中文
相关论文

相关论文: Weak error for nested Multilevel Monte Carlo

200 篇论文

This article reviews the application of advanced Monte Carlo techniques in the context of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). MLMC is a strategy employed to compute expectations which can be biased in some sense, for instance, by using the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-04-25 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Carina Suciu

We study Monte Carlo estimation of the expected value of sample information (EVSI) which measures the expected benefit of gaining additional information for decision making under uncertainty. EVSI is defined as a nested expectation in which…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-10-05 Tomohiko Hironaka , Michael B. Giles , Takashi Goda , Howard Thom

The Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) approach usually works well when estimating the expected value of a quantity which is a Lipschitz function of intermediate quantities, but if it is a discontinuous function it can lead to a much slower…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-09-06 Michael B Giles

This paper is concerned with model averaging estimation for partially linear functional score models. These models predict a scalar response using both parametric effect of scalar predictors and non-parametric effect of a functional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Shishi Liu , Hao Zhang , Jingxiao Zhang

Two proofs of a weighted weak-type $\left(1,\ldots,1;\frac{1}{m}\right)$ estimate for multilinear Calder\'on-Zygmund operators are given. The ideas are motivated by different proofs of the classical weak-type $(1,1)$ estimate for…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2019-10-23 Cody B. Stockdale

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods rely on a hierarchy of possibly less accurate but statistically correlated simplified or reduced models, in order to accelerate the estimation of statistics of high-fidelity models without compromising the…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-10-29 Alessio Quaglino , Simone Pezzuto , Rolf Krause

This paper considers uncertainty quantification for an elliptic nonlocal equation. In particular, it is assumed that the parameters which define the kernel in the nonlocal operator are uncertain and a priori distributed according to a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-22 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

We present general principles for the design and analysis of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators in a wide range of settings. Our estimators posses finite work-normalized variance under mild regularity conditions. We apply our estimators to…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-23 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Yanan Pei

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

As the size of engineered systems grows, problems in reliability theory can become computationally challenging, often due to the combinatorial growth in the cut sets. In this paper we demonstrate how Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) - a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-14 Louis J. M. Aslett , Tigran Nagapetyan , Sebastian J. Vollmer

This paper considers a new approach to using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in contexts where one may adopt multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo. The underlying problem is to approximate expectations w.r.t. an underlying probability measure that is…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-27 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yaxian Xu

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

This article considers the sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approximation of ratios of normalizing constants associated to posterior distributions which in principle rely on continuum models. Therefore, the Monte Carlo estimation error and the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-04 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yan Zhou

Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning (MAML), a popular gradient-based meta-learning framework, assumes that the contribution of each task or instance to the meta-learner is equal. Hence, it fails to address the domain shift between base and novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-02 Krishnateja Killamsetty , Changbin Li , Chen Zhao , Rishabh Iyer , Feng Chen

In this paper, we present a generalisation of the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method to a setting where the level parameter is a continuous variable. This Continuous Level Monte Carlo (CLMC) estimator provides a natural framework in PDE…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-02-22 Gianluca Detommaso , Tim Dodwell , Rob Scheichl

We establish theoretical guarantees for the expected prediction error of the exponential weighting aggregate in the case of multivariate regression that is when the label vector is multidimensional. We consider the regression model with…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-26 Arnak S. Dalalyan

Uncertainty Quantification through Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be prohibitively expensive for target probability densities with expensive likelihood functions, for instance when the evaluation it involves solving a Partial…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-12-11 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Grigorios Mingas , Robert Scheichl , Colin Fox , Tim J. Dodwell

Nested simulation encompasses the estimation of functionals linked to conditional expectations through simulation techniques. In this paper, we treat conditional expectation as a function of the multidimensional conditioning variable and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-16 Ruoxue Liu , Liang Ding , Wenjia Wang , Lu Zou

Inspired by the latest developments in multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods and randomised sketching for linear algebra problems we propose a MLMC estimator for real-time processing of matrix structured random data. Our algorithm is…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-04-30 Yue Wu , Nick Polydorides

The expected information gain is an important quality criterion of Bayesian experimental designs, which measures how much the information entropy about uncertain quantity of interest $\theta$ is reduced on average by collecting relevant…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-11 Takashi Goda , Tomohiko Hironaka , Takeru Iwamoto