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Given a set of several inputs into a system (e.g., independent variables characterizing stimuli) and a set of several stochastically non-independent outputs (e.g., random variables describing different aspects of responses), how can one…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-08-30 Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov , Janne V. Kujala

Many public health interventions are conducted in settings where individuals are connected to one another and the intervention assigned to randomly selected individuals may spill over to other individuals they are connected to. In these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Junhan Fang , Donna Spiegelman , Ashley Buchanan , Laura Forastiere

In classical causal inference, inferring cause-effect relations from data relies on the assumption that units are independent and identically distributed. This assumption is violated in settings where units are related through a network of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-07-05 Razieh Nabi , Joel Pfeiffer , Murat Ali Bayir , Denis Charles , Emre Kıcıman

This paper studies how to design two-wave experiments in the presence of spillovers for precise inference on treatment effects. We consider units connected through a single network, local dependence among individuals, and a general class of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-25 Davide Viviano

Traditionally, statistical and causal inference on human subjects rely on the assumption that individuals are independently affected by treatments or exposures. However, recently there has been increasing interest in settings, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser , Youjin Lee

Applied researchers in biomedicine and related fields are often interested in estimating the causal effect of a treatment or intervention. Although randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for establishing causal effects,…

This paper studies experimental designs for estimation and inference on policies with spillover effects. Units are organized into a finite number of large clusters and interact in unknown ways within each cluster. First, we introduce a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-06 Davide Viviano , Jess Rudder

Interdisciplinary collaboration has become a driving force for scientific breakthroughs, and evaluating scholars' performance in interdisciplinary researches is essential for promoting such collaborations. However, traditional scholar…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Yitong Hu , Zixuan Zhu , Yizhe Wang , Junxiang Wang , Zehao Xing

In many applications of causal inference, the treatment received by one unit may influence the outcome of another, a phenomenon referred to as interference. Although there are several frameworks for conducting causal inference in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Matvey Ortyashov , AmirEmad Ghassami

We propose a method of estimating the linear-in-means model of peer effects in which the peer group, defined by a social network, is endogenous in the outcome equation for peer effects. Endogeneity is due to unobservable individual…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-08-01 Ida Johnsson , Hyungsik Roger Moon

Who should we prioritize for intervention when we cannot estimate intervention effects? In many applied domains (e.g., advertising, customer retention, and behavioral nudging) prioritization is guided by predictive models that estimate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-07 Carlos Fernández-Loría , Jorge Loría

In the domain of causal inference research, the prevalent potential outcomes framework, notably the Rubin Causal Model (RCM), often overlooks individual interference and assumes independent treatment effects. This assumption, however, is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-21 Hongtao Zhu , Sizhe Zhang , Yang Su , Zhenyu Zhao , Nan Chen

The notion of causal effect is fundamental across many scientific disciplines. Traditionally, quantitative researchers have studied causal effects at the level of variables; for example, how a certain drug dose (W) causally affects a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-07 Junhyung Park , Yuqing Zhou

This paper studies causal inference in randomized experiments under network interference. Commonly used models of interference posit that treatments assigned to alters beyond a certain network distance from the ego have no effect on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-04 Michael P. Leung

The network interference model for causal inference places all experimental units at the vertices of an undirected exposure graph, such that treatment assigned to one unit may affect the outcome of another unit if and only if these two…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-18 Shuangning Li , Stefan Wager

In causal inference, and specifically in the \textit{Causes of Effects} problem, one is interested in how to use statistical evidence to understand causation in an individual case, and so how to assess the so-called {\em probability of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-23 Fabio Corradi , Monica Musio

Addiction to internet-based social media has increasingly emerged as a critical social problem, especially among young adults and teenagers. Based on multiple research studies, excessive usage of social media may have detrimental…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-12-02 Dibyajyoti Mallick , Priya Chakraborty , Sayantari Ghosh

Convenient access to observational data enables us to learn causal effects without randomized experiments. This research direction draws increasing attention in research areas such as economics, healthcare, and education. For example, we…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-12-03 Ruocheng Guo , Jundong Li , Huan Liu

We consider a potential outcomes model in which interference may be present between any two units but the extent of interference diminishes with spatial distance. The causal estimand is the global average treatment effect, which compares…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-16 Michael P. Leung

Consider a university assigning students to courses and dorms. While many mechanisms are available, they each have their own drawbacks. Running serial dictatorship once for all goods is highly unfair, but running serial dictatorship…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-19 Eric Gao