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We present a "module-based hybrid" Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) framework for general nonlinear multi-physics simulation. The proposed methodology, introduced in [\hyperlink{ref1}{1}], supports the independent development of each…

计算物理 · 物理学 2014-10-21 Akshay Mittal , Xiao Chen , Charles Tong , Gianluca Iaccarino

This paper proposes and analyzes fully data driven methods for inference about the mean function of a stochastic process from a sample of independent trajectories of the process, observed at discrete time points and corrupted by additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-05-20 F. Bunea , M. H. Wegkamp , A. E. Ivanescu

Many high-dimensional uncertainty quantification problems are solved by polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), which represents Fourier-like series expansion in terms of random orthonormal polynomials with increasing dimensions. This…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-04-06 Sharif Rahman

We consider extensions of the Shannon relative entropy, referred to as $f$-divergences.Three classical related computational problems are typically associated with these divergences: (a) estimation from moments, (b) computing normalizing…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-09-19 Francis Bach

Bayesian uncertainty quantification (UQ) is of interest to industry and academia as it provides a framework for quantifying and reducing the uncertainty in computational models by incorporating available data. For systems with very high…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-04-14 Xinlei Zhang , Heng Xiao , Thomas Gomez , Olivier Coutier-Delgosha

Quantifying uncertainty of machine learning model predictions is essential for reliable decision-making, especially in safety-critical applications. Recently, uncertainty quantification (UQ) theory has advanced significantly, building on a…

The surrogate model-based uncertainty quantification method has drawn much attention in many engineering fields. Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) and deep learning (DL) are powerful methods for building a surrogate model. However, PCE needs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-02 Wen Yao , Xiaohu Zheng , Jun Zhang , Ning Wang , Guijian Tang

In the field of uncertainty quantification, sparse polynomial chaos (PC) expansions are commonly used by researchers for a variety of purposes, such as surrogate modeling. Ideas from compressed sensing may be employed to exploit this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-09 Paul Diaz , Alireza Doostan , Jerrad Hampton

In this article we propose a method to estimate with high accuracy pure quantum states of a single qudit. Our method is based on the minimization of the squared error between the complex probability amplitudes of the unknown state and its…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-07-14 A. Rojas , L. Pereira , S. Niklitschek , A. Delgado

A general adaptive approach rooted in stratified sampling (SS) is proposed for sample-based uncertainty quantification (UQ). To motivate its use in this context the space-filling, orthogonality, and projective properties of SS are compared…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-14 Michael D. Shields , Kirubel Teferra , Adam Hapij , Raymond P. Daddazio

In large-scale statistical modeling, reducing data size through subsampling is essential for balancing computational efficiency and statistical accuracy. We propose a new method, Principal Component Analysis guided Quantile Sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Foo Hui-Mean , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

The randomized row method is a popular representative of the iterative algorithm because of its efficiency in solving the overdetermined and consistent systems of linear equations. In this paper, we present an extended randomized multiple…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-06 Nian-Ci Wu , Chengzhi Liu , Yatian Wang , Qian Zuo

The paper builds upon a recent approach to find the approximate bounds of a real function using Polynomial Chaos expansions. Given a function of random variables with compact support probability distributions, the intuition is to quantify…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-07-11 Gabriel Terejanu , Puneet Singla , Tarunraj Singh , Peter D. Scott

We present an algorithm for data-driven reachability analysis that estimates finite-horizon forward reachable sets for general nonlinear systems using level sets of a certain class of polynomials known as Christoffel functions. The level…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-29 Alex Devonport , Forest Yang , Laurent El Ghaoui , Murat Arcak

We develop a method to approximate the moments of a discrete-time stochastic polynomial system. Our method is built upon Carleman linearization with truncation. Specifically, we take a stochastic polynomial system with finitely many states…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-11 Sasinee Pruekprasert , Jérémy Dubut , Toru Takisaka , Clovis Eberhart , Ahmet Cetinkaya

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for ensuring the safety and reliability of these models. Traditional UQ methods rely on specifying a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-14 Abhineet Agarwal , Michael Xiao , Rebecca Barter , Omer Ronen , Boyu Fan , Bin Yu

In this paper, we propose a novel adaptive stochastic extended iterative method, which can be viewed as an improved extension of the randomized extended Kaczmarz (REK) method, for finding the unique minimum Euclidean norm least-squares…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-23 Yun Zeng , Deren Han , Yansheng Su , Jiaxin Xie

The last decade witnessed an explosion in the availability of data for operations research applications. Motivated by this growing availability, we propose a novel schema for utilizing data to design uncertainty sets for robust optimization…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-11-25 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Nathan Kallus

In this paper we focus on the unconstrained binary quadratic optimization model, maximize x^t Qx, x binary, and consider the problem of identifying optimal solutions that are robust with respect to perturbations in the Q matrix.. We are…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-09-25 Mark Lewis , Gary Kochenberger , John Metcalfe

We present $\Delta$-UQ -- a novel, general-purpose uncertainty estimator using the concept of anchoring in predictive models. Anchoring works by first transforming the input into a tuple consisting of an anchor point drawn from a prior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-06 Rushil Anirudh , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan