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The second-order, small-scale dependence structure of a stochastic process defined in the space-time domain is key to prediction (or kriging). While great efforts have been dedicated to developing models for cases in which the spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-01 Jun Tang , Dale Zimmerman

We present an operator learning framework for solving non-perturbative functional renormalization group equations, which are integro-differential equations defined on functionals. Our proposed approach uses Gaussian process operator…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Xianjin Yang , Matthieu Darcy , Matthew Hudes , Francis J. Alexander , Gregory Eyink , Houman Owhadi

Gaussian processes models are widely adopted for nonparameteric/semi-parametric modeling. Identifiability issues occur when the mean model contains polynomials with unknown coefficients. Though resulting prediction is unaffected, this leads…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-02 Matthew Plumlee , V. Roshan Joseph

Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-22 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

Optimization problems with uncertain black-box constraints, modeled by warped Gaussian processes, have recently been considered in the Bayesian optimization setting. This work introduces a new class of constraints in which the same…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-06-16 Johannes Wiebe , Inês Cecílio , Jonathan Dunlop , Ruth Misener

The expected supremum of a Gaussian process indexed by the image of an index set under a function class is bounded in terms of separate properties of the index set and the function class. The bound is relevant to the estimation of nonlinear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-11-12 Andreas Maurer

This paper presents a kriging method for spatial prediction of temporal intensity functions, for situations where a temporal point process is observed at different spatial locations. Assuming that several replications of the processes are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Daniel Gervini

Gaussian processes are machine learning models capable of learning unknown functions in a way that represents uncertainty, thereby facilitating construction of optimal decision-making systems. Motivated by a desire to deploy Gaussian…

Safety-critical technical systems operating in unknown environments require the ability to quickly adapt their behavior, which can be achieved in control by inferring a model online from the data stream generated during operation. Gaussian…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-24 Armin Lederer , Mingmin Zhang , Samuel Tesfazgi , Sandra Hirche

As Gaussian processes are used to answer increasingly complex questions, analytic solutions become scarcer and scarcer. Monte Carlo methods act as a convenient bridge for connecting intractable mathematical expressions with actionable…

In this work, we consider the problem of steering the first two moments of the uncertain state of an unknown discrete-time stochastic nonlinear system to a given terminal distribution in finite time. Toward that goal, first, a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-04-05 Alexandros Tsolovikos , Efstathios Bakolas

The Log-Gaussian Cox Process is a commonly used model for the analysis of spatial point patterns. Fitting this model is difficult because of its doubly-stochastic property, i.e., it is an hierarchical combination of a Poisson process at the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-05 Ming Teng , Farouk S. Nathoo , Timothy D. Johnson

The Gaussian process (GP) is a Bayesian nonparametric paradigm that is widely adopted for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in a number of safety-critical applications, including robotics, healthcare, as well as surveillance. The consistency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Jinwen Xu , Qin Lu , Georgios B. Giannakis

Falsification is the basis for testing existing hypotheses, and a great danger is posed when results incorrectly reject our prior notions (false positives). Though nonparametric and nonlinear exploratory methods of uncovering coupling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Ameer Ghouse , Gaetano Valenza

We propose a new definition of the Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) and an approach based on the relation of subcritical GMC to randomized shifts of a Gaussian measure. Using this relation we prove general uniqueness and convergence…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-30 Alexander Shamov

Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in machine learning, statistics, and applied mathematics. They provide a flexible modelling framework for approximating functions, whilst simultaneously quantifying uncertainty. However, this is only true…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-19 George Wynne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

Propagating input uncertainty through non-linear Gaussian process (GP) mappings is intractable. This hinders the task of training GPs using uncertain and partially observed inputs. In this paper we refer to this task as "semi-described…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-04 Andreas Damianou , Neil D. Lawrence

Gaussian process (GP) models form a core part of probabilistic machine learning. Considerable research effort has been made into attacking three issues with GP models: how to compute efficiently when the number of data is large; how to…

Gaussian process (GP) methods have been widely studied recently, especially for large-scale systems with big data and even more extreme cases when data is sparse. Key advantages of these methods consist in: 1) the ability to provide…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Chenyi Lyu , Xingchi Liu , Lyudmila Mihaylova