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In this article we introduce and study oscillating Gaussian processes defined by $X_t = \alpha_+ Y_t {\bf 1}_{Y_t >0} + \alpha_- Y_t{\bf 1}_{Y_t<0}$, where $\alpha_+,\alpha_->0$ are free parameters and $Y$ is either stationary or…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-30 Pauliina Ilmonen , Soledad Torres , Lauri Viitasaari

The Gaussian process is an indispensable tool for spatial data analysts. The onset of the "big data" era, however, has lead to the traditional Gaussian process being computationally infeasible for modern spatial data. As such, various…

This work leverages recent advances in probabilistic machine learning to discover conservation laws expressed by parametric linear equations. Such equations involve, but are not limited to, ordinary and partial differential,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-09-13 Maziar Raissi , George Em. Karniadakis

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Accurate assessment of systematic uncertainties is an increasingly vital task in physics studies, where large, high-dimensional datasets, like those collected at the Large Hadron Collider, hold the key to new discoveries. Common approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Alexis Romero , Kyle Cranmer , Daniel Whiteson

Kernel-based methods have been recently introduced for linear system identification as an alternative to parametric prediction error methods. Adopting the Bayesian perspective, the impulse response is modeled as a non-stationary Gaussian…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-16 Mattia Zorzi , Alessandro Chiuso

We examine, for $-1<q<1$, $q$-Gaussian processes, i.e. families of operators (non-commutative random variables) $X_t=a_t+a_t^*$ -- where the $a_t$ fulfill the $q$-commutation relations $a_sa_t^*-qa_t^*a_s=c(s,t)\cdot \id$ for some…

funct-an · 数学 2009-10-28 Marek Bozejko , Burkhard Kummerer , Roland Speicher

In this paper we use Gaussian processes (kernel methods) to learn mappings between trajectories of distinct differential equations. Our goal is to simplify both the representation and the solution of these equations. We begin by examining…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-10-07 Jonghyeon Lee , Boumediene Hamzi , Yannis Kevrekidis , Houman Owhadi

There is increasing interest in the problem of nonparametric regression with high-dimensional predictors. When the number of predictors $D$ is large, one encounters a daunting problem in attempting to estimate a $D$-dimensional surface…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-17 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

We present a new framework for recycling independent variational approximations to Gaussian processes. The main contribution is the construction of variational ensembles given a dictionary of fitted Gaussian processes without revisiting any…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-07 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Gaussian Process (GP) models provide a flexible framework for prediction and uncertainty quantification. For most covariance functions, however, exact GP prediction with $n$ points scales as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$, making it prohibitively…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Samanyu Arora , Christopher J. Geoga

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

We present a Gaussian Process - Latent Class Choice Model (GP-LCCM) to integrate a non-parametric class of probabilistic machine learning within discrete choice models (DCMs). Gaussian Processes (GPs) are kernel-based algorithms that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-02 Georges Sfeir , Filipe Rodrigues , Maya Abou-Zeid

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

The computational effort for the evaluation of numerical simulations based on e.g. the finite-element method is high. Metamodels can be utilized to create a low-cost alternative. However the number of required samples for the creation of a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-15 Jan N. Fuhg

Spatio-temporal systems exhibiting multi-scale behaviour are common in applications ranging from cyber-physical systems to systems biology, yet they present formidable challenges for computational modelling and analysis. Here we consider a…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-02-01 Michalis Michaelides , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

This paper is an attempt to bridge the conceptual gaps between researchers working on the two widely used approaches based on positive definite kernels: Bayesian learning or inference using Gaussian processes on the one side, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-10 Motonobu Kanagawa , Philipp Hennig , Dino Sejdinovic , Bharath K Sriperumbudur

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a generic modelling tool for supervised learning. While they have been successfully applied on large datasets, their use in safety-critical applications is hindered by the lack of good performance guarantees. To…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-27 David Reeb , Andreas Doerr , Sebastian Gerwinn , Barbara Rakitsch

Gaussian processes retain the linear model either as a special case, or in the limit. We show how this relationship can be exploited when the data are at least partially linear. However from the perspective of the Bayesian posterior, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-07-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee