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We use a combination of extreme value theory, survival analysis and computer-intensive methods to analyze the mortality of Italian and French semi-supercentenarians for whom there are validated records. After accounting for the effects of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-01 Léo R. Belzile , Anthony C. Davison , Holger Rootzén , Dmitrii Zholud

Aggregated health data such as claims data from health insurances become more and more available for research purposes. Estimates of excess mortality from prevalence and incidence of a chronic condition have only been possible for ages 50…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-08-13 Ralph Brinks

Tuberculosis (TB) is an airborne disease caused by the pathogen Mycobacterium tuberculosis. In 2023, it returned to being the leading cause of death from an infectious agent globally, replacing COVID-19; in the nineteenth century, one in…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-16 James W. G. Doran , Dennis Mujuni , Kit Gallagher , Christian A. Yates , Ruth Bowness

In 2015 in the United States 612,000 persons died from cancer whereas only 470 died from tuberculosis (TB), a disease which was the main cause of death around 1900. How can one explain such a key discrepancy in treatment progress? A…

组织与器官 · 定量生物学 2018-05-16 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

A MCMC approach is used to estimate the age-specific mortality rate ratio for German men and women with RA. For constructing priors, we calculate a range of admissible values from prevalence and incidence data based on about 60 million…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2023-02-24 Ralph Brinks

Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease transmitted through the respiratory system. China is one of the countries with a high burden of TB. Since 2004, an average of more than 800,000 cases of active TB have been reported each year in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-03 Chuanqing Xu , Kedeng Cheng , Yu Wang , Songbai Guo , Maoxing Liu , Xiaojing Wang , Zhiguo Zhang

Tuberculosis (TB) is an airborne disease caused by the pathogen Mycobacterium tuberculosis. In 2023, according to the World Health Organization, it ''probably'' replaced COVID-19 as the leading cause of death from an infectious agent…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-29 James W. G. Doran , Cameron A. Smith , Christian A. Yates , Ruth Bowness

This paper describes methodological details used by WHO in 2015 to estimate TB incidence, prevalence and mortality. Incidence and mortality are disaggregated by HIV status, age and sex. Methods to derive MDR-TB burden indicators are…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2016-03-02 Glaziou Philippe , Sismanidis Charalambos , Pretorius Carel , Floyd Katherine

In a recent article in PNAS, Case and Deaton show a figure illustrating "a marked increase in the all-cause mortality of middle-aged white non-Hispanic men and women in the United States between 1999 and 2013." The authors state that their…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-04-27 Andrew Gelman , Jonathan Auerbach

Tuberculosis (TB) continues to pose a major public health challenge, particularly in high-burden regions such as Ethiopia, necessitating a more profound understanding of its transmission dynamics. In this study, we developed an SVEITRS…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-06-26 Moksina Seyid , Abdu Mohammed Seid , Yassin Tesfaw Abebe

Tuberculosis (TB), an infectious bacterial disease, is a significant cause of death, especially in low-income countries, with an estimated ten million new cases reported globally in $2020$. While TB is treatable, non-adherence to the…

Tuberculosis (TB) is a contagious bacterial airborne disease, and is one of the top 10 causes of death worldwide. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), around 1.8 billion people are infected with TB and 1.6 million deaths were…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-29 Chirath Dasanayakaa , Maheshi Buddhinee Dissanayake

Does the human lifespan have an impenetrable biological upper limit which ultimately will stop further increase in life lengths? This question is important for understanding aging, and for society, and has led to intense controversies.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-08-08 Holger Rootzén , Dmitrii Zholud

Accurate estimation of cancer mortality rates and the comparison across cancer sites, populations or time periods is crucial to public health, as identification of vulnerable groups who suffer the most from these diseases may lead to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-31 Martina Fu , David Todem , Wenjiang J. Fu , Shuangge Ma

The Farr-Bertillon law states that the mortality rate of single and widowed persons is about three times the rate of married people of same age. This excess mortality can be measured with good accuracy for all ages except for young…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-06-28 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

The recent Covid-19 epidemic has lead to comparisons of the countries suffering from it. These are based on the number of excess deaths attributed either directly or indirectly to the epidemic. Unfortunately the data on which such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-10-21 Laurie Davies

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a global health threat, ranking among the leading causes of mortality worldwide. In this context, machine learning (ML) has emerged as a transformative force, providing innovative solutions to the complexities…

We introduce a new tuberculosis (TB) mathematical model, with $25$ state-space variables where $15$ are evolution disease states (EDSs), which generalises previous models and takes into account the (seasonal) flux of populations between a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-05-25 Eugenio M. Rocha , Cristiana J. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

Gompertz's law tells us that for humans above the age of 35 the death rate increases exponentially with a doubling time of about 10 years. Here, we show that the same law continues to hold even for ages over 100. Beyond 106 there is so far…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-02-17 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

This paper presents a novel approach for modeling mortality rates above age 70 by proposing a mixture-based model. This model is compared to four other widely used models: the Beard, Gompertz, Makeham, and Perks models. Our model can…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-18 Silvio C. Patricio , Fredy Castellares , Bernardo L. Queiroz
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