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Due to the interconnectedness of financial entities, estimating certain key properties of a complex financial system (e.g. the implied level of systemic risk) requires detailed information about the structure of the underlying network.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-09-08 Federica Parisi , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

Q($\sigma$) is a recently proposed temporal-difference learning method that interpolates between learning from expected backups and sampled backups. It has been shown that intermediate values for the interpolation parameter $\sigma \in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-07 Brett Daley , Isaac Chan

A refinement of Bennett's inequality is introduced which is strictly tighter than the classical bound. The new bound establishes the convergence of the average of independent random variables to its expected value. It also carefully…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-17 Tony Jebara

Using a probabilistic approach, we derive some interesting combinatorial identities involving gamma and beta functions. These results generalize certain well-known combinatorial identities involving binomial coefficients and special…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-15 Palaniappan Vellaisamy , Puja Pandey

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor of the prior to posterior odds of two hypotheses, is a natural measure of statistical evidence for one hypothesis over the other. We show how Bayes factors can also be used for parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Samuel Pawel

We introduce a simple and tractable methodology for estimating semiparametric conditional latent factor models. Our approach disentangles the roles of characteristics in capturing factor betas of asset returns from ``alpha.'' We construct…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-29 Qihui Chen , Nikolai Roussanov , Xiaoliang Wang

Errors in variables (Deming) regression of measurements spanning a wide range of values requires appropriate weighting to reflect nonconstant variance. Precision profile models, mathematical relationships between measurement variance and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Douglas M Hawkins , Jessica J Kraker

Uplift modeling estimates the causal effect of an intervention as the difference between potential outcomes under treatment and control, whereas counterfactual identification aims to recover the joint distribution of these potential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Théo Verhelst , Gianluca Bontempi

New versions of the set-valued average value at risk for multivariate risks are introduced by generalizing the well-known certainty equivalent representation to the set-valued case. The first "regulator" version is independent from any…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2014-05-22 Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff , Mihaela Yankova

We derive formulas for the performance of capital assets in continuous time from an efficient market hypothesis, with no stochastic assumptions and no assumptions about the beliefs or preferences of investors. Our efficient market…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-02-06 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer

One of the significant problems associated with imbalanced data classification is the lack of reliable metrics. This runs primarily from the fact that for most real-life (as well as commonly used benchmark) problems, we do not have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-16 Szymon Wojciechowski , Michał Woźniak

The beta regression model is a useful framework to model response variables that are rates or proportions, that is to say, response variables which are continuous and restricted to the interval (0,1). As with any other regression model,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-27 Luis Firinguetti , Manuel González-Navarrete , Romer Machaca-Aguilar

This article proposes a new method for the estimation of the parameters of a simple linear regression model which accounts for the role of co-moments in non-Gaussian distributions being based on the minimization of a quartic loss function.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-03-18 Giuseppe arbia

Although several models have been proposed towards assisting machine learning (ML) tasks with quantum computers, a direct comparison of the expressive power and efficiency of classical versus quantum models for datasets originating from…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-01-09 Javier Alcazar , Vicente Leyton-Ortega , Alejandro Perdomo-Ortiz

This paper studies a class of rank-based inequality measures built from linear combinations of expected order statistics. The proposed framework unifies several well-known indices, including the classical Gini coefficient, the $m$th Gini…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-05 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo

Weighted Model Integration (WMI) is a popular formalism aimed at unifying approaches for probabilistic inference in hybrid domains, involving logical and algebraic constraints. Despite a considerable amount of recent work, allowing WMI…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-29 Giuseppe Spallitta , Gabriele Masina , Paolo Morettin , Andrea Passerini , Roberto Sebastiani

This paper represents an extended version of an earlier note [10]. The concept of weighted entropy takes into account values of different outcomes, i.e., makes entropy context-dependent, through the weight function. We analyse analogs of…

概率论 · 数学 2017-10-31 Mark Kelbert , Izabella Stuhl , Yuri Suhov

Both classical and respectively quantum observables can be modeled as somewhat similar examples of random variables. In such a model the associated measurements preserve the values spectrum of an observable but change the corresponding…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-03-20 S. Dumitru , A. Boer

Consider a linear regression model with n-dimensional response vector, regression parameter \beta = (\beta_1, ..., \beta_p) and independent and identically N(0, \sigma^2) distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is \theta…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

Beta-binomial/Poisson models have been used by many authors to model multivariate count data. Lora and Singer (Statistics in Medicine, 2008) extended such models to accommodate repeated multivariate count data with overdipersion in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-03-08 Mayra Ivanoff Lora , Julio M Singer