相关论文: A general framework for modelling zero inflation

In this paper, a scale mixture of Normal distributions model is developed for classification and clustering of data having outliers and missing values. The classification method, based on a mixture model, focuses on the introduction of…

It is now understood that inflation dynamics comes in two forms, isentropic or cold inflation and nonisentropic or warm inflation. In the former, inflation occurs without radiation production, whereas in the latter both radiation production…

The inferential models (IM) framework provides prior-free, frequency-calibrated, posterior probabilistic inference. The key is the use of random sets to predict unobservable auxiliary variables connected to the observable data and unknown…

Analyzing overdispersed, zero-inflated, longitudinal count data poses significant modeling and computational challenges, which standard count models (e.g., Poisson or negative binomial mixed effects models) fail to adequately address. We…

In this work, we study inflation in a particular scalar-vector-tensor theory of gravitation without the $U(1)$ gauge symmetry. The model is constructed from the more general action introduced in Heisenberg et al. (Phys Rev D 98:024038,…

In this talk we will discuss how inflation can be embedded within a minimal extension of the Standard Model where the inflaton carries the Standard Model charges. There is no need of an ad-hoc scalar field to be introduced in order to…

The causal compatibility question asks whether a given causal structure graph -- possibly involving latent variables -- constitutes a genuinely plausible causal explanation for a given probability distribution over the graph's observed…

We develop a new longitudinal count data regression model that accounts for zero-inflation and spatio-temporal correlation across responses. This project is motivated by an analysis of Iowa Fluoride Study (IFS) data, a longitudinal cohort…

We introduce a Loss Discounting Framework for model and forecast combination which generalises and combines Bayesian model synthesis and generalized Bayes methodologies. We use a loss function to score the performance of different models…

Finite mixtures are a broad class of models useful in scenarios where observed data is generated by multiple distinct processes but without explicit information about the responsible process for each data point. Estimating Bayesian mixture…

The Tweedie generalized linear models are commonly applied in the insurance industry to analyze semicontinuous claim data. For better prediction of the aggregated claim size, the mean and dispersion of the Tweedie model are often estimated…

Inflationary models are usually based on dynamics of one or more scalar fields coupled to gravity. In this work we present a new class of inflationary models, gauge-flation or non-Abelian gauge field inflation, where slow-roll inflation is…

The workhorse model for zero-truncated count data (y = 1, 2, ...) is the zero-truncated negative binomial (ZTNB) model. We find it should seldom be used. Instead, we recommend the one-inflated zero-truncated negative binomial (OIZTNB) model…

A supersymmetric hybrid inflation framework is employed to realize a class of non-minimal inflation models with $U(1)_R \times Z_n$ global symmetry. This framework naturally incorporates models based on grand unified theories by avoiding…

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

In this work we propose a statistical approach to handling sources of theoretical uncertainty in string theory models of inflation. By viewing a model of inflation as a probabilistic graph, we show that there is an inevitable information…

Given a system of analytic functions and an approximate zero, we introduce inflation to transform this system into one with a regular quadratic zero. This leads to a method for isolating a cluster of zeros of the given system.

Mixture models have been around for over 150 years, as an intuitively simple and practical tool for enriching the collection of probability distributions available for modelling data. In this chapter we describe the basic ideas of the…

A class of occupancy models for detection/non-detection data is proposed to relax the closure assumption of N$-$mixture models. We introduce a community parameter $c$, ranging from $0$ to $1$, which characterizes a certain portion of…