the challenge of missing values resulting from sensor failures, network…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-25 Honglin Wen

This paper presents a new active power control algorithm designed to maximize the power reserve of the individual turbines in a farm, in order to improve the tracking accuracy of a power reference signal. The control architecture is based…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-07-11 Simone Tamaro , Carlo L. Bottasso

This paper suggests leveraging reactive power potential (RPP) embedded in wind farms to improve power system operational safety and optimality. First, three typical RPP provision approaches are analyzed and a two-stage robust linear…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-10-12 Yu Zhou , Zhengshuo Li

When machine learning systems meet real world applications, accuracy is only one of several requirements. In this paper, we assay a complementary perspective originating from the increasing availability of pre-trained and regularly…

Wind integration in power grids is very difficult, essentially because of the uncertain nature of wind speed. Forecasting errors on output from wind turbines may have costly consequences. For instance, power might be bought at highest price…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-04-28 Luckny Zéphyr , C. Lindsay Anderson

A novel approach is applied for improving forecast accuracy and achieving coherence in forecasting the Italian daily energy generation time series. In hierarchical frameworks such as national energy generation disaggregated by geographical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Daniele Girolimetto , Tommaso Di Fonzo

As penetration of wind power generation increases, system operators must account for its stochastic nature in a reliable and cost-efficient manner. These conflicting objectives can be traded-off by accounting for the variability and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-11-11 Yury Dvorkin , Miles Lubin , Scott Backhaus , Michael Chertkov

A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel

To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Uncertainties from deepening penetration of renewable energy resources have posed critical challenges to the secure and reliable operations of future electric grids. Among various approaches for decision making in uncertain environments,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-04-16 Xinbo Geng , Le Xie

An important task for any large-scale organization is to prepare forecasts of key performance metrics. Often these organizations are structured in a hierarchical manner and for operational reasons, projections of these metrics may have been…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Julie Novak , Scott McGarvie , Beatriz Etchegaray Garcia

In recent decades, new methods and approaches have been developed for forecasting intermittent demand series. However, the majority of research has focused on point forecasting, with little exploration into probabilistic intermittent demand…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-16 Shengjie Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos

Wind energy plays a critical role in the transition towards renewable energy sources. However, the uncertainty and variability of wind can impede its full potential and the necessary growth of wind power capacity. To mitigate these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Stefan Jonas , Kevin Winter , Bernhard Brodbeck , Angela Meyer

We study the applicability of GNNs to the problem of wind energy forecasting. We find that certain architectures achieve performance comparable to our best CNN-based benchmark. The study is conducted on three wind power facilities using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Javier Castellano , Ignacio Villanueva

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change proposes different mitigation strategies to achieve the net emissions reductions that would be required to follow a pathway that limits global warming to 1.5{\deg}C with no or limited overshoot.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-12-10 Jonathan Dumas

This paper addresses the energy management of a grid-connected renewable generation plant coupled with a battery energy storage device in the capacity firming market, designed to promote renewable power generation facilities in small…

Accurate intraday forecasts are essential for power system operations, complementing day-ahead forecasts that gradually lose relevance as new information becomes available. This paper introduces a Bayesian updating mechanism that converts…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Kutay Bölat , Peter Palensky , Simon Tindemans

We present a regime-switching vector-autoregressive method for very-short-term wind speed forecasting at multiple locations with regimes based on large-scale meteorological phenomena. Statistical methods short-term wind forecasting…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-05-31 Jethro Browell , Daniel R. Drew , Kostas Philippopoulos