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This paper provides a review of model selection and model averaging methods for multinomial probit models estimated using the MACML approach. The proposed approaches are partitioned into test based methods (mostly derived from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-04 Manuel Batram , Dietmar Bauer

Bayesian methods have proven themselves to be successful across a wide range of scientific problems and have many well-documented advantages over competing methods. However, these methods run into difficulties for two major and prevalent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-29 John R. Lewis , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonkyung Lee

A new likelihood based AR approximation is given for ARMA models. The usual algorithms for the computation of the likelihood of an ARMA model require $O(n)$ flops per function evaluation. Using our new approximation, an algorithm is…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-04 A. Ian McLeod , Ying Zhang

In different fields of applications including, but not limited to, behavioral, environmental, medical sciences and econometrics, the use of panel data regression models has become increasingly popular as a general framework for making…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-15 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

This study deals with the problem of outliers in ordinal response model, which is a regression on ordered categorical data as the response variable. ``Outlier" means that the combination of ordered categorical data and its covariates is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-29 Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa

Moment restrictions and their conditional counterparts emerge in many areas of machine learning and statistics ranging from causal inference to reinforcement learning. Estimators for these tasks, generally called methods of moments, include…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Heiner Kremer , Yassine Nemmour , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jia-Jie Zhu

The presence of outliers (anomalous values) in synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data and the misspecification in statistical image models may result in inaccurate inferences. To avoid such issues, the Rayleigh regression model based on a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-02 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. Machado , M. I. Pettersson , V. T. Vu , R. J. Cintra

We describe an optimal adversarial attack formulation against autoregressive time series forecast using Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR). In this threat model, the environment evolves according to a dynamical system; an autoregressive model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-03 Yiding Chen , Xiaojin Zhu

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are a popular class of methods for analyzing longitudinal and clustered data. However, such models can be sensitive to outliers, and this can lead to biased inference on model parameters and inaccurate prediction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

Aligning Large Language Models (LLMs) with human preferences is crucial, but standard methods like Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) are often complex and unstable. In this work, we propose a new, simpler approach that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Saeed Najafi , Alona Fyshe

We consider the problem of identifying parameters of a particular class of Markov chains, called Bernoulli Autoregressive (BAR) processes. The structure of any BAR model is encoded by a directed graph. Incoming edges to a node in the graph…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-20 Xiaotian Xie , Dimitrios Katselis , Carolyn L. Beck , R. Srikant

Functional data such as curves and surfaces have become more and more common with modern technological advancements. The use of functional predictors remains challenging due to its inherent infinite-dimensionality. The common practice is to…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-31 Dengdeng Yu , Matthew Pietrosanu , Ivan Mizera , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong , Wei Tu

The shortcomings of maximum likelihood estimation in the context of model-based reinforcement learning have been highlighted by an increasing number of papers. When the model class is misspecified or has a limited representational capacity,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Evgenii Nikishin , Romina Abachi , Rishabh Agarwal , Pierre-Luc Bacon

Latent class model (LCM), which is a finite mixture of different categorical distributions, is one of the most widely used models in statistics and machine learning fields. Because of its non-continuous nature and the flexibility in shape,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-23 Hao Chen , Lanshan Han , Alvin Lim

Large Language Model (LLM) inference systems present significant challenges in statistical performance characterization due to dynamic workload variations, diverse hardware architectures, and complex interactions between model size, batch…

Accelerated algorithms for maximum likelihood image reconstruction are essential for emerging applications such as 3D tomography, dynamic tomographic imaging, and other high dimensional inverse problems. In this paper, we introduce and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-01-31 Stéphane Chrétien , Alfred O. Hero

In portfolio analysis, the traditional approach of replacing population moments with sample counterparts may lead to suboptimal portfolio choices. I show that optimal portfolio weights can be estimated using a machine learning (ML)…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-07-31 Daniel Kinn

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across various applications, fundamentally reshaping the landscape of natural language processing (NLP) research. However, recent evaluation frameworks often rely on the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-10 Chenyang Lyu , Minghao Wu , Alham Fikri Aji

Accurate uncertainty quantification (UQ) in Large Language Models (LLMs) is critical for trustworthy deployment. While real-world language is inherently ambiguous, reflecting aleatoric uncertainty, existing UQ methods are typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Tim Tomov , Dominik Fuchsgruber , Tom Wollschläger , Stephan Günnemann

Equalisation Maximisation (EqM) is an algorithm for estimating parameters in auto-regressive (AR) models where some fraction of the data is missing. It has previously been shown that the EqM algorithm is a competitive alternative to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-08-22 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön