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Models for the evolution of the solar coronal magnetic field are vital for understanding solar activity, yet the best measurements of magnetic field lie at the photosphere, necessitating the development of coronal models which are…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-04-05 James E. Leake , Mark G. Linton , Peter W. Schuck

Accurate, reliable solar flare prediction is crucial for mitigating potential disruptions to critical infrastructure, while predicting solar flares remains a significant challenge. Existing methods based on heuristic physical features often…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Shunya Nagashima , Komei Sugiura

Current operational forecasts of solar eruptions are made by human experts using a combination of qualitative shape-based classification systems and historical data about flaring frequencies. In the past decade, there has been a great deal…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-06-02 V. Deshmukh , T. E. Berger , E. Bradley , J. D. Meiss

We study the predictive capabilities of magnetic feature properties (MF) generated by Solar Monitor Active Region Tracker (SMART) for solar flare forecasting from two datasets: the full dataset of SMART detections from 1996 to 2010 that has…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-12-07 Katarina Domijan , D. Shaun Bloomfield , Francois Pitie

Solar flares, along with other sun-originated events such as Coronal Mass Ejections, fast solar wind streams, and solar energetic particles are among the most relevant events in Space Weather. Moreover, solar flares are the most energetic…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-11-21 Nicola Plutino , Francesco Berrilli , Dario Del Moro , Luca Giovannelli

Solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) cause immediate and adverse effects on the interplanetary space and geospace. The deeper understanding of the mechanisms that produce them and the construction of efficient prediction schemes…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-10-12 Ioannis Kontogiannis

The coming decade will see the routine use of solar data of unprecedented spatial and spectral resolution, time cadence, and completeness. To capitalize on the new (or soon to be available) facilities such as SDO, ATST and FASR, and the…

Recently, there has been growing interest in the use of machine-learning methods for predicting solar flares. Initial efforts along these lines employed comparatively simple models, correlating features extracted from observations of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-06-21 Varad Deshmukh , Srinivas Baskar , Elizabeth Bradley , Thomas Berger , James D. Meiss

Solar energetic events are caused by the release of magnetic energy accumulated in the solar atmosphere. To understand their initiating physical mechanisms, the dynamics of the coronal magnetic fields must be studied. Unfortunately, the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-08-14 Yeongmin Kang , Takafumi Kaneko , K. D. Leka , Kanya Kusano

Whilst the most dynamic solar active regions (ARs) are known to flare frequently, predicting the occurrence of individual flares and their magnitude, is very much a developing field with strong potentials for machine learning applications.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-16 M. B. Korsos , R. Erdelyi , J. Liu , H. Morgan

The uncertainty of the energy generated by photovoltaic systems incurs an additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This investigation aims to decrease the additional cost by introducing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-19 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

In previous works we have developed a method to convert solar X-ray data, collected with the Yohkoh/SXT, into templates of stellar coronal observations. Here we apply the method to several solar flares, for comparison with stellar X-ray…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-06 F. Reale , G. Peres , S. Orlando

Predicting the severity of the solar eruptive phenomena like flares and Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) remains a great challenge despite concerted efforts for several decades. The advent of high quality vector magnetograms obtained from…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Sanjiv Kumar Tiwari , P. Venkatakrishnan , Sanjay Gosain

Solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs), especially the larger ones, emanate from active regions (ARs). With the aim to understand the magnetic properties that govern such flares and eruptions, we systematically survey all flare…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-01-11 Shin Toriumi , Carolus J. Schrijver , Louise K. Harra , Hugh Hudson , Kaori Nagashima

In this paper, we study stellar light curves from the TESS satellite (Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite) for the presence of stellar flares. The main aim is to detect stellar flares using two-minutes cadence data and to perform…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-08-31 Małgorzata Pietras , Robert Falewicz , Marek Siarkowski , Kamil Bicz , Paweł Preś

Solar flare forecasting can be realized by means of the analysis of magnetic data through artificial intelligence techniques. The aim is to predict whether a magnetic active region (AR) will originate solar flares above a certain class…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-06-29 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

We explore the association of non-neutralized currents with solar flare occurrence in a sizable sample of observations, aiming to show the potential of such currents in solar flare prediction. We use the regularly produced high quality…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-11-01 Ioannis Kontogiannis , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Sung-Hong Park , Jordan A. Guerra

Solar flares commonly have a hot onset precursor event" (HOPE), detectable from soft X-ray observations. Detecting this requires subtraction of pre-flare fluxes from the non-flaring Sun prior to the event, fitting an isothermal emission…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-07-08 Hugh S. Hudson

Over the past few decades, many applications of physics-based simulations and data-driven techniques (including machine learning and deep learning) have emerged to analyze and predict solar flares. These approaches are pivotal in…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-02-07 Anli Ji , Berkay Aydin