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Gaussian graphical model is one of the powerful tools to analyze conditional independence between two variables for multivariate Gaussian-distributed observations. When the dimension of data is moderate or high, penalized likelihood methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-24 Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-20 Seonghyun Jeong , Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk

Bayesian analysis of state-space models includes computing the posterior distribution of the system's parameters as well as filtering, smoothing, and predicting the system's latent states. When the latent states wander around $\mathbb{R}^n$…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-24 Jesse Windle , Carlos M. Carvalho

We propose a fast and theoretically grounded method for Bayesian variable selection and model averaging in latent variable regression models. Our framework addresses three interrelated challenges: (i) intractable marginal likelihoods, (ii)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Gregor Zens , Mark F. J. Steel

We show how to use a variational approximation to the logistic function to perform approximate inference in Bayesian networks containing discrete nodes with continuous parents. Essentially, we convert the logistic function to a Gaussian,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Kevin Murphy

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

We propose a Machine Learning approach for optimal macroeconomic density forecasting in a high-dimensional setting where the underlying model exhibits a known group structure. Our approach is general enough to encompass specific forecasting…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-18 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

Often, when solving forward, inverse or data assimilation problems, only a part of the solution is needed. As a model, we consider the stationary diffusion problem. We demonstrate an algorithm that can compute only a part or a functional of…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-08-06 Alexander Litvinenko

In this paper, we address the fusion problem in wireless sensor networks, where the cross-correlation between the estimates is unknown. To solve the problem within the Bayesian framework, we assume that the covariance matrix has a prior…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-09-14 Zhiyuan Weng , Petar Djuric

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

Nonstationary time series data exist in various scientific disciplines, including environmental science, biology, signal processing, econometrics, among others. Many Bayesian models have been developed to handle nonstationary time series.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-27 Yuelei Sui , Scott H. Holan , Wen-Hsi Yang

This paper extends the idea of decoupling shrinkage and sparsity for continuous priors to Bayesian Quantile Regression (BQR). The procedure follows two steps: In the first step, we shrink the quantile regression posterior through state of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-07-20 David Kohns , Tibor Szendrei

In this paper, we study two aspects of the variational autoencoder (VAE): the prior distribution over the latent variables and its corresponding posterior. First, we decompose the learning of VAEs into layerwise density estimation, and…

Variational Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) perform variational inference over weights, but it is difficult to specify meaningful priors and approximate posteriors in a high-dimensional weight space. We introduce functional variational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-15 Shengyang Sun , Guodong Zhang , Jiaxin Shi , Roger Grosse

For some special data in reality, such as the genetic data, adjacent genes may have the similar function. Thus ensuring the smoothness between adjacent genes is highly necessary. But, in this case, the standard lasso penalty just doesn't…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-29 Xin Xin , Boyi Xie , Yunhai Xiao

Background and Objective: Wilson statistics describe well the power spectrum of proteins at high frequencies. Therefore, it has found several applications in structural biology, e.g., it is the basis for sharpening steps used in cryogenic…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-05-03 Marc Aurèle Gilles , Amit Singer

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a probabilistic interpretation for deep learning models by imposing a prior distribution over model parameters and inferring a posterior distribution based on observed data. The model sampled from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-15 Van-Anh Nguyen , Tung-Long Vuong , Hoang Phan , Thanh-Toan Do , Dinh Phung , Trung Le

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

A new algorithm for the approximation and simulation of twofold iterated stochastic integrals together with the corresponding L\'{e}vy areas driven by a multidimensional Brownian motion is proposed. The algorithm is based on a truncated…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-26 Jan Mrongowius , Andreas Rößler