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We study cascading failures in networks using a dynamical flow model based on simple conservation and distribution laws to investigate the impact of transient dynamics caused by the rebalancing of loads after an initial network failure…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-05-04 Ingve Simonsen , Lubos Buzna , Karsten Peters , Stefan Bornholdt , Dirk Helbing

Uncertain information on input parameters of reliability models is usually modeled by considering these parameters as random, and described by marginal distributions and a dependence structure of these variables. In numerous real-world…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-30 Nazih Benoumechiara , Bertrand Michel , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Nicolas Bousquet

We model power grids transporting electricity generated by intermittent renewable sources as complex networks, where line failures can emerge indirectly by noisy power input at the nodes. By combining concepts from statistical physics and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-06-27 Tommaso Nesti , Alessandro Zocca , Bert Zwart

Factor analysis (FA) and principal component analysis (PCA) are popular statistical methods for summarizing and explaining the variability in multivariate datasets. By default, FA and PCA assume the number of components or factors to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-17 Chetkar Jha , Ian Barnett

The knockoff filter is a recent false discovery rate (FDR) control method for high-dimensional linear models. We point out that knockoff has three key components: ranking algorithm, augmented design, and symmetric statistic, and each…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-14 Zheng Tracy Ke , Jun S. Liu , Yucong Ma

The frequent occurrences of cascading failures in power grids have been receiving continuous attention in recent years. An urgent task for us is to understand the cascading failure vulnerability of power grids against various kinds of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-23 Xiaolin Gao , Cunlai Pu , Lunbo Li

We present a cascading failure model of two interdependent networks in which functional nodes belong to components of size greater than or equal to $s$. We find theoretically and via simulation that in complex networks with random…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-10-17 M. A. Di Muro , S. V. Buldyrev , H. E. Stanley , L. A. Braunstein

The frequency stability of power systems is increasingly challenged by various types of disturbances. In particular, the increasing penetration of renewable energy sources is increasing the variability of power generation and at the same…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-03-26 John Moriarty , Jure Vogrinc , Alessandro Zocca

Natural Disasters like hurricanes, floods or earthquakes can damage power grid devices and create cascading blackouts and islands. The nature of failure propagation and extent of damage is dependent on the structural features of the grid,…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-09-25 Deepjyoti Deka , Sriram Vishwanath

A disaster may not necessarily demolish the telecommunications infrastructure, but instead it might affect the national grid and cause blackouts, consequently disrupting the network operation unless there is an alternative power source(s).…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2020-07-24 Zaid H. Nasralla , Taisir E. H. Elgorashi , Jaafar M. H. Elmirghani

In network systems, a local perturbation can amplify as it propagates, potentially leading to a large-scale cascading failure. Here we derive a continuous model to advance our understanding of cascading failures in power-grid networks. The…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-12-18 Yang Yang , Adilson E. Motter

Traditionally, fault- or event-tree analyses or FMEAs have been used to estimate the probability of a safety-critical device creating a dangerous condition. However, these analysis techniques are less effective for systems primarily reliant…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Chris Hobbs , Waqar Ahmed

Global catastrophic risk events, such as nuclear war, pose a severe threat to the stability of international financial systems. As evidenced by even less severe scenarios like the Great Recession, an economic failure can propagate through…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-02-19 Łukasz G. Gajewski , Michael Hinge , David Denkenberger

Frailty models are often the model of choice for heterogeneous survival data. A frailty model contains both random effects and fixed effects, with the random effects accommodating for the correlation in the data. Different estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-17 Oodally Ajmal , Luc Duchateau , Estelle Kuhn

The fault tolerance of random graphs with unbounded degrees with respect to connectivity is investigated, which relates to the reliability of wireless sensor networks with unreliable relay nodes. The model evaluates the network breakdown…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2019-06-05 Satoshi Takabe , Takafumi Nakano , Tadashi Wadayama

The performance of coverage-based fault localization greatly depends on the quality of test cases being executed. These test cases execute some lines of the given program and determine whether the underlying tests are passed or failed. In…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2020-06-17 Shuvalaxmi Dass , Xiaozhen Xue , Akbar Siami Namin

In this work we investigate an importance sampling approach for evaluating policies for a structurally time-varying factored Markov decision process (MDP), i.e. the policy's value is estimated with a high-probability confidence interval. In…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-07 Carmel Fiscko , Soummya Kar , Bruno Sinopoli

Context: Fault localization (FL) is the key activity while debugging a program. Any improvement to this activity leads to significant improvement in total software development cost. There is an internal linkage between the program spectrum…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2024-03-11 Saksham Sahai Srivastava , Arpita Dutta , Rajib Mall

We introduce a general framework for models of cascade and contagion processes on networks, to identify their commonalities and differences. In particular, models of social and financial cascades, as well as the fiber bundle model, the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-05-13 Jan Lorenz , Stefano Battiston , Frank Schweitzer

With the increasing penetration of Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs), power system stability constraints must be incorporated into the operational framework, transforming it into stability-constrained optimization. Currently, there exist…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-19 Wangkun Xu , Zhongda Chu , Florin Capitanescu , Fei Teng