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Efficient assessment of convolved hidden Markov models is discussed. The bottom-layer is defined as an unobservable categorical first-order Markov chain, while the middle-layer is assumed to be a Gaussian spatial variable conditional on the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-10-19 Torstein Fjeldstad , Henning Omre

Bayesian variable selection (BVS) depends critically on the specification of a prior distribution over the model space, particularly for controlling sparsity and multiplicity. This paper examines the practical consequences of different…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Joyee Ghosh

The intrinsic dimensionality of an inverse problem is affected by prior information, the accuracy and number of observations, and the smoothing properties of the forward operator. From a Bayesian perspective, changes from the prior to the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-03 Tiangang Cui , James Martin , Youssef M. Marzouk , Antti Solonen , Alessio Spantini

We present a novel technique for amortized posterior estimation using Normalizing Flows trained with likelihood-weighted importance sampling. This approach allows for the efficient inference of theoretical parameters in high-dimensional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-23 Rajneil Baruah

We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi

The use of Cauchy Markov random field priors in statistical inverse problems can potentially lead to posterior distributions which are non-Gaussian, high-dimensional, multimodal and heavy-tailed. In order to use such priors successfully,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-02-15 Neil K. Chada , Lassi Roininen , Jarkko Suuronen

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

We investigate the use of normalizing flow (NF) models as flexible priors in Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for iterative Bayesian calibration. Trained on posteriors from previous analyses, these models can…

核理论 · 物理学 2026-04-02 Hendrik Roch , Chun Shen

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

We consider lithological tomography in which the posterior distribution of (hydro)geological parameters of interest is inferred from geophysical data by treating the intermediate geophysical properties as latent variables. In such a latent…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-10-12 Lea Friedli , Niklas Linde , David Ginsbourger , Arnaud Doucet

Many inverse problems focus on recovering a quantity of interest that is a priori known to exhibit either discontinuous or smooth behavior. Within the Bayesian approach to inverse problems, such structural information can be encoded using…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-16 Angelina Senchukova , Felipe Uribe , Lassi Roininen

Variational inference often struggles with the posterior geometry exhibited by complex hierarchical Bayesian models. Recent advances in flow-based variational families and Variationally Inferred Parameters (VIP) each address aspects of this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-06 Joohwan Ko , Justin Domke

Learned priors based on deep generative models offer data-driven regularization for seismic inversion, but training them requires a dataset of representative subsurface models -- a resource that is inherently scarce in geoscience…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-23 Ali Siahkoohi , Davide Sabeddu

Variable selection techniques have become increasingly popular amongst statisticians due to an increased number of regression and classification applications involving high-dimensional data where we expect some predictors to be unimportant.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-09-20 Anthony Lee , Francois Caron , Arnaud Doucet , Chris Holmes

Prior distributions for Bayesian inference that rely on the $l_1$-norm of the parameters are of considerable interest, in part because they promote parameter fields with less regularity than Gaussian priors (e.g., discontinuities and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-02 Zheng Wang , Johnathan M. Bardsley , Antti Solonen , Tiangang Cui , Youssef M. Marzouk

Noninformative priors constructed for estimation purposes are usually not appropriate for model selection and testing. The methodology of integral priors was developed to get prior distributions for Bayesian model selection when comparing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Diego Salmerón , Juan Antonio Cano , Christian P. Robert

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods form one of the algorithmic foundations of Bayesian inverse problems. The recent development of likelihood-informed subspace (LIS) methods offers a viable route to designing efficient MCMC methods for…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-03-07 Tiangang Cui , Xin Tong , Olivier Zahm

We propose to use L\'evy {\alpha}-stable distributions for constructing priors for Bayesian inverse problems. The construction is based on Markov fields with stable-distributed increments. Special cases include the Cauchy and Gaussian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-26 Jarkko Suuronen , Tomás Soto , Neil K. Chada , Lassi Roininen

Markov random fields are common prior distributions used in Bayesian inverse imaging problems. In particular, difference priors assign probability distributions to differences between neighbouring pixels, such as Gaussian, Laplace, or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Jasper Marijn Everink

We introduce the concept of conjugate prior models for a given likelihood function in Bayesian spatial inversion. The conjugate class of prior models can be selection extended and still remain conjugate. We demonstrate the generality of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-06 Henning Omre , Kjartan Rimstad
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