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Micro-blogging sources such as the Twitter social network provide valuable real-time data for market prediction models. Investors' opinions in this network follow the fluctuations of the stock markets and often include educated speculations…

This study investigates the relationship between narratives conveyed through microblogging platforms, namely Twitter, and the value of crypto assets. Our study provides a unique technique to build narratives about cryptocurrency by…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-06-12 Lubdhak Mondal , Udeshya Raj , Abinandhan S , Began Gowsik S , Sarwesh P , Abhijeet Chandra

Prediction and quantification of future volatility and returns play an important role in financial modelling, both in portfolio optimization and risk management. Natural language processing today allows to process news and social media…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-12-14 Justina Deveikyte , Helyette Geman , Carlo Piccari , Alessandro Provetti

Academics increasingly acknowledge the predictive power of social media for a wide variety of events and, more specifically, for financial markets. Anecdotal and empirical findings show that cryptocurrencies are among the financial assets…

The increasing availability of "big" (large volume) social media data has motivated a great deal of research in applying sentiment analysis to predict the movement of prices within financial markets. Previous work in this field investigates…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-11-08 Ellie Birbeck , Dave Cliff

Forecasting financial market trends through time series analysis and natural language processing poses a complex and demanding undertaking, owing to the numerous variables that can influence stock prices. These variables encompass a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-04 Ali Asgarov

Cryptocurrencies fluctuate in markets with high price volatility, posing significant challenges for investors. To aid in informed decision-making, systems predicting cryptocurrency market movements have been developed, typically focusing on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Amit Kumar , Taoran Ji

The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural network for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs around the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with other…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Shubham Singh , Mayur Bhat

We report on the use of sentiment analysis on news and social media to analyze and predict the price of Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the leading cryptocurrency and has the highest market capitalization among digital currencies. Predicting Bitcoin…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2020-02-04 Pratikkumar Prajapati

Cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, in particular, are prone to wild swings resulting in frequent jumps in prices, making them historically popular for traders to speculate. A better understanding of these fluctuations can greatly benefit crypto…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-10-17 Edson Pindza , Jules Clement Mba , Sutene Mwambi , Nneka Umeorah

Aspiring to achieve an accurate Bitcoin price prediction based on people's opinions on Twitter usually requires millions of tweets, using different text mining techniques (preprocessing, tokenization, stemming, stop word removal), and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-06-12 Sattarov Otabek , Jaeyoung Choi

In the burgeoning realm of cryptocurrency, social media platforms like Twitter have become pivotal in influencing market trends and investor sentiments. In our study, we leverage GPT-4 and a fine-tuned transformer-based BERT model for a…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-07 Xiaorui Zuo , Yao-Tsung Chen , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

The ability to track and monitor relevant and important news in real-time is of crucial interest in multiple industrial sectors. In this work, we focus on the set of cryptocurrency news, which recently became of emerging interest to the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-07-02 Johannes Beck , Roberta Huang , David Lindner , Tian Guo , Ce Zhang , Dirk Helbing , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

The availability of data on digital traces is growing to unprecedented sizes, but inferring actionable knowledge from large-scale data is far from being trivial. This is especially important for computational finance, where digital traces…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-05-13 David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer

Twitter is among the most used online platforms for the political communications, due to the concision of its messages (which is particularly suitable for political slogans) and the quick diffusion of messages. Especially when the argument…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi , Fabio Saracco

This study extends the examination of the Efficient-Market Hypothesis in Bitcoin market during a five year fluctuation period, from September 1 2017 to September 1 2022, by analyzing 28,739,514 qualified tweets containing the targeted topic…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-25 Fang Wang , Marko Gacesa

Bitcoin, with its ever-growing popularity, has demonstrated extreme price volatility since its origin. This volatility, together with its decentralised nature, make Bitcoin highly subjective to speculative trading as compared to more…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-06-13 Yanzhao Zou , Dorien Herremans

Fast, global, and sensitively reacting to political, economic and social events of any kind, these are attributes that social media like Twitter share with foreign exchange markets. The leading assumption of this paper is that information…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-02-10 Dietmar Janetzko

Financial Sentiment Analysis (FSA) traditionally relies on human-annotated sentiment labels to infer investor sentiment and forecast market movements. However, inferring the potential market impact of words based on their human-perceived…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Hamid Moradi-Kamali , Mohammad-Hossein Rajabi-Ghozlou , Mahdi Ghazavi , Ali Soltani , Amirreza Sattarzadeh , Reza Entezari-Maleki

Being able to predict stock prices might be the unspoken wish of stock investors. Although stock prices are complicated to predict, there are many theories about what affects their movements, including interest rates, news and social media.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-05 Roderick Karlemstrand , Ebba Leckström