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Maximizing utility with a budget constraint is the primary goal for advertisers in real-time bidding (RTB) systems. The policy maximizing the utility is referred to as the optimal bidding strategy. Earlier works on optimal bidding strategy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-02 Aritra Ghosh , Saayan Mitra , Somdeb Sarkhel , Viswanathan Swaminathan

This paper considers inference when there is a single treated cluster and a fixed number of control clusters, a setting that is common in empirical work, especially in difference-in-differences designs. We use the t-statistic and develop…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Chun Pong Lau , Xinran Li

Consensus clustering aggregates partitions in order to find a better fit by reconciling clustering results from different sources/executions. In practice, there exist noise and outliers in clustering task, which, however, may significantly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-03 Deguang Kong , Miao Lu , Konstantin Shmakov , Jian Yang

Adaptive approaches, allowing for more flexible trial design, have been proposed for individually randomized trials to save time or reduce sample size. However, adaptive designs for cluster-randomized trials in which groups of participants…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-10 Junwei Shen , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , David Benrimoh

As in other estimation scenarios, likelihood based estimation in the normal mixture set-up is highly non-robust against model misspecification and presence of outliers (apart from being an ill-posed optimization problem). A robust…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-20 Soumya Chakraborty , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

This paper studies inference in two-stage randomized experiments under covariate-adaptive randomization. In the initial stage of this experimental design, clusters (e.g., households, schools, or graph partitions) are stratified and randomly…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-16 Jizhou Liu

In this paper, we propose a general framework for combining evidence of varying quality to estimate underlying binary latent variables in the presence of restrictions imposed to respect the scientific context. The resulting algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-28 Zhenke Wu , Livia Casciola-Rosen , Antony Rosen , Scott L. Zeger

The design of revenue-maximizing combinatorial auctions, i.e. multi-item auctions over bundles of goods, is one of the most fundamental problems in computational economics, unsolved even for two bidders and two items for sale. In the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-06-15 Maria-Florina Balcan , Tuomas Sandholm , Ellen Vitercik

Causally identifying the effect of digital advertising is challenging, because experimentation is expensive, and observational data lacks random variation. This paper identifies a pervasive source of naturally occurring, quasi-experimental…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-18 George Gui , Harikesh Nair , Fengshi Niu

Variable selection in cluster analysis is important yet challenging. It can be achieved by regularization methods, which realize a trade-off between the clustering accuracy and the number of selected variables by using a lasso-type penalty.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-23 Marbac Matthieu , Sedki Mohammed

Model selection in clustering requires (i) to specify a suitable clustering principle and (ii) to control the model order complexity by choosing an appropriate number of clusters depending on the noise level in the data. We advocate an…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2010-06-03 Joachim M. Buhmann

Estimating the effects of interventions in networks is complicated when the units are interacting, such that the outcomes for one unit may depend on the treatment assignment and behavior of many or all other units (i.e., there is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-15 Dean Eckles , Brian Karrer , Johan Ugander

Clustering is a widely used unsupervised learning method for finding structure in the data. However, the resulting clusters are typically presented without any guarantees on their robustness; slightly changing the used data sample or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-01-02 Andreas Henelius , Kai Puolamäki , Henrik Boström , Panagiotis Papapetrou

In online advertising, a set of potential advertisements can be ranked by a certain auction system where usually the top-1 advertisement would be selected and displayed at an advertising space. In this paper, we show a selection bias issue…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-06-09 Shinya Suzumura , Hitoshi Abe

We propose a new nonparametric estimator for first-price auctions with independent private values that imposes the monotonicity constraint on the estimated inverse bidding strategy. We show that our estimator has a smaller asymptotic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-10 Jun Ma , Vadim Marmer , Artyom Shneyerov , Pai Xu

We study how a budget-constrained bidder should learn to adaptively bid in repeated first-price auctions to maximize her cumulative payoff. This problem arose due to an industry-wide shift from second-price auctions to first-price auctions…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Yige Wang , Jiashuo Jiang

A basic feature of many field experiments is that investigators are only able to randomize clusters of individuals--such as households, communities, firms, medical practices, schools or classrooms--even when the individual is the unit of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-10-21 Kosuke Imai , Gary King , Clayton Nall

We develop an analytical framework to study experimental design in two-sided marketplaces. Many of these experiments exhibit interference, where an intervention applied to one market participant influences the behavior of another…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Ramesh Johari , Hannah Li , Inessa Liskovich , Gabriel Weintraub

Real-time advertising allows advertisers to bid for each impression for a visiting user. To optimize specific goals such as maximizing revenue and return on investment (ROI) led by ad placements, advertisers not only need to estimate the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-02 Junqi Jin , Chengru Song , Han Li , Kun Gai , Jun Wang , Weinan Zhang

Model selection in latent block models has been a challenging but important task in the field of statistics. Specifically, a major challenge is encountered when constructing a test on a block structure obtained by applying a specific…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-08 Chihiro Watanabe , Taiji Suzuki