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Gaussian process (GP) regression is a popular surrogate modeling tool for computer simulations in engineering and scientific domains. However, it often struggles with high computational costs and low prediction accuracy when the simulation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Lulu Kang , Minshen Xu

In settings where Machine Learning (ML) algorithms automate or inform consequential decisions about people, individual decision subjects are often incentivized to strategically modify their observable attributes to receive more favorable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-10 Keegan Harris , Daniel Ngo , Logan Stapleton , Hoda Heidari , Zhiwei Steven Wu

This paper introduces marginal fairness, a new individual fairness notion for equitable decision-making in the presence of protected attributes such as gender, race, and religion. This criterion ensures that decisions based on generalized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Fei Huang , Silvana M. Pesenti

The empirical risk minimization approach to data-driven decision making requires access to training data drawn under the same conditions as those that will be faced when the decision rule is deployed. However, in a number of settings, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-17 Roshni Sahoo , Lihua Lei , Stefan Wager

Generalized variational inference (GVI) provides an optimization-theoretic framework for statistical estimation that encapsulates many traditional estimation procedures. The typical GVI problem is to compute a distribution of parameters…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-10-27 Aurya S. Javeed , Drew P. Kouri , Thomas M. Surowiec

In observational studies, instrumental variables estimation is greatly utilized to identify causal effects. One of the key conditions for the instrumental variables estimator to be consistent is the exclusion restriction, which indicates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Gyuhyeong Goh , Jisang Yu

The recent availability of huge, many-dimensional data sets, like those arising from genome-wide association studies (GWAS), provides many opportunities for strengthening causal inference. One popular approach is to utilize these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-21 Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

For high-dimensional linear regression models, we review and compare several estimators of variances $\tau^2$ and $\sigma^2$ of the random slopes and errors, respectively. These variances relate directly to ridge regression penalty…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-02-08 Jurre R. Veerman , Gwenael G. R. Leday , Mark A. van de Wiel

Estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) from observational data is relevant in many fields such as personalized medicine. However, in practice, the treatment assignment is usually confounded by unobserved variables and thus…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Dennis Frauen , Stefan Feuerriegel

Monte Carlo maximum likelihood (MCML) provides an elegant approach to find maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for latent variable models. However, MCML algorithms are computationally expensive when the latent variables are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-05 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

Traditional instrumental variable (IV) estimators face a fundamental constraint: they can only accommodate as many endogenous treatment variables as available instruments. This limitation becomes particularly challenging in settings where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Shiangyi Lin , Hui Lan , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Tensor models play an increasingly prominent role in many fields, notably in machine learning. In several applications, such as community detection, topic modeling and Gaussian mixture learning, one must estimate a low-rank signal from a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-16 José Henrique de Morais Goulart , Romain Couillet , Pierre Comon

In this paper, we extend the Riesz representation framework to causal inference under sample selection, where both treatment assignment and outcome observability are non-random. Formulating the problem in terms of a Riesz representer…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-14 Jakob Bjelac , Victor Chernozhukov , Phil-Adrian Klotz , Jannis Kueck , Theresa M. A. Schmitz

In recommender systems, a common problem is the presence of various biases in the collected data, which deteriorates the generalization ability of the recommendation models and leads to inaccurate predictions. Doubly robust (DR) learning…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-12-20 Haoxuan Li , Quanyu Dai , Yuru Li , Yan Lyu , Zhenhua Dong , Xiao-Hua Zhou , Peng Wu

This paper studies the challenging problem of estimating causal effects from observational data, in the presence of unobserved confounders. The two-stage least square (TSLS) method and its variants with a standard instrumental variable (IV)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-04 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

Instrumental variable (IV) analyses are becoming common in health services research and epidemiology. Most IV analyses use naturally occurring instruments, such as distance to a hospital. In these analyses, investigators must assume the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Zach Branson , Luke Keele

Moment restrictions and their conditional counterparts emerge in many areas of machine learning and statistics ranging from causal inference to reinforcement learning. Estimators for these tasks, generally called methods of moments, include…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Heiner Kremer , Yassine Nemmour , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jia-Jie Zhu

Solving Bayesian inference problems approximately with variational approaches can provide fast and accurate results. Capturing correlation within the approximation requires an explicit parametrization. This intrinsically limits this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-31 Jakob Knollmüller , Torsten A. Enßlin

Multivariate density estimation is a popular technique in statistics with wide applications including regression models allowing for heteroskedasticity in conditional variances. The estimation problems become more challenging when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-15 Zhen Li , Lili Wu , Weilian Zhou , Sujit Ghosh

We study linear regression models with clustered data, high-dimensional controls, and intricate exclusion restrictions. We propose a correctly centered internal instrument IV estimator that accommodates a broad class of exclusion…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-09 Anna Mikusheva , Mikkel Sølvsten , Baiyun Jing