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While likelihood-based inference and its variants provide a statistically efficient and widely applicable approach to parametric inference, their application to models involving intractable likelihoods poses challenges. In this work, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-17 Francois-Xavier Briol , Alessandro Barp , Andrew B. Duncan , Mark Girolami

Marginal structural models (MSMs) with inverse probability weighting offer an approach to estimating causal effects of treatment sequences on repeated outcome measures in the presence of time-varying confounding and dependent censoring.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-02 Sean Yiu , Li Su

In instrumental variable (IV) settings, such as in imperfect randomized trials and observational studies with Mendelian randomization, one may encounter a continuous exposure, the causal effect of which is not of true interest. Instead,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-01 Erin E. Gabriel , Michael C. Sachs , Arvid Sjölander

Selection bias is a common concern in epidemiologic studies. In the literature, selection bias is often viewed as a missing data problem. Popular approaches to adjust for bias due to missing data, such as inverse probability weighting, rely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-16 Apostolos Gkatzionis , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Jon Heron , Kate Northstone , Kate Tilling

In this paper, we discuss causal inference on the efficacy of a treatment or medication on a time-to-event outcome with competing risks. Although the treatment group can be randomized, there can be confoundings between the compliance and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-06 Cheng Zheng , Ran Dai , Parameswaran Hari , Mei-Jie Zhang

The Granular Instrumental Variables (GIV) methodology exploits panels with factor error structures to construct instruments to estimate structural time series models with endogeneity even after controlling for latent factors. We extend the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-26 Saman Banafti , Tae-Hwy Lee

Unobserved confounding is the main obstacle to causal effect estimation from observational data. Instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used for causal effect estimation when there exist latent confounders. With the standard IV method,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jiji Zhang , Thuc duy Le , Jixue Liu

This paper proposes a new method for estimating high-dimensional binary choice models. We consider a semiparametric model that places no distributional assumptions on the error term, allows for heteroskedastic errors, and permits endogenous…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-15 Fu Ouyang , Thomas Tao Yang

Deep latent variable models have become a popular model choice due to the scalable learning algorithms introduced by (Kingma & Welling, 2013; Rezende et al., 2014). These approaches maximize a variational lower bound on the intractable log…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 George Tucker , Dieterich Lawson , Shixiang Gu , Chris J. Maddison

Given a set of possible models (e.g., Bayesian network structures) and a data sample, in the unsupervised model selection problem the task is to choose the most accurate model with respect to the domain joint probability distribution. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Sanjoy Dasgupta , Leonard Schulman

Genetic risk prediction is an important component of individualized medicine, but prediction accuracies remain low for many complex diseases. A fundamental limitation is the sample sizes of the studies on which the prediction algorithms are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-20 Sihai Dave Zhao

Univariate and multivariate general linear regression models, subject to linear inequality constraints, arise in many scientific applications. The linear inequality restrictions on model parameters are often available from phenomenological…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-07 Solmaz Seifollahi , Kaniav Kamary , Hossein Bevrani

Improving existing widely-adopted prediction models is often a more efficient and robust way towards progress than training new models from scratch. Existing models may (a) incorporate complex mechanistic knowledge, (b) leverage proprietary…

Item response theory (IRT) is the statistical paradigm underlying a dominant family of generative probabilistic models for test responses, used to quantify traits in individuals relative to target populations. The graded response model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-03 Joshua C. Chang , Julia Porcino , Elizabeth K. Rasch , Larry Tang

Quantification and minimization of uncertainty is an important task in the design of electromagnetic devices, which comes with high computational effort. We propose a hybrid approach combining the reliability and accuracy of a Monte Carlo…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-12 Mona Fuhrländer , Sebastian Schöps

Instrumental variable methods are widely used for causal inference, but identification becomes especially challenging when instruments are weak and potentially invalid. These challenges are particularly pronounced in Mendelian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Di Zhang , Minhao Yao , Zhonghua Liu , Baoluo Sun

Inferring the means in the multivariate normal model $X \sim N_n(\theta, I)$ with unknown mean vector $\theta=(\theta_1,...,\theta_n)' \in \mathbb{R}^n$ and observed data $X=(X_1,...,X_n)'\in {\mathbb R}^n$ is a challenging task, known as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Chuanhai Liu

Implicit bias is the unconscious attribution of particular qualities (or lack thereof) to a member from a particular social group (e.g., defined by gender or race). Studies on implicit bias have shown that these unconscious stereotypes can…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-01-27 L. Elisa Celis , Anay Mehrotra , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

In various statistical settings, the goal is to estimate a function which is restricted by the statistical model only through a conditional moment restriction. Prominent examples include the nonparametric instrumental variable framework for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-28 AmirEmad Ghassami , James M. Robins , Andrea Rotnitzky

We propose a weak-identification-robust test for linear instrumental variable (IV) regressions with high-dimensional instruments, whose number is allowed to exceed the sample size. In addition, our test is robust to general error…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-01 Qu Feng , Sombut Jaidee , Wenjie Wang