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We consider the nonparametric multivariate isotonic regression problem, where the regression function is assumed to be nondecreasing with respect to each predictor. Our goal is to construct a Bayesian credible interval for the function…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

Band-limited functions are fundamental objects that are widely used in systems theory and signal processing. In this paper we refine a recent nonparametric, nonasymptotic method for constructing simultaneous confidence regions for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

This paper introduces a local optimization-based approach to test statistical hypotheses and to construct confidence intervals. This approach can be viewed as an extension of bootstrap, and yields asymptotically valid tests and confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-21 Shifeng Xiong

While widely used as a general method for uncertainty quantification, the bootstrap method encounters difficulties that raise concerns about its validity in practical applications. This paper introduces a new resampling-based method, termed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-30 Yiran Jiang , Chuanhai Liu , Heping Zhang

One central theme in machine learning is function estimation from sparse and noisy data. An example is supervised learning where the elements of the training set are couples, each containing an input location and an output response. In the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-05 Alberto Giaretta , Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Despite the ubiquity of kernel-based clustering, surprisingly few statistical guarantees exist beyond settings that consider strong structural assumptions on the data generation process. In this work, we take a step towards bridging this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Leena Chennuru Vankadara , Sebastian Bordt , Ulrike von Luxburg , Debarghya Ghoshdastidar

The partially linear binary choice model can be used for estimating structural equations where nonlinearity may appear due to diminishing marginal returns, different life cycle regimes, or hectic physical phenomena. The inference procedure…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-01 Wenzheng Gao , Zhenting Sun

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

This article explores combinations of weighted bootstraps, like the Bayesian bootstrap, with the bootstrap $t$ method for setting approximate confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable in small samples. For this problem the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-21 Art B. Owen

This paper studies large sample properties of a Bayesian approach to inference about slope parameters $\gamma$ in linear regression models with a structural break. In contrast to the conventional approach to inference about $\gamma$ that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-08-15 Kenichi Shimizu

Cosmological parameter uncertainties are often stated assuming a particular model, neglecting the model uncertainty, even when Bayesian model selection is unable to identify a conclusive best model. Bayesian model averaging is a method for…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2010-12-23 David Parkinson , Andrew R. Liddle

Kernel smoothing is a highly flexible and popular approach for estimation of probability density and intensity functions of continuous spatial data. In this role it also forms an integral part of estimation of functionals such as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-24 Tilman M. Davies , Jonathan C. Marshall , Martin L. Hazelton

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang

An important problem in the field of Topological Data Analysis is defining topological summaries which can be combined with traditional data analytic tools. In recent work Bubenik introduced the persistence landscape, a stable…

代数拓扑 · 数学 2018-12-27 Oliver Vipond

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

This paper introduces a novel statistical regression framework that allows the incorporation of consistency constraints. A linear and nonlinear (kernel-based) formulation are introduced, and both imply closed-form analytical solutions. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-10 Emiliano Díaz , Adrián Pérez-Suay , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

The spectral density function describes the second-order properties of a stationary stochastic process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This paper considers the nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of a continuous-time stochastic process…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-07 Rafail Kartsioukas , Stilian Stoev , Tailen Hsing

We focus on the construction of confidence corridors for multivariate nonparametric generalized quantile regression functions. This construction is based on asymptotic results for the maximal deviation between a suitable nonparametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-03 Shih-Kang Chao , Katharina Proksch , Holger Dette , Wolfgang Härdle

We set up a formal framework to characterize encompassing of nonparametric models through the L2 distance. We contrast it to previous literature on the comparison of nonparametric regression models. We then develop testing procedures for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-07 Elia Lapenta , Pascal Lavergne

We study the problem of estimating a nonparametric probability density under a large family of losses called Besov IPMs, which include, for example, $\mathcal{L}^p$ distances, total variation distance, and generalizations of both…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-14 Ananya Uppal , Shashank Singh , Barnabás Póczos
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