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Probabilistic model checking traditionally verifies properties on the expected value of a measure of interest. This restriction may fail to capture the quality of service of a significant proportion of a system's runs, especially when the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-10 Xiaotong Ji , Hanchun Wang , Antonio Filieri , Ilenia Epifani

Robust Bayesian inference is the calculation of posterior probability bounds given perturbations in a probabilistic model. This paper focuses on perturbations that can be expressed locally in Bayesian networks through convex sets of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

In the analysis of qualification data from the FIRST Robotics Competition, the ratio of the number of observations to the number of parameters has been found to be quite small for the commonly used winning margin power rating (WMPR) model.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-15 Jen-Chieh Teng , Chin-Tsang Chiang , Alvin Lim

Bayesian Neural Networks (BayNNs) can inherently estimate predictive uncertainty, facilitating informed decision-making. Dropout-based BayNNs are increasingly implemented in spintronics-based computation-in-memory architectures for…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2024-01-11 Soyed Tuhin Ahmed , Michael Hefenbrock , Guillaume Prenat , Lorena Anghel , Mehdi B. Tahoori

We introduce a Loss Discounting Framework for model and forecast combination which generalises and combines Bayesian model synthesis and generalized Bayes methodologies. We use a loss function to score the performance of different models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-29 Dawid Bernaciak , Jim E. Griffin

Estimation of Markov Random Field and covariance models from high-dimensional data represents a canonical problem that has received a lot of attention in the literature. A key assumption, widely employed, is that of {\em sparsity} of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-05-16 Davoud Ataee Tarzanagh , George Michailidis

Microstructural models of soft tissue deformation are important in applications including artificial tissue design and surgical planning. The basis of these models, and their advantage over their phenomenological counterparts, is that they…

生物物理 · 物理学 2022-05-06 James Haughton , Simon L. Cotter , William J. Parnell , Tom Shearer

This paper presents a new methodology for structural reliability analysis via stochastic finite element method (SFEM). A novel sample-based SFEM is firstly used to compute structural stochastic responses of all spatial points at the same…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-08-19 Zhibao Zheng

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

We revise and extend the stochastic approach to cumulative weak lensing (hereafter the sGL method) first introduced in Ref. [1]. Here we include a realistic halo mass function and density profiles to model the distribution of mass between…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2011-01-19 Kimmo Kainulainen , Valerio Marra

The strength of quasi-brittle materials depends on the ensemble of defects inside the sample and on the way damage accumulates before failure. Using large scale numerical simulations of the random fuse model, we investigate the evolution of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Claudio Manzato , Mikko J. Alava , Stefano Zapperi

We compare three random field discretization strategies for probabilistic identification of spatially varying material parameters in high-resolution finite element models. These strategies are (i) the Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansion, (ii) a…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-08 Pieter Vanmechelen , Geert Lombaert , Giovanni Samaey

Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach is frequently used within Bayesian framework to sample the target posterior distribution. Its efficiency strongly depends on the proposal used to build the chain. The best jump proposal is the one that…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-02-01 Mikel Falxa , Stanislav Babak , Maude Le Jeune

We present a flexible Bayesian semiparametric mixed model for longitudinal data analysis in the presence of potentially high-dimensional categorical covariates. Building on a novel hidden Markov tensor decomposition technique, our proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

Gaussian covariance graph model is a popular model in revealing underlying dependency structures among random variables. A Bayesian approach to the estimation of covariance structures uses priors that force zeros on some off-diagonal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Bongjung Sung , Jaeyong Lee

This works extends the Random Embedding Bayesian Optimization approach by integrating a warping of the high dimensional subspace within the covariance kernel. The proposed warping, that relies on elementary geometric considerations, allows…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-03-19 Mickaël Binois , David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant

We present a Bayesian inference methodology for the estimation of orbital parameters on single-line spectroscopic binaries with astrometric data, based on the No-U-Turn sampler Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Our approach is designed to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-04-27 Miguel Videla , Rene A. Mendez , Ruben M. Claveria , Jorge F. Silva , Marcos E. Orchard

This is the first of a series of three articles that treats fracture localization as a critical phenomenon. This first article establishes a statistical mechanics based on ensemble averages when fluctuations through time play no role in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Renaud Toussaint , Steven R. Pride

In this study, we present a novel approach along with the needed computational strategies for efficient and scalable feature engineering of the crystal structure in compounds of different chemical compositions. This approach utilizes a…

材料科学 · 物理学 2021-05-25 Prathik R. Kaundinya , Kamal Choudhary , Surya R. Kalidindi

Cosmic shear estimation is an essential scientific goal for large galaxy surveys. It refers to the coherent distortion of distant galaxy images due to weak gravitational lensing along the line of sight. It can be used as a tracer of the…