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Random-effects meta-analyses have been widely applied in evidence synthesis for various types of medical studies. However, standard inference methods (e.g. restricted maximum likelihood estimation) usually underestimate statistical errors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-13 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hisashi Noma

Non-compliance is common in real world experiments. We focus on inference about the sample complier average causal effect, that is, the average treatment effect for experimental units who are compliers. We present three types of inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-05 Zhen Zhong , Per Johansson , Junni L. Zhang

Accurate time-to-event prediction is integral to decision-making, informing medical guidelines, hiring decisions, and resource allocation. Survival analysis, the quantitative framework used to model time-to-event data, accounts for patients…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Vincent Jeanselme , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

We study causal inference for time-to-event outcomes under right censoring in the presence of unmeasured confounding. Focusing on structural accelerated failure time models, we develop an identification and inference framework that exploits…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Qiushi Bu , Wen Su , Xinyu Zhang , Xingqiu Zhao , Zhonghua Liu

It is standard practice in online retail to run pricing experiments by randomizing at the article-level, i.e. by changing prices of different products to identify treatment effects. Due to customers' cross-price substitution behavior, such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-23 Lars Roemheld , Justin Rao

Estimating the causal effects of an intervention in the presence of confounding is a frequently occurring problem in applications such as medicine. The task is challenging since there may be multiple confounding factors, some of which may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-28 Sonali Parbhoo , Mario Wieser , Volker Roth

We consider methods for causal inference in randomized trials nested within cohorts of trial-eligible individuals, including those who are not randomized. We show how baseline covariate data from the entire cohort, and treatment and outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-30 Issa Dahabreh , Sarah Robertson , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Elizabeth Stuart , Miguel Hernan

Traditionally, statistical and causal inference on human subjects rely on the assumption that individuals are independently affected by treatments or exposures. However, recently there has been increasing interest in settings, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-25 Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser , Youjin Lee

Integrating data from multiple heterogeneous sources has become increasingly popular to achieve a large sample size and diverse study population. This paper reviews development in causal inference methods that combines multiple datasets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Xu Shi , Ziyang Pan , Wang Miao

In randomized experiments, treatment and control groups should be roughly the same--balanced--in their distributions of pretreatment variables. But how nearly so? Can descriptive comparisons meaningfully be paired with significance tests?…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-08-29 Ben B. Hansen , Jake Bowers

We present a general framework for Bayesian inference of causal effects that delivers provably robust inferences founded on design-based randomization of treatments. The framework involves fixing the observed potential outcomes and forming…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Easton Huch , Fred Feinberg , Walter Dempsey

Randomized experiments are a powerful methodology for data-driven evaluation of decisions or interventions. Yet, their validity may be undermined by network interference. This occurs when the treatment of one unit impacts not only its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-08 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

Individualized treatment rules can lead to better health outcomes when patients have heterogeneous responses to treatment. Very few individualized treatment rule estimation methods are compatible with a multi-treatment observational study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-14 Owen E. Leete , Nathan Kallus , Michael G. Hudgens , Sonia Napravnik , Michael R. Kosorok

This paper investigates decision-making in A/B experiments for online platforms and marketplaces. In such settings, due to constraints on inventory, A/B experiments typically lead to biased estimators because of *interference* between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Ramesh Johari , Hannah Li , Anushka Murthy , Gabriel Y. Weintraub

Scientific researchers utilize randomized experiments to draw casual statements. Most early studies as well as current work on experiments with sequential intervention decisions has been focusing on estimating the causal effects among…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-27 Jingying Zeng

Experimental and observational studies often lead to spurious association between the outcome and independent variables describing the intervention, because of confounding to third-party factors. Even in randomized clinical trials,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-04 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

If an experimental treatment is experienced by both treated and control group units, tests of hypotheses about causal effects may be difficult to conceptualize let alone execute. In this paper, we show how counterfactual causal models may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-03 Jake Bowers , Mark Fredrickson , Costas Panagopoulos

This paper develops methods for uncertainty quantification in causal inference settings with random network interference. We study the large-sample distributional properties of the classical difference-in-means Hajek treatment effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Matias D. Cattaneo , Yihan He , Ruiqi Rae Yu

A natural experiment is a type of observational study in which treatment assignment, though not randomized by the investigator, is plausibly close to random. A process that assigns treatments in a highly nonrandom, inequitable manner may,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-01-20 José R. Zubizarreta , Dylan S. Small , Paul R. Rosenbaum

When data are collected subject to a detection limit, observations below the detection limit may be considered censored. In addition, the domain of such observations may be restricted; for example, values may be required to be non-negative.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Justin R. Williams , Hyung-Woo Kim , Catherine M. Crespi