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The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Ambrus Tamás

Monitoring machine learning models once they are deployed is challenging. It is even more challenging to decide when to retrain models in real-case scenarios when labeled data is beyond reach, and monitoring performance metrics becomes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-23 Carlos Mougan , Dan Saattrup Nielsen

This paper develops valid bootstrap inference methods for the dynamic short panel threshold regression. We show that the standard nonparametric bootstrap is inconsistent for the first-differenced generalized method of moments (GMM)…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-18 Woosik Gong , Myung Hwan Seo

We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

A typical approach in estimating the learning rate of a regularized learning scheme is to bound the approximation error by the sum of the sampling error, the hypothesis error and the regularization error. Using a reproducing kernel space…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-01-28 Guohui Song , Haizhang Zhang

A completely nonparametric method for the estimation of mixture cure models is proposed. A nonparametric estimator of the incidence is extensively studied and a nonparametric estimator of the latency is presented. These estimators, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-31 Ana López-Cheda , Ricardo Cao , M. Amalia Jácome , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Sampling-based methods, e.g., Deep Ensembles and Bayesian Neural Nets have become promising approaches to improve the quality of uncertainty estimation and robust generalization. However, they suffer from a large model size and high latency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Ha Manh Bui , Anqi Liu

This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

Nonparametric regression and regression-discontinuity designs suffer from smoothing bias that distorts conventional confidence intervals. Solutions based on robust bias correction (RBC) are now central to the economist's toolbox. In this…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-09 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Sílvia Gonçalves , Morten Ørregaard Nielsen , Edoardo Zanelli

A nonparametric kernel density estimator for directional-linear data is introduced. The proposal is based on a product kernel accounting for the different nature of both (directional and linear) components of the random vector. Expressions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Eduardo García-Portugués , Rosa M. Crujeiras , Wenceslao González-Manteiga

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are key for both assessing an estimation algorithm's accuracy and in view of downstream tasks, such as its deployment in safety-critical contexts. In this paper, we derive a tight, non-asymptotic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Amon Lahr , Johannes Köhler , Anna Scampicchio , Melanie N. Zeilinger

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

The paper considers nonparametric kernel density/regression estimation from a stochastic optimization point of view. The estimation problem is represented through a family of stochastic optimization problems. Recursive constrained…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-05 Vladimir Norkin , Vladimir Kirilyuk

This paper develops bootstrap methods for practical statistical inference in panel data quantile regression models with fixed effects. We consider random-weighted bootstrap resampling and formally establish its validity for asymptotic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-08 Antonio F. Galvao , Thomas Parker , Zhijie Xiao

We consider kernel estimation of marginal densities and regression functions of stationary processes. It is shown that for a wide class of time series, with proper centering and scaling, the maximum deviations of kernel density and…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-21 Weidong Liu , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper, we compute finite sample bounds for data-driven approximations of the solution to stochastic reachability problems. Our approach uses a nonparametric technique known as kernel distribution embeddings, and provides…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-09 Adam J. Thorpe , Kendric R. Ortiz , Meeko M. K. Oishi

This paper considers edge interval estimation between two regions of a Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) image which differ in texture. This is a difficult task because SAR images are contaminated with speckle noise. Different point estimation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-17 Láercio Dias , Francisco Cribari-Neto , Raydonal Ospina

We consider the problem of predicting a real random variable from a functional explanatory variable. The problem is attacked by mean of nonparametric kernel approach which has been recently adapted to this functional context. We derive…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Frédéric Ferraty , André Mas , Philippe Vieu