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In this paper, we establish novel data-dependent upper bounds on the generalization error through the lens of a "variable-size compressibility" framework that we introduce newly here. In this framework, the generalization error of an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-12 Milad Sefidgaran , Abdellatif Zaidi

We study the issue of PAC-Bayesian domain adaptation: We want to learn, from a source domain, a majority vote model dedicated to a target one. Our theoretical contribution brings a new perspective by deriving an upper-bound on the target…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-07-27 Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , François Laviolette , Emilie Morvant

Since their inception, Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) have become central in machine learning. Despite their widespread use, numerous questions regarding their theoretical properties remain open. Using PAC-Bayesian theory, this work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-11 Sokhna Diarra Mbacke , Florence Clerc , Pascal Germain

The aim of this paper is to generalize the PAC-Bayesian theorems proved by Catoni in the classification setting to more general problems of statistical inference. We show how to control the deviations of the risk of randomized estimators. A…

机器学习 · 统计学 2009-01-09 Pierre Alquier

We describe a numerical scheme for evaluating the posterior moments of Bayesian linear regression models with partial pooling of the coefficients. The principal analytical tool of the evaluation is a change of basis from coefficient space…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-01 Philip Greengard , Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari

An important yet underexplored question in the PAC-Bayes literature is how much tightness we lose by restricting the posterior family to factorized Gaussian distributions when optimizing a PAC-Bayes bound. We investigate this issue by…

We give a general recipe for derandomising PAC-Bayesian bounds using margins, with the critical ingredient being that our randomised predictions concentrate around some value. The tools we develop straightforwardly lead to margin bounds for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Felix Biggs , Benjamin Guedj

Generalization in deep learning has been the topic of much recent theoretical and empirical research. Here we introduce desiderata for techniques that predict generalization errors for deep learning models in supervised learning. Such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-10 Guillermo Valle-Pérez , Ard A. Louis

Bayesian neural networks promise calibrated uncertainty but require $O(mn)$ parameters for standard mean-field Gaussian posteriors. We argue this cost is often unnecessary, particularly when weight matrices exhibit fast singular value…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Mame Diarra Toure , David A. Stephens

We exhibit a strong link between frequentist PAC-Bayesian risk bounds and the Bayesian marginal likelihood. That is, for the negative log-likelihood loss function, we show that the minimization of PAC-Bayesian generalization risk bounds…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Pascal Germain , Francis Bach , Alexandre Lacoste , Simon Lacoste-Julien

PAC-Bayes bounds have been proposed to get risk estimates based on a training sample. In this paper the PAC-Bayes approach is combined with stability of the hypothesis learned by a Hilbert space valued algorithm. The PAC-Bayes setting is…

Given a sample of i.i.d. high-dimensional centered random vectors, we consider a problem of estimation of their covariance matrix $\Sigma$ with an additional assumption that $\Sigma$ can be represented as a sum of a few Kronecker products…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-18 Nikita Puchkin , Maxim Rakhuba

Modern machine learning usually involves predictors in the overparameterised setting (number of trained parameters greater than dataset size), and their training yields not only good performance on training data, but also good…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-12 Maxime Haddouche , Paul Viallard , Umut Simsekli , Benjamin Guedj

PAC-Bayesian is an analysis framework where the training error can be expressed as the weighted average of the hypotheses in the posterior distribution whilst incorporating the prior knowledge. In addition to being a pure generalization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-07 Wei Huang , Chunrui Liu , Yilan Chen , Tianyu Liu , Richard Yi Da Xu

We prove general exponential moment inequalities for averages of [0,1]-valued iid random variables and use them to tighten the PAC Bayesian Theorem. The logarithmic dependence on the sample count in the enumerator of the PAC Bayesian bound…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Andreas Maurer

Aggregated predictors are obtained by making a set of basic predictors vote according to some weights, that is, to some probability distribution. Randomized predictors are obtained by sampling in a set of basic predictors, according to some…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-03 Pierre Alquier

PAC-Bayesian learning bounds are of the utmost interest to the learning community. Their role is to connect the generalization ability of an aggregation distribution $\rho$ to its empirical risk and to its Kullback-Leibler divergence with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-24 Pierre Alquier , Benjamin Guedj

Datasets displaying temporal dependencies abound in science and engineering applications, with Markov models representing a simplified and popular view of the temporal dependence structure. In this paper, we consider Bayesian settings that…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-27 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak A. Rao , Harsha Honnappa

This note examines the behavior of generalization capabilities - as defined by out-of-sample mean squared error (MSE) - of Linear Gaussian (with a fixed design matrix) and Linear Least Squares regression. Particularly, we consider a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-21 Karthik Duraisamy

This paper provides a theoretical analysis of domain adaptation based on the PAC-Bayesian theory. We propose an improvement of the previous domain adaptation bound obtained by Germain et al. in two ways. We first give another generalization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-01-14 Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , Francois Laviolette , Emilie Morvant