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The overwhelming majority of homeless individuals are jobless, despite many expressing a willingness to work. While this strong individual-level link between homelessness and unemployment is well-documented, the broader impact of labor…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-01 Damba Lkhagvasuren , Purevdorj Tuvaandorj

In France, for administrative reasons, unemployed workers may actually be involved in occasional work while remaining identified as unemployed (and receiving the corresponding benefit). This is due to the fact that the unemployed are deemed…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Patrice Gaubert , Marie Cottrell

I propose a treatment selection model that introduces unobserved heterogeneity in both choice sets and preferences to evaluate the average effects of a program offer. I show how to exploit the model structure to define parameters capturing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-01 Vishal Kamat

Many programs evaluated in observational studies incorporate a sequential structure, where individuals may be assigned to various programs over time. While this complexity is often simplified by analyzing programs at single points in time,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-16 Fabian Muny

Unemployment benefits in the US were extended by up to 73 weeks during the Great Recession. Equilibrium labor market theory indicates that extensions of benefit duration impact not only search decisions by job seekers but also job vacancy…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-27 Aiwei Huang

When evaluating the efficacy of social programs and medical treatments using randomized experiments, the estimated overall average causal effect alone is often of limited value and the researchers must investigate when the treatments do and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-05-27 Kosuke Imai , Marc Ratkovic

We study a panel data model with general heterogeneous effects where slopes are allowed to vary across both individuals and over time. The key dimension reduction assumption we employ is that the heterogeneous slopes can be expressed as…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-05 Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Yuan Liao , Yinchu Zhu

We propose an equilibrium interaction model of occupational segregation and labor market inequality between two social groups, generated exclusively through the documented tendency to refer informal job seekers of identical "social color".…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-27 I. Sebastian Buhai , Marco J. van der Leij

This paper examines the impact of increasing minimum wages, focusing primarily on their effect on employment. Our research involved analyzing the statistics of panel data, testing fixed effects and stationary, conducting linear regression,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-03-26 Junhan Lyu , Tianle Zhai , Zicheng Peng , Xuhang Huang

We study the long-term effects of the 2015 German minimum wage introduction and its subsequent increases on regional employment. Using data from two waves of the Structure of Earnings Survey allows us to estimate models that account for…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-25 Marco Caliendo , Nico Pestel , Rebecca Olthaus

Several studies of the Job Corps tend to nd more positive earnings effects for males than for females. This effect heterogeneity favouring males contrasts with the results of the majority of other training programmes' evaluations. Applying…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-13 Anthony Strittmatter

We study how job search behavior evolves over the unemployment spell and the extent to which job seekers experience duration dependence in callbacks. Leveraging data on 2.4 million monthly activity reports containing detailed information on…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-06 Jonas Cederlöf , Sara Roman

Individuals do not respond uniformly to treatments, events, or interventions. Sociologists routinely partition samples into subgroups to explore how the effects of treatments vary by covariates like race, gender, and socioeconomic status.…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2019-09-23 Jennie E. Brand , Jiahui Xu , Bernard Koch , Pablo Geraldo

The use of data-driven decision support by public agencies is becoming more widespread and already influences the allocation of public resources. This raises ethical concerns, as it has adversely affected minorities and historically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-03 Sebastian Scher , Simone Kopeinik , Andreas Trügler , Dominik Kowald

Seeking to determine which working patterns have a specific effect on part-time work, in 1998-99 France's INSEE statistical agency carried out a Timetable survey that questioned the homogeneity of this form of employment (again in terms of…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Patrick Letrémy , Christèle Meilland , Marie Cottrell

We consider the estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects with arbitrary machine learning methods in the presence of unobserved confounders with the aid of a valid instrument. Such settings arise in A/B tests with an intent-to-treat…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-06-07 Vasilis Syrgkanis , Victor Lei , Miruna Oprescu , Maggie Hei , Keith Battocchi , Greg Lewis

In this paper, I explored how a range of regression and machine learning techniques can be applied to monthly U.S. unemployment data to produce timely forecasts. I compared seven models: Linear Regression, SGDRegressor, Random Forest,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Kyungsu Kim

This paper studies estimation and inference of heterogeneous peer effects featuring group fixed effects and slope heterogeneity under latent structure. We adapt the Classifier-Lasso algorithm to consistently discover latent structures and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Zhongjian Lin , Zhentao Shi , Yapeng Zheng

Estimating how a treatment affects different individuals, known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, is an important problem in empirical sciences. In the last few years, there has been a considerable interest in adapting machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Christopher Tran , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman , Elena Zheleva

We provide identification results for a broad class of learning models in which continuous outcomes depend on three types of unobservables: known heterogeneity, initially unknown heterogeneity that may be revealed over time, and transitory…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-25 Jackson Bunting , Paul Diegert , Arnaud Maurel