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相关论文: Estimating the Maximum Intensities of Soft X-ray F…

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Space weather events such as solar flares can be harmful for life and infrastructure on earth or in near-earth orbit. In this paper we employ extreme value theory (EVT) to model extreme solar flare events; EVT offers the appropriate tools…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-30 Thomai Tsiftsi , Victor De la Luz

Space weather events can negatively affect satellites, the electricity grid, satellite navigation systems and human health. As a consequence, extreme space weather has been added to the UK and other national risk registers. By their very…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-10-20 Sean Elvidge , Matthew J. Angling

The most powerful explosions on the Sun [...] drive the most severe space-weather storms. Proxy records of flare energies based on SEPs in principle may offer the longest time base to study infrequent large events. We conclude that one…

Solar flares stronger than X10 (S-flares, >X10) are the highest class flares which significantly impact on the Sun's evolution and space weather. Based on observations of Geostationary Orbiting Environmental Satellites (GOES) at soft X-ray…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-01-10 Baolin Tan , Yin Zhang , Jing Huang , Kaifan Ji

Space weather events may cause damage to several fields, including aviation, satellites, oil and gas industries, and electrical systems, leading to economic and commercial losses. Solar flares are one of the most significant events, and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-06-25 T. Cinto , A. L. S. Gradvohl , G. P. Coelho , A. E. A. da Silva

Solar flares are among the most powerful and dynamic events in the solar system, resulting from the sudden release of magnetic energy stored in the Sun's atmosphere. These energetic bursts of electromagnetic radiation can release up to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-05-07 Julia Bringewald

We investigate the statistical properties of the extreme events of the solar cycle as measured by the sunspot number. The recent advances in the methodology of the theory of extreme values is applied to the maximal extremes of the time…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 A. Asensio Ramos

Solar flares, along with other sun-originated events such as Coronal Mass Ejections, fast solar wind streams, and solar energetic particles are among the most relevant events in Space Weather. Moreover, solar flares are the most energetic…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-11-21 Nicola Plutino , Francesco Berrilli , Dario Del Moro , Luca Giovannelli

Solar flares are the largest energy-release events in the Solar System, allowing us to study fundamental physical phenomena under extreme conditions. Those include magnetic reconnection, particle acceleration, radiation transport, and…

This research provides an analysis of extreme events in the solar wind and in the magnetosphere due to disturbances of the solar wind. Extreme value theory has been applied to a 20 year data set from the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE)…

空间物理 · 物理学 2021-12-02 C. Larrodera , L. Nikitina , C. Cid

Solar flares occur in complex sunspot groups, but it remains unclear how the probability of producing a flare of a given magnitude relates to the characteristics of the sunspot group. Here, we use Geostationary Operational Environmental…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2012-02-28 D. Shaun Bloomfield , Paul A. Higgins , R. T. James McAteer , Peter T. Gallagher

Solar flares and CMEs have a broad range of magnitudes. This review discusses the possibility of "extreme events," defined as those with magnitudes greater than have been seen in the existing historical record. For most quantitative…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-09-02 Hugh S. Hudson

Solar flare activity in cycle 24 is studied. Satellite observations of x-ray fluxes from GOES-15 and UV emission lines from the SDO/EVE experiment are used. The most powerful flares of cycle 24 in classes X9.3 and X8.2 in September 2017 are…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-07-04 E. A. Bruevich , V. V. Bruevich

We present a statistical analysis of properties of Soft X-Ray (SXR) emission, plasma temperature (T), and emission measure (EM), derived from GOES observations of flares in 2002-2017. The temperature and emission measures are obtained using…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-03-27 Viacheslav M Sadykov , Alexander G Kosovichev , Irina N Kitiashvili , Alexander Frolov

Solar active regions and the processes that occur in them have been extensively studied and analyzed and many types of models and characterizations have been proposed for the occurrence of different eruptive events that take place in the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-09 N. Granados Hernández , S. Vargas Domínguez

Many questions have to be answered before understanding the relationship between the emerging magnetic flux through the solar surface and the extreme geoeffective events. Which threshold determines the onset of the eruption? What is the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-08-08 Brigitte Schmieder

Extreme space weather events including $\ge$X5.0 flares, ground level enhancement (GLE) events and super geomagnetic storms (Dst $\le$ -250 nT) caused by super active regions (SARs) during solar cycles 21-24 were studied. The total number…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-06-23 Gui-Ming Le , Gui-Ang Liu , Ming-Xian Zhao , Tian Mao , Ping-Guo Xu

Based on a sample of 1114 flares observed simultaneously in hard X-rays (HXR) by the BATSE instrument and in soft X-rays (SXR) by GOES, we studied several aspects of the Neupert effect and its interpretation in the frame of the…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 A. Veronig , B. Vrsnak , B. R. Dennis , M. Temmer , A. Hanslmeier , J. Magdalenic

We have evaluated the energetics of 38 solar eruptive events observed by a variety of spacecraft instruments between February 2002 and December 2006, as accurately as the observations allow. The measured energetic components include: (1)…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-11 A. G. Emslie , B. R. Dennis , A. Y. Shih , P. C. Chamberlin , R. A. Mewaldt , C. S. Moore , G. H. Share , A. Vourlidas , B. T. Welsch

Solar flares strongly affect the Sun's atmosphere as well as the Earth's environment. Quantifying the maximum possible energy of solar flares of the present-day Sun, if any, is thus a key question in heliophysics. The largest solar flares…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-12 G. Aulanier , P. Demoulin , C. J. Schrijver , M. Janvier , E. Pariat , B. Schmieder
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