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Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

In Bayesian inference, an unknown measurement uncertainty is often quantified in terms of a Gamma distributed precision parameter, which is impractical when prior information on the standard deviation of the measurement uncertainty shall be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-19 Manuel M. Eichenlaub

The gamma distribution arises frequently in Bayesian models, but there is not an easy-to-use conjugate prior for the shape parameter of a gamma. This inconvenience is usually dealt with by using either Metropolis-Hastings moves, rejection…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Jeffrey W. Miller

In many applications in biology, engineering and economics, identifying similarities and differences between distributions of data from complex processes requires comparing finite categorical samples of discrete counts. Statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-11 Francesco Camaglia , Ilya Nemenman , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

We introduce priors and algorithms to perform Bayesian inference in Gaussian models defined by acyclic directed mixed graphs. Such a class of graphs, composed of directed and bi-directed edges, is a representation of conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-02 Ricardo Silva , Zoubin Ghahramani

This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison

We develop simple methods for constructing likelihoods and parameter priors for learning about the parameters and structure of a Bayesian network. In particular, we introduce several assumptions that permit the construction of likelihoods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-01 David Heckerman , Dan Geiger

In this paper, a novel Bayesian nonparametric test for assessing multivariate normal models is presented. While there are extensive frequentist and graphical methods for testing multivariate normality, it is challenging to find Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-09 Luai Al-Labadi , Forough Fazeli Asl , Zahra Saberi

We review common situations in Bayesian latent variable models where the prior distribution that a researcher specifies differs from the prior distribution used during estimation. These situations can arise from the positive definite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Edgar C. Merkle , Oludare Ariyo , Sonja D. Winter , Mauricio Garnier-Villarreal

We consider a Bayesian approach to model selection in Gaussian linear regression, where the number of predictors might be much larger than the number of observations. From a frequentist view, the proposed procedure results in the penalized…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-09-14 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

This paper proposes iterative Bayesian method to estimate success probability based on unique sample. The procedure is replacing the distribution characteristic of prior with Bayes estimate on the every iteration until they coincide.…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-24 Sun Ping

A novel approach towards construction of absolutely continuous distributions over the unit interval is proposed. Considering two absolutely continuous random variables with positive support, this method conditions on their convolution to…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-13 Aniket Biswas , Subrata Chakraborty

When inferring parameters from a Gaussian-distributed data set by computing a likelihood, a covariance matrix is needed that describes the data errors and their correlations. If the covariance matrix is not known a priori, it may be…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2016-01-27 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

There are some real life issues that are exists in nature which has early failure. This type of problems can be modelled either by a complex distribution having more than one parameter or by finite mixture of some distribution. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-30 Brijesh P. Singh , Utpal Dhar Das , Sandeep Singh

Testing and characterizing the difference between two data samples is of fundamental interest in statistics. Existing methods such as Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramer-von-Mises tests do not scale well as the dimensionality increases and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-03-23 Li Ma , Wing H. Wong

Using Markov chain Monte Carlo to sample from posterior distributions was the key innovation which made Bayesian data analysis practical. Notoriously, however, MCMC is hard to tune, hard to diagnose, and hard to parallelize. This…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

We discuss a Bayesian methodology for the solution of the inverse problem underlying the determination of parton distribution functions (PDFs). In our approach, Gaussian Processes (GPs) are used to model the PDF prior, while Bayes theorem…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2024-07-03 Alessandro Candido , Luigi Del Debbio , Tommaso Giani , Giacomo Petrillo

For Bayesian D-optimal design, we define a singular prior distribution for the model parameters as a prior distribution such that the determinant of the Fisher information matrix has a prior geometric mean of zero for all designs. For such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Timothy W. Waite

Parameter estimation is a foundational step in statistical modeling, enabling us to extract knowledge from data and apply it effectively. Bayesian estimation of parameters incorporates prior beliefs with observed data to infer distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-24 Fahad Mostafa , Md Rejuan Haque , Md Mostafijur Rahman , Farzana Nasrin

In this paper, a new three-parameter lifetime distribution is introduced and many of its standard properties are discussed. These include shape of the probability density function, hazard rate function and its shape, quantile function,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-21 Min Wang