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Accurately and efficiently estimating system performance under uncertainty is paramount in power system planning and operation. Monte Carlo simulation is often used for this purpose, but convergence may be slow, especially when detailed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Simon Tindemans , Goran Strbac

The Ensemble Kalman filter assumes the observations to be Gaussian random variables with a pre-specified mean and variance. In practice, observations may also have detection limits, for instance when a gauge has a minimum or maximum value.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-11-14 Abhishek Shah , Mohamad El Gharamti , Laurent Bertino

In this paper we consider the filtering of partially observed multi-dimensional diffusion processes that are observed regularly at discrete times. This is a challenging problem which requires the use of advanced numerical schemes based upon…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-14 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Hernando Ombao

Despite the success of ensemble classification methods in multi-class classification problems, ensemble methods based on approaches other than bagging have not been widely explored for multi-label classification problems. The Kalman…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Arjun Pakrashi , Brian Mac Namee

Controlled interacting particle systems such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and the feedback particle filter (FPF) are numerical algorithms to approximate the solution of the nonlinear filtering problem in continuous time. The…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-08 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

We derive symmetry preserving invariant extended Kalman filters (IEKF) on matrix Lie groups. These Kalman filters have an advantage over conventional extended Kalman filters as the error dynamics for such filters are independent of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-01 Karmvir Singh Phogat , Dong Eui Chang

This paper considers a new approach to using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in contexts where one may adopt multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo. The underlying problem is to approximate expectations w.r.t. an underlying probability measure that is…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-27 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yaxian Xu

Kalman Filter (KF) is an optimal linear state prediction algorithm, with applications in fields as diverse as engineering, economics, robotics, and space exploration. Here, we develop an extension of the KF, called a Pathspace Kalman Filter…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-03 Chaitra Agrahar , William Poole , Simone Bianco , Hana El-Samad

In this article we consider recursive approximations of the smoothing distribution associated to partially observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are observed discretely in time. Such models appear in a wide variety of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-15 Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Designing optimal Bayes filters for nonlinear non-Gaussian systems is a challenging task. The main difficulties are: 1) representing complex beliefs, 2) handling non-Gaussian noise, and 3) marginalizing past states. To address these…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Sangli Teng , Harry Zhang , David Jin , Ashkan Jasour , Ram Vasudevan , Maani Ghaffari , Luca Carlone

State inference and parameter learning in sequential models can be successfully performed with approximation techniques that maximize the evidence lower bound to the marginal log-likelihood of the data distribution. These methods may be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Helena Calatrava , Ricardo Augusto Borsoi , Tales Imbiriba , Pau Closas

It is a grand challenge to find a feasible weather modification method to mitigate the impact of extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. Previous works have proposed potentially effective actuators and assessed their capabilities…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-05-15 Yohei Sawada

We consider the problem of an ensemble Kalman filter when only partial observations are available. In particular we consider the situation where the observational space consists of variables which are directly observable with known…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-08-31 Georg A. Gottwald , Lewis Mitchell , Sebastian Reich

While generally considered computationally expensive, Uncertainty Quantification using Monte Carlo sampling remains beneficial for applications with uncertainties of high dimension. As an extension of the naive Monte Carlo method, the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Robert Hahn , Sebastian Schöps

This paper presents an approach for simultaneous estimation of the state and unknown parameters in a sequential data assimilation framework. The state augmentation technique, in which the state vector is augmented by the model parameters,…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Chris Jones

We propose a novel Continuation Multi Level Monte Carlo (CMLMC) algorithm for weak approximation of stochastic models. The CMLMC algorithm solves the given approximation problem for a sequence of decreasing tolerances, ending when the…

We perform a general optimization of the parameters in the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) discretization hierarchy based on uniform discretization methods with general approximation orders and computational costs. We optimize hierarchies…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-06-09 Abdul Lateef Haji Ali , Fabio Nobile , Erik von Schwerin , Raul Tempone

Particle filtering (PF) is an often used method to estimate the states of dynamical systems. A major limitation of the standard PF method is that the dimensionality of the state space increases as the time proceeds and eventually may cause…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-30 Linjie Wen , Jiangqi Wu , Linjun Lu , Jinglai Li

The Ensemble Kalman Filter method can be used as an iterative particle numerical scheme for state dynamics estimation and control--to--observable identification problems. In applications it may be required to enforce the solution to satisfy…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-08-26 Michael Herty , Giuseppe Visconti

This paper studies the problem of Cooperative Localization (CL) for multi-robot systems, where a group of mobile robots jointly localize themselves by using measurements from onboard sensors and shared information from other robots. We…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-05-08 Yizhi Zhou , Yufan Liu , Pengxiang Zhu , Xuan Wang
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