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This paper tackles the challenge of detecting unreliable behavior in regression algorithms, which may arise from intrinsic variability (e.g., aleatoric uncertainty) or modeling errors (e.g., model uncertainty). First, we formally introduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Andres Altieri , Marco Romanelli , Georg Pichler , Florence Alberge , Pablo Piantanida

This article introduces lassopack, a suite of programs for regularized regression in Stata. lassopack implements lasso, square-root lasso, elastic net, ridge regression, adaptive lasso and post-estimation OLS. The methods are suitable for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-01-17 Achim Ahrens , Christian B. Hansen , Mark E. Schaffer

The generalization error (risk) of a supervised statistical learning algorithm quantifies its prediction ability on previously unseen data. Inspired by exponential tilting, \citet{li2020tilted} proposed the {\it tilted empirical risk} (TER)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Gholamali Aminian , Amir R. Asadi , Tian Li , Ahmad Beirami , Gesine Reinert , Samuel N. Cohen

We introduce the XBX regression model, a continuous mixture of extended-support beta regressions for modelling bounded responses with boundary observations. The core building block of XBX regression is the extended-support beta…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Ioannis Kosmidis , Achim Zeileis

Regression by composition provides a flexible framework for constructing conditional distributions through sequential group actions. However, when multiple flows act on the same distribution, the model becomes non-identifiable, leading to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-30 Safaa K. Kadhem

In presence of sparse noise we propose kernel regression for predicting output vectors which are smooth over a given graph. Sparse noise models the training outputs being corrupted either with missing samples or large perturbations. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-07 Arun Venkitaraman , Pascal Frossard , Saikat Chatterjee

Several convex formulation methods have been proposed previously for statistical estimation with structured sparsity as the prior. These methods often require a carefully tuned regularization parameter, often a cumbersome or heuristic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-03-23 Sohail Bahmani , Petros T. Boufounos , Bhiksha Raj

Handling uncertainty in model predictive control comes with various challenges, especially when considering state constraints under uncertainty. Most methods focus on either the conservative approach of robustly accounting for uncertainty…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-05-03 Michael Fink , Tim Brüdigam , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Regularized regression problems are ubiquitous in statistical modeling, signal processing, and machine learning. Sparse regression in particular has been instrumental in scientific model discovery, including compressed sensing applications,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-09 Peng Zheng , Travis Askham , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin

The $\ell_0$-constrained empirical risk minimization ($\ell_0$-ERM) is a promising tool for high-dimensional statistical estimation. The existing analysis of $\ell_0$-ERM estimator is mostly on parameter estimation and support recovery…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-22 Xiao-Tong Yuan , Ping Li

In an influential critique of empirical practice, Freedman (2008) showed that the linear regression estimator was biased for the analysis of randomized controlled trials under the randomization model. Under Freedman's assumptions, we derive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Haoge Chang , Joel Middleton , P. M. Aronow

This paper introduces the first theoretical framework for quantifying the efficiency and performance gain opportunity size of adaptive inference algorithms. We provide new approximate and exact bounds for the achievable efficiency and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-08 Soheil Hor , Ying Qian , Mert Pilanci , Amin Arbabian

We introduce twin neural network (TNN) regression. This method predicts differences between the target values of two different data points rather than the targets themselves. The solution of a traditional regression problem is then obtained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-14 Sebastian J. Wetzel , Kevin Ryczko , Roger G. Melko , Isaac Tamblyn

Standard methods in supervised learning separate training and prediction: the model is fit independently of any test points it may encounter. However, can knowledge of the next test point $\mathbf{x}_{\star}$ be exploited to improve…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Lester Mackey

A new method is proposed for variable screening, variable selection and prediction in linear regression problems where the number of predictors can be much larger than the number of observations. The method involves minimizing a penalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-09-14 D. Vasiliu , T. Dey , I. L. Dryden

Machine learning models have traditionally been developed under the assumption that the training and test distributions match exactly. However, recent success in few-shot learning and related problems are encouraging signs that these models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-15 James Lucas , Mengye Ren , Irene Kameni , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Modern regression problems often involve high-dimensional data and a careful tuning of the regularization hyperparameters is crucial to avoid overly complex models that may overfit the training data while guaranteeing desirable properties…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-08 Maria-Florina Balcan , Saumya Goyal , Dravyansh Sharma

Motivated by recent work on stochastic gradient descent methods, we develop two stochastic variants of greedy algorithms for possibly non-convex optimization problems with sparsity constraints. We prove linear convergence in expectation to…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-07-02 Nam Nguyen , Deanna Needell , Tina Woolf

The LASSO estimator is an $\ell_1$-norm penalized least-squares estimator, which was introduced for variable selection in the linear model. When the design matrix satisfies, e.g. the Restricted Isometry Property, or has a small coherence…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-24 Stephane Chretien

The goal of regression and classification methods in supervised learning is to minimize the empirical risk, that is, the expectation of some loss function quantifying the prediction error under the empirical distribution. When facing scarce…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-07-15 Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani