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The conditional extremes framework allows for event-based stochastic modeling of dependent extremes, and has recently been extended to spatial and spatio-temporal settings. After standardizing the marginal distributions and applying an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-26 Emma S. Simpson , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) is a fully probabilistic state-space model that has attracted much attention over the past decade. However, the outputs of the transition function in the existing GPSSMs are assumed to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-16 Zhidi Lin , Lei Cheng , Feng Yin , Lexi Xu , Shuguang Cui

Background: Continuous traits evolution of a group of taxa that are correlated through a phylogenetic tree is commonly modelled using parametric stochastic differential equations to represent deterministic change of trait through time,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-03 Bayu Brahmantio , Krzysztof Bartoszek , Etka Yapar

Model-based control faces fundamental challenges in partially-observable environments due to unmodeled obstacles. We propose an online learning and optimization method to identify and avoid unobserved obstacles online. Our method,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-10-02 Abhinav Kumar , Peter Mitrano , Dmitry Berenson

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

We consider the problem of learning a conditional Gaussian graphical model in the presence of latent variables. Building on recent advances in this field, we suggest a method that decomposes the parameters of a conditional Markov random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-07 Benjamin Frot , Luke Jostins , Gil McVean

We propose a latent self-exciting point process model that describes geographically distributed interactions between pairs of entities. In contrast to most existing approaches that assume fully observable interactions, here we consider a…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-05-02 Yoon-Sik Cho , Aram Galstyan , P. Jeffrey Brantingham , George Tita

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

We present the Mixed Likelihood Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM), capable of modeling data with attributes of different types. The standard formulation of GP-LVM assumes that each observation is drawn from a Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Samuel Murray , Hedvig Kjellström

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

We introduce a Bayesian Gaussian process latent variable model that explicitly captures spatial correlations in data using a parameterized spatial kernel and leveraging structure-exploiting algebra on the model covariance matrices for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-23 Steven Atkinson , Nicholas Zabaras

Almost all scientific data have uncertainties originating from different sources. Gaussian process regression (GPR) models are a natural way to model data with Gaussian-distributed uncertainties. GPR also has the benefit of reducing I/O…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Haoyu Li , Isaac J Michaud , Ayan Biswas , Han-Wei Shen

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

In this paper, the problem of estimating the level set of a black-box function from noisy and expensive evaluation queries is considered. A new algorithm for this problem in the Bayesian framework with a Gaussian Process (GP) prior is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-27 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Tara Javidi

Random point patterns are ubiquitous in nature, and statistical models such as point processes, i.e., algorithms that generate stochastic collections of points, are commonly used to simulate and interpret them. We propose an application of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-03-04 Soran Jahangiri , Juan Miguel Arrazola , Nicolás Quesada , Nathan Killoran

Gaussian processes (GPs) are frequently used in machine learning and statistics to construct powerful models. However, when employing GPs in practice, important considerations must be made, regarding the high computational burden,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-08 Karla Monterrubio-Gómez , Sara Wade

We present a new class of cluster point process models, which we call determinantal shot noise Cox processes (DSNCP), with repulsion between cluster centres. They are the special case of generalized shot noise Cox processes where the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-31 Jesper Møller , Ninna Vihrs

The aim of this study is to extend the scope and applicability of the level-crossing method to discrete-time stochastic processes and generalize it to enable us to study multiple discrete-time stochastic processes. In previous versions of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-09-15 Tayeb Jamali , G. R. Jafari , S. Vasheghani Farahani

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li