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Short-term electricity price forecasting has become important for demand side management and power generation scheduling. Especially as the electricity market becomes more competitive, a more accurate price prediction than the day-ahead…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-02-26 Zhongyang Zhao , Caisheng Wang , Matthew Nokleby , Carol Miller

Producing probabilistic guarantee for several steps of a predicted signal follow a temporal logic defined behavior has its rising importance in monitoring. In this paper, we derive a method to compute the joint probability distribution of…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-01-15 Xin Qin , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh

Providing forecasts for ultra-long time series plays a vital role in various activities, such as investment decisions, industrial production arrangements, and farm management. This paper develops a novel distributed forecasting framework to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Rob J Hyndman , Feng Li

We propose an ARIMA-TX-GARCH model and use it to forecast European Carbon Emission Allowance futures prices, incorporating Brent crude oil futures prices as an exogenous variable.

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-24 Jaeho Lee , Eunju Hwang

The increasing complexity of supply chains and the rising costs associated with defective or substandard goods (bad goods) highlight the urgent need for advanced predictive methodologies to mitigate risks and enhance operational efficiency.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Bishwajit Prasad Gond

Present energy demand and modernization are leading to greater fossil fuel consumption, which has increased environmental pollution and led to climate change. Hence to decrease dependency on conventional energy sources, renewable energy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-20 Manas Ranjan Mohapatra , Rahul Radhakrishnan , Raj Mani Shukla

This research presents an innovative use of parallel computing with the ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) model to forecast energy consumption in Peru's Puno region. The study conducts a thorough and multifaceted analysis,…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Cliver W. Vilca-Tinta , Fred Torres-Cruz , Josefh J. Quispe-Morales

Many applications in different domains produce large amount of time series data. Making accurate forecasting is critical for many decision makers. Various time series forecasting methods exist which use linear and nonlinear models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-19 Ümit Çavuş Büyükşahin , Şeyda Ertekin

By significant improvements in modern electrical systems, planning for unit commitment and power dispatching of them are two big concerns between the researchers. Short-term load forecasting plays a significant role in planning and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-10-01 Kasun Chandrarathna , Arman Edalati , AhmadReza Fourozan tabar

An accurate prediction of crude oil prices over long future horizons is challenging and of great interest to governments, enterprises, and investors. This paper proposes a revised hybrid model built upon empirical mode decomposition (EMD)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-01-10 Tao Xiong , Yukun Bao , Zhongyi Hu

Fuel optimization of diesel and petrol vehicles within industrial fleets is critical for mitigating costs and reducing emissions. This objective is achievable by acting on fuel-related factors, such as the driving behaviour style. In this…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 Alberto Barbado , Óscar Corcho

To reduce carbon emissions and minimize shipping costs, improving the fuel efficiency of ships is crucial. Various measures are taken to reduce the total fuel consumption of ships, including optimizing vessel parameters and selecting routes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-26 Dusica Marijan , Hamza Haruna Mohammed , Bakht Zaman

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable limitations. We show that currently accepted standards for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Jesse Wheeler , Edward L. Ionides

Prediction of user traffic in cellular networks has attracted profound attention for improving resource utilization. In this paper, we study the problem of network traffic traffic prediction and classification by employing standard machine…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2019-06-04 Amin Azari , Panagiotis Papapetrou , Stojan Denic , Gunnar Peters

Traffic flow forecasting is hot spot research of intelligent traffic system construction. The existing traffic flow prediction methods have problems such as poor stability, high data requirements, or poor adaptability. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-26 Boyi Liu , Xiangyan Tang , Jieren Cheng , Pengchao Shi

Predicting the price that has the least error and can provide the best and highest accuracy has been one of the most challenging issues and one of the most critical concerns among capital market activists and researchers. Therefore, a model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-05 Mohammadhossein Rashidi , Mohammad Modarres

Time series forecasting has attracted significant attention, leading to the de-velopment of a wide range of approaches, from traditional statistical meth-ods to advanced deep learning models. Among them, the Auto-Regressive Integrated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Thanh Son Nguyen , Van Thanh Nguyen , Dang Minh Duc Nguyen

Accurate forecasting of project performance metrics is crucial for successfully managing and delivering urban road reconstruction projects. Traditional methods often rely on static baseline plans and fail to consider the dynamic nature of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Soheila Sadeghi

Accurate calculation of aircraft fuel consumption plays an irreplaceable role in flight operations, optimization, and pollutant accounting. Calculating aircraft fuel consumption accurately is tricky because it changes based on different…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Linfeng Zhang , Alex Bian , Changmin Jiang , Lingxiao Wu

The net value of the fund is affected by performance and market, and the researchers try to quantify these effects to predict the future net value by establishing different models. The current prediction models usually can only reflect the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-01 Peng Zhou , Fangyi Li
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