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相关论文: Sign-Perturbed Sums: A New System Identification A…

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We propose a generalization of the recently developed system identification method called Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS). The proposed construction is based on the instrumental variables estimate and, unlike the original SPS, it can construct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-17 Valerio Volpe , Balázs Cs. Csáji , Algo Carè , Erik Weyer , Marco C. Campi

Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) is a system identification method that constructs confidence regions for the unknown system parameters. In this paper, we study SPS for ARX systems, and establish that the confidence regions are guaranteed to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-02-20 Algo Carè , Erik Weyer , Balázs Cs. Csáji , Marco C. Campi

Sign-Perturbed Sum (SPS) is a powerful finite-sample system identification algorithm which can construct confidence regions for the true data generating system with exact coverage probabilities, for any finite sample size. SPS was developed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

We study the sample complexity of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) method, which constructs exact, non-asymptotic confidence regions for the true system parameters under mild statistical assumptions, such as independent and symmetric noise…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

Hypothesis testing methods that do not rely on exact distribution assumptions have been emerging lately. The method of sign-perturbed sums (SPS) is capable of characterizing confidence regions with exact confidence levels for linear…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-07-03 Sándor Kolumbán , István Vajk , Johan Schoukens

The paper suggests a generalization of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) finite sample system identification method for the identification of closed-loop observable stochastic linear systems in state-space form. The solution builds on the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-11 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

This letter studies a distribution-free, finite-sample data perturbation (DP) method, the Residual-Permuted Sums (RPS), which is an alternative of the Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS) algorithm, to construct confidence regions. While SPS assumes…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-11 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

The least squares (LS) estimate is the archetypical solution of linear regression problems. The asymptotic Gaussianity of the scaled LS error is often used to construct approximate confidence ellipsoids around the LS estimate, however, for…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-11 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

In this paper, we propose conformal inference based approach for statistical verification of CPS models. Cyber-physical systems (CPS) such as autonomous vehicles, avionic systems, and medical devices operate in highly uncertain…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-07-16 Chuchu Fan , Xin Qin , Yuan Xia , Aditya Zutshi , Jyotirmoy Deshmukh

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

Linearly parametrized models are widely used in control and signal processing, with the least-squares (LS) estimate being the archetypical solution. When the input is insufficiently exciting, the LS problem may be unsolvable or numerically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

This paper proposes a new test for a change point in the mean of high-dimensional data based on the spatial sign and self-normalization. The test is easy to implement with no tuning parameters, robust to heavy-tailedness and theoretically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Feiyu Jiang , Runmin Wang , Xiaofeng Shao

This is a technical report that extends and clarifies the results presented in [1]. The model identification problem for asymptotically stable linear time invariant systems is considered. The system output is affected by an additive noise…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-09-05 Marco Lauricella , Lorenzo Fagiano

In semantic segmentation, accurate prediction masks are crucial for downstream tasks such as medical image analysis and image editing. Due to the lack of annotated data, few-shot semantic segmentation (FSS) performs poorly in predicting…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-26 Chen-Bin Feng , Qi Lai , Kangdao Liu , Houcheng Su , Chi-Man Vong

A fundamental problem in modern supervised learning is computing reliable conditional prediction intervals in high-dimensional settings: existing methods often rely on restrictive modelling assumptions, do not scale as predictor dimension…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Daniel Salnikov , Dan Leonte , Kevin Michalewicz

Existing partial sequence labeling models mainly focus on max-margin framework which fails to provide an uncertainty estimation of the prediction. Further, the unique ground truth disambiguation strategy employed by these models may include…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-21 Xiaolei Lu , Tommy W. S. Chow

This work presents a sum-of-squares (SOS) based framework to perform data-driven stabilization and robust control tasks on discrete-time linear systems where the full-state observations are corrupted by L-infinity bounded input,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-31 Jared Miller , Tianyu Dai , Mario Sznaier

We introduce Volume-Sorted Prediction Set (VSPS), a novel method for uncertainty quantification in multi-target regression that uses conditional normalizing flows with conformal calibration. This approach constructs flexible, non-convex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Detecting weak clustered signal in spatial data is important but challenging in applications such as medical image and epidemiology. A more efficient detection algorithm can provide more precise early warning, and effectively reduce the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-09 Xin Zhang , Zhengyuan Zhu

Surface-based data is commonly observed in diverse practical applications spanning various fields. In this paper, we introduce a novel nonparametric method to discover the underlying signals from data distributed on complex surface-based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Zhiling Gu , Shan Yu , Guannan Wang , Ming-Jun Lai , Li Wang
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