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To understand and predict the performance of scientific applications, several analytical and machine learning approaches have been proposed, each having its advantages and disadvantages. In this paper, we propose and validate a hybrid…

性能 · 计算机科学 2019-02-27 Huda Ibeid , Siping Meng , Oliver Dobon , Luke Olson , William Gropp

Financial market analysis, especially the prediction of movements of stock prices, is a challenging problem. The nature of financial time-series data, being non-stationary and nonlinear, is the main cause of these challenges. Deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Mostafa Shabani , Alexandros Iosifidis

The efficient market hypothesis considers all available information already reflected in asset prices and limits the possibility of consistently achieving above-average returns by trading on publicly available data. We analyzed low…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Jose M. G. Vilar

Forecast combination -- the aggregation of individual forecasts from multiple experts or models -- is a proven approach to economic forecasting. To date, research on economic forecasting has concentrated on local combination methods, which…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-12 Ryan Thompson , Yilin Qian , Andrey L. Vasnev

Various studies on consumer purchasing behaviors have been presented and used in real problems. Data mining techniques are expected to be a more effective tool for analyzing consumer behaviors. However, the data mining method has…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2011-09-07 Abhijit Raorane , R. V. Kulkarni

Machine learning and AI-assisted trading have attracted growing interest for the past few years. Here, we use this approach to test the hypothesis that the inefficiency of the cryptocurrency market can be exploited to generate abnormal…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-04-09 Laura Alessandretti , Abeer ElBahrawy , Luca Maria Aiello , Andrea Baronchelli

Financial transactions constitute connections between entities and through these connections a large scale heterogeneous weighted graph is formulated. In this labyrinth of interactions that are continuously updated, there exists a variety…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-02 Antonia Gogoglou , Brian Nguyen , Alan Salimov , Jonathan Rider , C. Bayan Bruss

Classical recommender systems often assume that historical data are stationary and fail to account for the dynamic nature of user preferences, limiting their ability to provide reliable recommendations in time-sensitive settings. This…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-08-03 Ashraf Ghiye , Baptiste Barreau , Laurent Carlier , Michalis Vazirgiannis

This research systematically develops and evaluates various hybrid modeling approaches by combining traditional econometric models (ARIMA and ARFIMA models) with machine learning and deep learning techniques (SVM, XGBoost, and LSTM models)…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-05-27 Dominik Stempień , Robert Ślepaczuk

Large-scale online recommendation systems must facilitate the allocation of a limited number of items among competing users while learning their preferences from user feedback. As a principled way of incorporating market constraints and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-15 Yigit Efe Erginbas , Soham Phade , Kannan Ramchandran

This study explores the use of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) for real-time cryptocurrency price prediction and optimized trading strategies. Given the high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, traditional forecasting models often fall…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Shamima Nasrin Tumpa , Kehelwala Dewage Gayan Maduranga

We introduce a dynamic distribution regression panel data model with heterogeneous coefficients across units. The objects of primary interest are functionals of these coefficients, including predicted one-step-ahead and stationary…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-31 Ivan Fernandez-Val , Wayne Yuan Gao , Yuan Liao , Francis Vella

We showcase a novel solution to a recommendation system problem where we face a perpetual soft item cold start issue. Our system aims to recommend demanded products to prospective sellers for listing in Amazon stores. These products always…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-03 Faizan Ahemad

The rapid development of the mobile Internet and the Internet of Things is leading to a diversification of user devices and the emergence of new mobile applications on a regular basis. Such applications include those that are…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-08-13 Xirui Tang , Zeyu Wang , Xiaowei Cai , Honghua Su , Changsong Wei

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

The modelling of financial markets presents a problem which is both theoretically challenging and practically important. The theoretical aspects concern the issue of market efficiency which may even have political implications…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-31 Kirill N. Ilinski , Alexander S. Stepanenko

This study aims to address the challenges of futures price prediction in high-frequency trading (HFT) by proposing a continuous learning factor predictor based on graph neural networks. The model integrates multi-factor pricing theories…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-20 Min Hu , Zhizhong Tan , Bin Liu , Guosheng Yin

The prediction of both the existence and weight of network links at future time points is essential as complex networks evolve over time. Traditional methods, such as vector autoregression and factor models, have been applied to small,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-15 Shu Takahashi , Kento Yamamoto , Shumpei Kobayashi , Ryoma Kondo , Ryohei Hisano

We introduce a stochastic price model where, together with a random component, a moving average of logarithmic prices contributes to the price formation. Our model is tested against financial datasets, showing an extremely good agreement…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , J. Raboanary , M. Serva

Macroeconomic indexes are of high importance for banks: many risk-control decisions utilize these indexes. A typical workflow of these indexes evaluation is costly and protracted, with a lag between the actual date and available index being…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-30 Maria Begicheva , Alexey Zaytsev