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Causal discovery is a fundamental problem with applications spanning various areas in science and engineering. It is well understood that solely using observational data, one can only orient the causal graph up to its Markov equivalence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Zihan Zhou , Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Murat Kocaoglu

Time-series causal discovery methods rely on assumptions such as stationarity, regular sampling, and bounded temporal dependence. When these assumptions are violated, structure learning can produce confident but misleading causal graphs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Marco Ruiz , Miguel Arana-Catania , David R. Ardila , Rodrigo Ventura

Explaining machine learning (ML) predictions has become crucial as ML models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains such as healthcare. While SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) is widely used for model interpretability, it fails…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Woon Yee Ng , Li Rong Wang , Siyuan Liu , Xiuyi Fan

Understanding causality helps to structure interventions to achieve specific goals and enables predictions under interventions. With the growing importance of learning causal relationships, causal discovery tasks have transitioned from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-15 Hang Chen , Keqing Du , Xinyu Yang , Chenguang Li

We show that there is a general, informative and reliable procedure for discovering causal relations when, for all the investigator knows, both latent variables and selection bias may be at work. Given information about conditional…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Peter L. Spirtes , Christopher Meek , Thomas S. Richardson

Traditional panel-data causal inference frameworks, such as difference-in-differences and synthetic control methods, rely on pre-intervention data to estimate counterfactual means. However, such data may be unavailable in real-world…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Zou Yang , Seung Hee Lee , Julia R. Köhler , AmirEmad Ghassami

Algorithms for causal discovery have recently undergone rapid advances and increasingly draw on flexible nonparametric methods to process complex data. With these advances comes a need for adequate empirical validation of the causal…

Score-based causal discovery methods can effectively identify causal relationships by evaluating candidate graphs and selecting the one with the highest score. One popular class of scores is kernel-based generalized score functions, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Yixin Ren , Haocheng Zhang , Yewei Xia , Hao Zhang , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou

Identifying variables responsible for changes to a biological system enables applications in drug target discovery and cell engineering. Given a pair of observational and interventional datasets, the goal is to isolate the subset of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Menghua Wu , Umesh Padia , Sean H. Murphy , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Temporally evolving systems are typically modeled by dynamic equations. A key challenge in accurate modeling is understanding the causal relationships between subsystems, as well as identifying the presence and influence of unobserved…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-28 András Telcs , Marcell T. Kurbucz , Antal Jakovác

Causal discovery, i.e., inferring underlying causal relationships from observational data, is highly challenging for AI systems. In a time series modeling context, traditional causal discovery methods mainly consider constrained scenarios…

Faced with data-driven policies, individuals will manipulate their features to obtain favorable decisions. While earlier works cast these manipulations as undesirable gaming, recent works have adopted a more nuanced causal framing in which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Tom Yan , Shantanu Gupta , Zachary Lipton

Causal discovery can be a powerful tool for investigating causality when a system can be observed but is inaccessible to experiments in practice. Despite this, it is rarely used in any scientific or medical fields. One of the major hurdles…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-07 Erich Kummerfeld , Alexander Rix

Causal discovery is at the core of human cognition. It enables us to reason about the environment and make counterfactual predictions about unseen scenarios that can vastly differ from our previous experiences. We consider the task of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-01 Yunzhu Li , Antonio Torralba , Animashree Anandkumar , Dieter Fox , Animesh Garg

Nonlinear machine-learning models are increasingly used to discover causal relationships in time-series data, yet the interpretation of their outputs remains poorly understood. In particular, causal scores produced by regularized neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Valentina Kuskova , Dmitry Zaytsev , Michael Coppedge

Instrumental variable regression is a foundational tool for causal analysis across the social and biomedical sciences. Recent advances use kernel methods to estimate nonparametric causal relationships, with general data types, while…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Marvin Lob , Rahul Singh , Suhas Vijaykumar

Partial identification approaches are a flexible and robust alternative to standard point-identification approaches in general instrumental variable models. However, this flexibility comes at the cost of a ``curse of cardinality'': the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-30 Florian Gunsilius

A fundamental challenge of scientific research is inferring causal relations based on observed data. One commonly used approach involves utilizing structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among interacting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-13 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Causal discovery has become a vital tool for scientists and practitioners wanting to discover causal relationships from observational data. While most previous approaches to causal discovery have implicitly assumed that no expert domain…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Steven Kleinegesse , Andrew R. Lawrence , Hana Chockler

Analysts often make visual causal inferences about possible data-generating models. However, visual analytics (VA) software tends to leave these models implicit in the mind of the analyst, which casts doubt on the statistical validity of…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2021-07-29 Alex Kale , Yifan Wu , Jessica Hullman