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The field of retail analytics has been transformed by the availability of rich data which can be used to perform tasks such as demand forecasting and inventory management. However, one task which has proved more challenging is the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-05-16 James Pitkin , Ioanna Manolopoulou , Gordon Ross

The mean residual life function is a key functional for a survival distribution. It has a practically useful interpretation as the expected remaining lifetime given survival up to a particular time point, and it also characterizes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-11 Valerie Poynor , Athanasios Kottas

In a previous analysis the problem of "zero-inflated" time data (caused by high frequency trading in the electronic order book) was handled by left-truncating the inter-arrival times. We demonstrated, using rigorous statistical methods,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-12-22 Markus Kreer , Ayse Kizilersu , Anthony W. Thomas

Collaborative Metric Learning (CML) has recently emerged as a popular method in recommendation systems (RS), closing the gap between metric learning and Collaborative Filtering. Following the convention of RS, existing methods exploit…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-10-03 Shilong Bao , Qianqian Xu , Zhiyong Yang , Yuan He , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

We study the assortment optimization problem under the Sequential Multinomial Logit (SML), a discrete choice model that generalizes the multinomial logit (MNL). Under the SML model, products are partitioned into two levels, to capture…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2018-08-31 Alvaro Flores , Gerardo Berbeglia , Pascal van Hentenryck

Estimating consumer preferences is central to many problems in economics and marketing. This paper develops a flexible framework for learning individual preferences from partial ranking information by interpreting observed rankings as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-19 Yu-Chang Chen , Chen Chian Fuh , Shang En Tsai

We consider the analysis of high dimensional data given in the form of a matrix with columns consisting of observations and rows consisting of features. Often the data is such that the observations do not reside on a regular grid, and the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-22 Gal Mishne , Ronen Talmon , Israel Cohen , Ronald R. Coifman , Yuval Kluger

We propose the new Top-Dog-Index, a measure for the branch-dependent historic deviation of the supply data of apparel sizes from the sales data of a fashion discounter. A common approach is to estimate demand for sizes directly from the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-04-28 Sascha Kurz , Joerg Rambau , Joerg Schluechtermann , Rainer Wolf

In this work, we develop a novel Bayesian estimation method for the Dirichlet process (DP) mixture of the inverted Dirichlet distributions, which has been shown to be very flexible for modeling vectors with positive elements. The recently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-04 Zhanyu Ma , Yuping Lai

When modeling the distribution of a set of data by a mixture of Gaussians, there are two possibilities: i) the classical one is using a set of parameters which are the proportions, the means and the variances; ii) the second is to consider…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Ali Mohammad-Djafari

Probabilistic clustering models (or equivalently, mixture models) are basic building blocks in countless statistical models and involve latent random variables over discrete spaces. For these models, posterior inference methods can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-24 Ari Pakman , Yueqi Wang , Catalin Mitelut , JinHyung Lee , Liam Paninski

In this paper we propose a model with a Dirichlet process mixture of gamma densities in the bulk part below threshold and a generalized Pareto density in the tail for extreme value estimation. The proposed model is simple and flexible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-04-03 Jairo Fuquene

Feature selection can facilitate the learning of mixtures of discrete random variables as they arise, e.g. in crowdsourcing tasks. Intuitively, not all workers are equally reliable but, if the less reliable ones could be eliminated, then…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-28 Vincent Zhao , Steven W. Zucker

The Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) is a ubiquitous, flexible Bayesian nonparametric statistical model. However, full probabilistic inference in this model is analytically intractable, so that computationally intensive techniques such as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-05 Yordan P. Raykov , Alexis Boukouvalas , Max A. Little

Stochastic models for collections of interacting populations have crucial roles in scientific fields such as epidemiology and ecology, yet the standard approach to extending an ordinary differential equation model to a Markov chain does not…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-04 Ning Ning , Edward L. Ionides

In this paper, we provide an explicit probability distribution for classification purposes. It is derived from the Bayesian nonparametric mixture of Dirichlet process model, but with suitable modifications which remove unsuitable aspects of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-05-05 Ruth Fuentes-Garcia , Ramses H Mena , Stephen G Walker

Generating accurate and reliable sales forecasts is crucial in the E-commerce business. The current state-of-the-art techniques are typically univariate methods, which produce forecasts considering only the historical sales data of a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-13 Kasun Bandara , Peibei Shi , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage , Quoc Tran , Brian Seaman

This paper develops a Bayesian control chart for the percentiles of the Weibull distribution, when both its in-control and out-of-control parameters are unknown. The Bayesian approach enhances parameter estimates for small sample sizes that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-06 Pasquale Erto , Giuliana Pallotta , Christina M. Mastrangelo

Observations consisting of measurements on relationships for pairs of objects arise in many settings, such as protein interaction and gene regulatory networks, collections of author-recipient email, and social networks. Analyzing such data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-02-22 Edoardo M Airoldi , David M Blei , Stephen E Fienberg , Eric P Xing

Motivated by the dynamic assortment offerings and item pricings occurring in e-commerce, we study a general problem of allocating finite inventories to heterogeneous customers arriving sequentially. We analyze this problem under the…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2019-05-14 Will Ma , David Simchi-Levi