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Causal inference provides an analytical framework to identify and quantify cause-and-effect relationships among a network of interacting agents. This paper offers a novel framework for analyzing cascading failures in power transmission…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-28 Shiuli Subhra Ghosh , Anmol Dwivedi , Ali Tajer , Kyongmin Yeo , Wesley M. Gifford

Coincident Peak (CP) pricing is widely used in U.S. electricity markets to allocate capacity and transmission costs. This paper develops a behavioral game-theoretic framework for CP-driven load shifting that couples a nonlinear…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-19 Qian Zhang , Sadie Zhao , Lucy Diao , Conleigh Byers , Yiling Chen , Derya Cansever , Le Xie

In order to identify the extent to which results from topological graph models are useful for modeling vulnerability in electricity infrastructure, we measure the susceptibility of power networks to random failures and directed attacks…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-03-13 Paul Hines , Eduardo Cotilla-Sanchez , Seth Blumsack

Sudden failure of a single transmission element in a power grid can induce a domino effect of cascading failures, which can lead to the isolation of a large number of consumers or even to the failure of the entire grid. Here we present…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2016-09-14 Martin Rohden , Daniel Jung , Samyak Tamrakar , Stefan Kettemann

The aim of this article is to analyze data from multiple repairable systems under the presence of dependent competing risks. In order to model this dependence structure, we adopted the well-known shared frailty model. This model provides a…

The electric power system is one of the cornerstones of modern society. One of its most serious malfunctions is the blackout, a catastrophic event that may disrupt a substantial portion of the system, playing havoc to human life and causing…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-03-07 Chengwei Wang , Celso Grebogi , Murilo S. Baptista

Experience shows that semiconductor switches in power electronics systems are the most vulnerable components. One of the most common ways to solve this reliability challenge is component-level redundant design. There are four possible…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-24 Masoud Farhadi , Mehdi Abapour , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo

We investigate the failure mechanisms of load sharing complex systems. The system is composed of multiple nodes or components whose failures are determined based on the interaction of their respective strengths and loads (or capacity and…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2014-02-03 Shahnewaz Siddique , Vitali Volovoi

Interdependencies are ubiquitous throughout the world. Every real-world system interacts with and is dependent on other systems, and this interdependency affects their performance. In particular, interdependencies among networks make them…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-07-18 Cristian E. La Rocca , H. Eugene Stanley , Lidia A. Braunstein

As economic entities become increasingly interconnected, a shock in a financial network can provoke significant cascading failures throughout the system. To study the systemic risk of financial systems, we create a bi-partite banking…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-03-11 Xuqing Huang , Irena Vodenska , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

We study a cascading edge failure mechanism on a connected random graph with a prescribed degree sequence, sampled using the configuration model. This mechanism prescribes that every edge failure puts an additional strain on the remaining…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-18 Fiona Sloothaak , Lorenzo Federico

In modern power grids, a local failure or attack can trigger catastrophic cascading failures, which make it challenging to assess the attack vulnerability of power grids. In this Brief, we define the $K$-link attack problem and study the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-09-13 Cunlai Pu , Pang Wu

Branch and bound algorithms have been developed for reliability analysis of coherent systems. They exhibit a set of advantages; in particular, they can find a computationally efficient representation of a system failure or survival event,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-10-31 Ji-Eun Byun , Hyeuk Ryu , Daniel Straub

Most of the current software security analysis tools assess vulnerabilities in isolation. However, sophisticated software supply chain security threats often stem from cascaded vulnerability and security weakness chains that span dependent…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Laura Baird , Armin Moin

Assessing risk of cascading failure in an electrical grid requires identifying many small "defective" subsets of the N elements in a power system, such that the simultaneous failure of all elements in a defective set triggers a large…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-09-11 Laurence A. Clarfeld , Margaret J. Eppstein

We study numerically the cascading failure problem by using artificially created scale-free networks and the real network structure of the power grid. The capacity for a vertex is assigned as a monotonically increasing function of the load…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-09-08 Bing Wang , Beom Jun Kim

Since cascading outages are major threats to power systems, it is important to reduce the risk of potential cascading outages. In this paper, a risk management method of cascading outages based on Markovian tree search is proposed. With the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-11-07 Rui Yao , Kai Sun , Feng Liu , Shengwei Mei

To ensure reliability, power transformers are monitored for partial discharge (PD) events, which are symptoms of transformer failure. Since failures can have catastrophic cascading consequences, it is critical to preempt them as early as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-25 Jonathan Wang , Kesheng Wu , Alex Sim , Seongwook Hwangbo

In Markov networks, measurement blackouts with unknown frequency compromise observations such that thermodynamic quantities can no longer be inferred reliably. In particular, the observed currents neither discern equilibrium from…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-11-19 Alexander M. Maier , Benjamin Häsler , Udo Seifert

Increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events motivates the assessment of power system resilience. The random nature of power system failures during these events mandates probabilistic resilience assessment, but…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-05 Aidan Gerkis , Xiaozhe Wang