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Statistical modeling of point patterns is an important and common problem in several areas. The Poisson process is the most common process used for this purpose, in particular, its generalization that considers the intensity function to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-26 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Livia M. Dutra , Roger W. C. Silva

We present an approximate Bayesian inference approach for estimating the intensity of an inhomogeneous Poisson process, where the intensity function is modelled using a Gaussian process (GP) prior via a sigmoid link function. Augmenting the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-06 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

We propose a scalable framework for inference in an inhomogeneous Poisson process modeled by a continuous sigmoidal Cox process that assumes the corresponding intensity function is given by a Gaussian process (GP) prior transformed with a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-10 Virginia Aglietti , Edwin V. Bonilla , Theodoros Damoulas , Sally Cripps

In this paper, we develop a method to model and estimate several, _dependent_ count processes, using granular data. Specifically, we develop a multivariate Cox process with shot noise intensities to jointly model the arrival process of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-08-19 Benjamin Avanzi , Gregory Clive Taylor , Bernard Wong , Xinda Yang

The Cox process is a stochastic process which generalises the Poisson process by letting the underlying intensity function itself be a stochastic process. In this paper we present a fast Bayesian inference scheme for the permanental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-07 Christian J. Walder , Adrian N. Bishop

The Log-Gaussian Cox Process is a commonly used model for the analysis of spatial point patterns. Fitting this model is difficult because of its doubly-stochastic property, i.e., it is an hierarchical combination of a Poisson process at the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-05 Ming Teng , Farouk S. Nathoo , Timothy D. Johnson

We propose a hierarchical log Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) for point patterns, where a set of points x affects another set of points y but not vice versa. We use the model to investigate the effect of large trees to the locations of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-22 Mikko Kuronen , Aila Särkkä , Matti Vihola , Mari Myllymäki

We study adaptive sensing of Cox point processes, a widely used model from spatial statistics. We introduce three tasks: maximization of captured events, search for the maximum of the intensity function and learning level sets of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

Prediction of events such as part replacement and failure events plays a critical role in reliability engineering. Event stream data are commonly observed in manufacturing and teleservice systems. Designing predictive models for individual…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-09 Salman Jahani , Shiyu Zhou , Dharmaraj Veeramani , Jeff Schmidt

There is a lack of point process models on linear networks. For an arbitrary linear network, we consider new models for a Cox process with an isotropic pair correlation function obtained in various ways by transforming an isotropic Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-17 Jesper Møller , Jakob G. Rasmussen

The Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) has attracted extensive attention for modeling complex nonlinear dynamical systems. However, the existing GPSSM employs separate Gaussian processes (GPs) for each latent state dimension,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Zhidi Lin , Juan Maroñas , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Sergios Theodoridis

Gaussian process modulated Poisson processes provide a flexible framework for modelling spatiotemporal point patterns. So far this had been restricted to one dimension, binning to a pre-determined grid, or small data sets of up to a few…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-04-04 S. T. John , James Hensman

A new discrete-time shot noise Cox process for spatiotemporal data is proposed. The random intensity is driven by a dependent sequence of latent gamma random measures. Some properties of the latent process are derived, such as an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-17 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini

Gaussian processes (GPs), or distributions over arbitrary functions in a continuous domain, can be generalized to the multi-output case: a linear model of coregionalization (LMC) is one approach. LMCs estimate and exploit correlations…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-24 Vladimir Feinberg , Li-Fang Cheng , Kai Li , Barbara E Engelhardt

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference for the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process. We extend recent results from the literature, showing that a wide class of Gaussian priors, combined with flexible link functions,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

We study learning problems in which the conditional distribution of the output given the input varies as a function of additional task variables. In varying-coefficient models with Gaussian process priors, a Gaussian process generates the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-10-15 Matthias Bussas , Christoph Sawade , Tobias Scheffer , Niels Landwehr

Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

Multi-task regression attempts to exploit the task similarity in order to achieve knowledge transfer across related tasks for performance improvement. The application of Gaussian process (GP) in this scenario yields the non-parametric yet…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-21 Haitao Liu , Jiaqi Ding , Xinyu Xie , Xiaomo Jiang , Yusong Zhao , Xiaofang Wang

Gaussian process regression is a frequently used statistical method for flexible yet fully probabilistic non-linear regression modeling. A common obstacle is its computational complexity which scales poorly with the number of observations.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Adam Gorm Hoffmann , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Andreas Kryger Jensen

This paper proposes a new methodology to perform Bayesian inference for a class of multidimensional Cox processes in which the intensity function is piecewise constant. Poisson processes with piecewise constant intensity functions are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-16 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Barbara C. C. Dias